
Moved to Mastodon. Find us at @electiongraphs@newsie.social.
Everett, WA
Joined August 2015
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Prepping the Math Stuff for 2024
electiongraphs.com/blog/2023…
#Election2024
Election Day: Final Tightening?
electiongraphs.com/blog/2020…
#Election2020
No more new polls for @ElecCollPolls!
Final nowcast:
Ind States Median: Biden+108 (-16)
Cats Expected: Biden+132 (Flat)
Tipping Pt: Biden+2.3% (-0.7%)
Biden Win odds: 68.1% to 97.2%
(Mid Pt 82.7%)
Final blog post coming soon.
electiongraphs.com/2020ec/
#Election2020
New nowcast for Monday including the latest logged by @ElecCollPolls. A few more yet to come.
Ind States Median: Biden +124 (+12)
Cats Expected: Biden+132 (+30)
Tipping Pt: Biden+3.0% (-0.5%)
Trump Win Odds: 1.2% to 26.3%
(Mid Pt 13.8%)
electiongraphs.com/2020ec/
#Election2020
1.5 Days Out: Good Poll Cycle for Trump
electiongraphs.com/blog/2020…
#Election2020
New nowcast for Sunday including the latest polls logged by @ElecCollPolls:
Ind States Median: Biden+112 (-44)
Cats Expected: Biden+102 (-62)
Tipping Pt: Biden+3.5% (-1.0%)
Biden Win Odds: 81.2% to 98.6%
(Mid Pt 89.9%)
electiongraphs.com/2020ec/
#Election2020
Updated nowcast for Saturday including the latest polls logged by @ElecCollPolls:
Ind States Median: Biden+156 (+6)
Cats Expected: Biden+164 (-12)
Tipping Pt: Biden+4.5% (+0.2%)
Trump Win Odds: 0.1% to 11.4%
(Mid Pt 5.8%)
electiongraphs.com/2020ec/
#Election2020
3.5 Days Out: No Big Changes
electiongraphs.com/blog/2020…
#Election2020
The updated nowcast for Friday including the latest polls logged by @ElecCollPolls:
Ind States Median: Biden+150 (-4)
Cats Expected: Biden+176 (-36)
Tipping Pt: Biden+4.3% (+0.8%)
Biden Win Odds: 85.4% to 99.9% (Mid 92.7%)
electiongraphs.com/2020ec/
#Election2020
The updated nowcast for Thursday including the latest polls logged by @ElecCollPolls:
Ind States Median: Biden+154 (+6)
Cats Expected: Biden+212 (+36)
Tipping Pt: Biden+3.5% (-1.0%)
Trump Win Odds: 0.1% to 18.8%
electiongraphs.com/2020ec/
#Election2020



























