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The stream returns TODAY 5 PM ET with special guest @Foster
- The state of mentions
- What will NFL be like?
- NFL Survivor?
- Midterms?
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Hi all. Been a while since I've had a chance to post here, and Kalshi has been a bit slow for me for the last few months anyways, but that ends today thanks to Graham Platner's withdrawal a few minutes ago. Yes, it's real.
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The year is 2026: @PredMTrader & @Foster are on the front cover of GQ.
gq.com/story/prediction-mark…
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I lost betting on 2nd half overs in the CLE-NY game last night. Kalshi argued that 2nd half only includes regulation time, even though their full rules state overtime points are included unless explicitly excluded, and every sportsbook I know includes OT in 2H lines.
Seem fair?
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Locksy reflects on a tweet he made when his Kalshi account was negative, after hitting $100K profit.
"That shows you if you just dedicate yourself to something, you can achieve it."
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🚨🚨🚨THE @catboyautist INTERVIEW🚨🚨🚨
TONIGHT - 5PM ET
THE MOST REQUESTED INTERVIEW OF ALL TIME
THE #1 MENTION MARKET TRADER IN THE WORLD
OVER $1.2M IN PROFITS
POTENTIAL FACE REVEAL???
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Trump’s Wednesday address was our biggest mention market ever - over $60K on the line
It also turned into our biggest win ever
Full stream highlights
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Generational wealth could be made tonight! xitter.cf/i/spaces/1qGvvkWXzopGB
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Had a great time at the Kalshi Conference!
Really cool finally meeting so many people in person after talking online all year
Hope to see more events like this in the future!
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Some said our show didn't give enough love to the non-sports prediction market traders. This week @Sports__Proj and I fix that by interviewing one of the best: @Foster
Leave some questions for him in the replies below⬇️
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We are LIVE with Sunday School talking mention markets w/ PMT, Foster & Radarmentions. Don't be late for class! xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1oKMvRQdd…
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If you are a new user getting into prediction markets, "sizing" is one of the last things you should be worried about.
Instead, just start extremely small and first see if you are even able to be profitable over a couple weeks.
Things like "Kelly Criterion" operate under the assumption that you can accurately give a fair value of something - which you likely can't in the beginning (and maybe never will).
I still make mistakes/misclicks where I delete $1k or $2k in an instant - you will likely make even more mistakes as a new user so its much better for this to be $1 or $5.
Once you have proven to yourself that you can consistently be profitable and built a small bankroll, then you can start to worry or think more strategically about sizing etc.
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I AM FORMALLY INVITING @BillAckman TO COME ON STREAM AND PUMP CUOMO YES SHARES
5 Days left in the race Bill, this is your final chance to make a case for why Cuomo is undervalued on Prediction Markets
If you truly care for NYC, I'll see you on stream
I keep heard from some that they have given up hope on the NYC mayoral election based on the probability of @ZohranKMamdani reflected by Polymarket. The problem is that it takes only a small amount of capital to influence Polymarket trading levels. Please see the post below about evidence of manipulative activity on the mayoral election.
Ask yourself who would buy Mamdani at 95% to make 5% with the potential for a total loss. It seems like a stupid trade even if you think Mamdani will win.
In other words, I think the 20-1 payoff to bet on @andrewcuomo for the win looks really compelling now in light of the high turnout, the age of those voting, and growing momentum going into the last week.
Don’t forget that Polymarket had @andrewcuomo with an 85% probability of winning the primary a week out from the vote.
Let’s not let the betting sites affect the outcome of the election.
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LIVE NOW
HUGE GUEST TONIGHT @LoganLajTrading
$500 to $100K on Kalshi in Under a Month
>How he did it
>Trading Strategies
>What's next for him
LIVE ON X - 6PM ET xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1ynJOMkQN…
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I just finished styling my mustache and am ready to go. Join!
LIVE-STREAMING on X TONIGHT - 5PM PST
Special guest @GaetenD the #1 rotten tomatoes score predictor on Kalshi with over $400,000 in profits xitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1YpJkkrBA…
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LIVESTREAMING on X TONIGHT - 6:30 PM PST
Special guest @Foster the #1 mention market trader on Kalshi by profit making $180,000 in 2025 alone.
Learn from the best - DO NOT MISS THIS
