Jill Rutter (@jillongovt) header
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Jill Rutter, Brexit at UK in a Changing Europe. Any other stuff at Institute for Government. Full Fact fan. Very ex-civil servant. My views not theirs.

Joined March 2010
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Replying to @jillongovt
@jillongovt with @deirdreheenan @SJAMcBride Anne Watt @pivotalpolicy and @DavidSterling7 former head of NICS on the politics and upcoming election in Northern Ireland
STARTING SOON 🚨 Northern Ireland with six months to go to Assembly elections 📺 Join us at 13:00 with an expert panel from Northern Ireland to explore the most recent developments and how they affect the prospects for the next elections instituteforgovernment.org.u…
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“I regard most of the problems in this country as being laid at the door of Jeremy Hunt.” Ex-BoE deputy Howard Davies says Hunt’s “unfundable” NI cuts trapped Labour, and have boxed in every budget since. Fair or unfair? #PoliticsUnleashed
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Jill Rutter retweeted
Now pretending petrol duty will rise in July. Was supposed to rise in September. Then January. Who really believes it'll ever happen?
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The answer: keep it simple. Don’t add special allowances and exceptions. Resist the urge to be clever. No more complexification.
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Jill Rutter retweeted
Basing eligibility for energy support on council tax band does mean that whether or not Andy Burnham sends you £100 depends on what your house was worth in 1991. Not ideal.
Choice of £100 payments into bank accounts based on council tax band, rather than via Warm Home Discount for benefit recipients, is interesting. It shows a desire for (1) more households to benefit and (2) more households to notice. Burnham understands salience.
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It is so disappointing that four years after the last energy crisis led to a badly-targeted, expensive bill for taxpayers, we are basically in the same position. Health data would be a much better way of targeting help to those who most need it (and who are expensive to treat).
NEWS ENERGY PAYMENT: £100 payment to all households in Council Tax bands A to D for England (and funding for same in other nations). That's 20m homes. Translation: This is the support for the huge rise due in January price cap. Its expected to be 27% up. Which equates to roughly £100 from Jan to March alone.
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Just look at the policy measures table in the budget --- it's huge. Runs over many pages. Lots and lots of really small things
fees like lots of fiddling, short-term things, new complications - a 'young entrepreneurs allowance', 'starter ISA', different business rates exemption threshold for retail, leisure & hospitality ... etc . I don't hear a clear, coherent vision or a simplification of tax system
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Great news! Labour is cutting the tax on carers who earn more than the carer’s allowance earning limit. The new rate is 100%. That’s a big tax cut, and to be welcomed (If you think I’m on drugs, please read Paul’s tweet:)
Burnham announces a 100% tax rate on carers who work and earn over the limit allowed. Better than the current rule but worse than the 55% tax when people on UC work and higher than the highest marginal rate on high earners (except loss of child care help at £100,000).
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It is striking that moving away from the triple lock appears to have done absolutely nothing to dent Labour's rise in the polls.
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The way plunging us into six months of darkness, which is bad for mental and physical health, and women’s safety, is somehow presented as a win.
The clocks go back by one hour on 25 October at 2am, which means you’ll gain an hour ⏰ What will you do with the extra time? Let us know below 👇
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PM announced at PMQs that the Government will consult on ending standing charges on gas bills … Chancellor and energy secretary will review. Unexpected. Would be a significant shift.
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Horrible decision from Welsh ministers not to go ahead with a much-needed update of property valuations for council tax in 2028, having previously voted for the legislation. Inexcusable. 1/3 bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c6ly…
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Good news for Olly Robbins and the govt. But the JR would have been really interesting.
FDA statement on settlement agreement for Sir Oliver Robbins.
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The Shadow Chancellor doesn’t understand his own policy - it will give people a massive incentive not to downsize (and even to upsize). If you’re in a £2m home and want to downsize to a £1m house you won’t if Tory plans increase your IHT bill by £400,000 if you do so
Nonsense on stilts! The biggest block to downsizing - which is actually relatively rare amongst older homeowners - is Stamp Duty, which we have promised to scrap on a home. And to help younger buyers we will cut the regulations which add up to £50,000 to the cost of a new home.
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This misunderstands incentive effects. Someone with a £2m house who downsizes to a £1m house will, under the Tories' new IHT policy, *increase* their estate's IHT by £400k. A powerful incentive not to downsize.
Nonsense on stilts! The biggest block to downsizing - which is actually relatively rare amongst older homeowners - is Stamp Duty, which we have promised to scrap on a home. And to help younger buyers we will cut the regulations which add up to £50,000 to the cost of a new home.
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'At a stroke, Badenoch 2026 is throwing away a lot of the gains from Badenoch 2025... Badenoch presented this as a growth policy. It is the reverse.' V critical verdict from ex-HMT bigwig @jillongovt: instituteforgovernment.org.u…
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We @instituteforgov have benefited from @TheIFS alumni.. and they're great. Super opportunity.
We're hiring for our 2027 intake of economists! Many people know that coming to @theIFS means you can work on policy & have real impact Less well known is that you can do a PhD & world leading research; many alumni are now top professors Spread the word to budding academics!
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Jill Rutter retweeted
Sometimes I miss important nuances of new policies, in the political mayhem. Here is one such. When I heard Andy Burnham say the triple lock would not be reformed until 2030, I assumed it would be a battle for the next general election campaign. But in fact the government has committed to legislate for the change in this parliament (see attached Downing Street statement). That will cause an almighty parliamentary row, which the UK’s creditors will be watching - but should counter-act the charge that Burnham has no fiscal backbone, because in theory the cost savings will be guaranteed long before the huge costs of his social care ambitions are being incurred
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Jill Rutter retweeted
We don’t get to talk about reforming the EU from outside it. And to claim we do just winds them up.
I got complacent about political speeches. I forgot they can move you, make you feel something. It was a real privilege to be in that room yesterday and be reminded what politics can do. For politics also moves systems, people, barriers (just look at what Milburn has done on NEETs) Perhaps the biggest movement of all is with our nearest neighbours. Britain should drop its red lines and watch the political capital this generates, enabling us to be part of a conversation on the future of Europe and then, eventually, a new Europe fit for the new world we’re in.
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A better way to think of savings from the triple lock : Under the old triple lock, government would have had to find an extra £11bn by the end of the next decade. Now they won't have to. They've removed an unfunded pressure. This does not translate into cash for social care
DWP savings costing published re triple lock New policy will save on cash terms £15bn a year by 2039-40, £50bn by 2049-50 In real terms… £11bn by 39-40, £30bn a year by 49-50
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