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Prediction market intelligence beyond the odds. Whale trades, price moves & the news driving markets. @edgepointwhales 🐋

New York city, NY
Joined November 2025
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The odds tell you the price. Not the full story. We cover sports and prediction markets beyond the odds: price moves, news, sentiment, and whale activity. Follow for daily, data-backed insights to trade and bet smarter. Try Signal free ↓ signal.edgepointx.com/invite
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PSG 6, Villarreal 0. Four goals inside 17 minutes in Spain, with Fabián Ruiz scoring twice, and PSG stay perfect at the top of the Champions League table. On Kalshi, their odds to win it all rose from 19% at kickoff to 21%. Only Barcelona, at 22%, are ahead.
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Man Utd 3, Roma 2. Down 2-0 after 17 minutes, United came all the way back at Old Trafford. Bruno Fernandes scored from the spot, then Matheus Cunha hit twice in four minutes before getting sent off. On Kalshi, United went from 47% at kickoff to a 99% finish.
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Man Utd were 2-0 down to Roma at Old Trafford. Bruno Fernandes scored a penalty, then Cunha equalized in the 83rd minute. Roma were 83% to win on Kalshi at 2-0. They're 11% now.
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Lennart Karl and Konrad Laimer have Bayern 2-0 up at Atlético. Bayern were 46% on Kalshi to win at kickoff and they're 98% now.
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Lennart Karl breaks the deadlock in Madrid. Bayern lead Atlético 1-0 in the 54th minute. Bayern were 46% to win on Kalshi at kickoff. They're 75% now.
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Ruud just broke straight back against Jodar in Paris. Second set is level at 3-3. Kalshi had Ruud at 68% after he took the first set 6-3. Jodar's early break dropped him to 45%. The break back sent him to 62%. A break at that price usually adds about 14c. This one did 17c.
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Barcelona lead Aston Villa 1-0 at halftime. Lamine Yamal scored early. Kalshi had Barcelona at 76% to win at kickoff. Now 83%. Villa went from 12% to 6%.
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Inter are 2-0 up in Rotterdam. Bisseck in the 8th minute, Pio Esposito in the 34th. Kalshi had Inter at 52% to win at kickoff. Now 90%.
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PSG are 4-0 up at Villarreal and it's not even 20 minutes in. Fabián Ruiz adds the fourth. On Kalshi, PSG went from 56% at kickoff to 99% now.
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PSG are 3-0 up at Villarreal. João Neves in the 8th, Désiré Doué in the 11th, Senny Mayulu in the 12th. On Kalshi, PSG were 56% to win at kickoff. Now 96%. Two goals in three minutes, a 40 point swing.
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🏆 TUESDAY TITLE ODDS Where the big soccer title races stand on @Kalshi this week. 🇪🇺 Champions League - Barcelona · 22% (▼1) Still on top, PSG right behind at 19% (—). 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League - Arsenal · 72% (▲4) Man City slid to 12% (▼5). 🇪🇸 La Liga - Barcelona · 69% (▼1) Real Madrid keep climbing, up to 25% (▲3). 🇮🇹 Serie A - Inter · 56% (▼10) Biggest drop of the week. Roma up to 19% (▲6). 🇩🇪 Bundesliga - Bayern Munich · 90% (—) Dortmund at 7%. 🇫🇷 Ligue 1 - PSG · 89% (▲3) Monaco down to 4%. 🇺🇸 MLS Cup - Nashville · 21% (—) Vancouver and Miami tied at 18%. *Movement vs. Tue Oct 27, in percentage points.
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Barcelona 76% to beat Aston Villa on Kalshi. Polymarket and Novig agree almost to the point. Villa at 12%. ~680K contracts traded on the Villa upset in 24h. Kickoff 3 PM ET.
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Bayern are 46% on Kalshi to win in Madrid. Atlético 30%, the draw 25%. Over 1M contracts have traded on Bayern alone in the last 24h. Kickoff 3 PM ET.
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Bodø/Glimt are 63% favorites on Kalshi to beat Lille tonight. Lille sit at just 18%. And the money is nowhere near even: roughly 766K contracts traded on Bodø in the last 24h vs about 90K on Lille. Kickoff 3 PM ET.
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Tomas Machac vs Kyrian Jacquet in Paris: more than 3.5M contracts traded on Kalshi. Tonight's Bears vs Seahawks winner market: about 3M so far. Machac is 95% now, a break up in the second set.
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Seahawks vs Bears tonight on Kalshi. A week ago: Seattle 61%. Now: 62%. Open interest went from about 14K contracts to over 1M in that time. The price barely moved.
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Mattia Bellucci opened at 59% on Kalshi against Lorenzo Sonego. Two breaks into the first set, he's at 85%.
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Matteo Arnaldi fell to 15% on Kalshi after dropping the first set to Cameron Norrie. Then he won the second 6-1. Third set now, and he's back in the 40s.
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Daniel Merida slipped to 55% on Kalshi early in set 1 against Sebastian Baez. He took the set 6-4. Then broke early in the second. 95% now.
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Sunday, 1 PM ET: Jaguars 44% to win in Baltimore on Thursday. Monday morning: 80% on Kalshi. In between: Lamar Jackson's thumb injury.
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