ecu alum | legislative assistant for State Rep. @BenMossNC | former sports writer & State Sen. @SteveJarvisNC | views my own!
North Carolina, USA
Joined October 2016
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This is straight-up election rigging. Shame on the NYT for only exposing this with a week to go
SCOOP: Democrats have insisted they have nothing to do with the other Dan Sullivan on Alaska's Senate ballot.
But aides with the Mary Peltola campaign and DSCC were part of a monthslong secret plan to recruit him to run -- as well as other candidates.
nytimes.com/2026/10/28/us/po…
Justin retweeted
🚨 NEW HANOVER EARLY VOTE — OCT. 28, 10:06 AM
🗳️ 571 new votes today
NEW VOTES TODAY:
🔴 REP: +199 (34.9%)
⚪ UNA: +195 (34.2%)
🔵 DEM: +164 (28.7%)
SINCE 8:53 AM UPDATE:
⚪ UNA: +150
🔴 REP: +138
🔵 DEM: +106
CUMULATIVE TOTALS & PARTY SHARE SHIFTS:
⚪ UNA: 18,046 (37.28%) ↓ 0.04 pp
🔵 DEM: 16,772 (34.65%) ↓ 0.07 pp
🔴 REP: 13,289 (27.45%) ↑ 0.09 pp
🗳️ CUMULATIVE TOTAL: 48,409 votes
Justin retweeted
🚨 NEW HANOVER NC EARLY VOTE — OCT. 28, 8:53 AM
🗳️ 173 new votes today
NEW VOTES BY PARTY:
⚪ UNA: +45 (26.0%)
🔵 DEM: +58 (33.5%)
🔴 REP: +61 (35.3%)
CUMULATIVE TOTALS & PARTY SHARE SHIFTS:
⚪ UNA: 17,896 (37.28%) ↓ 0.04 pp
🔵 DEM: 16,666 (34.71%) ↓ 0.01 pp
🔴 REP: 13,151 (27.39%) ↑ 0.03 pp
🗳️ CUMULATIVE TOTAL: 48,010 votes
Justin retweeted
🚨🚨🚨 BREAKING
After 100% of the votes outside the double envelopes have been counted:
Netanyahu bloc: 53
Eisenkot bloc: 47
Arab parties: 19
If Annie Andrews wins the Greenville-Spartanburg region, I will eat a shoe.
Results from NYT/Siena SC poll in Greenville-Spartanburg region, where Darline Graham lost many counties to Ralph Norman in primary runoff:
#SCSEN: Annie Andrews (D) +2
#SCGOV: Alan Wilson (R) +15
nytimes.com/interactive/2026…
Justin retweeted
TEXAS IPEV DAY 8 UPDATE
Single best day for the Republicans so far, as expected. The 3/3 vote went up massively for the first time during the whole EV period. This was primarily older/whiter voters. Relative to 2024 though, it was slightly bluer (estimated R+14 vs. R+16)
The shift in the counties is now down to D+7.3 - a good Republican day has actually cut down on the shift a bit.
We have now added 3 new rural counties - to get a closer look at rural white turnout - there will be more.
Medina (Trump +42)
Jasper (Trump +66)
Wood (Trump +70)
Rural turnout is starting to come out for the GOP, but is still lower than the urbans. The partisan shift in the electorate on turnout is still the strongest in Tarrant + Hispanic areas.
Nothing much has really differed. The share of non-2024 voters continues to rise. Tomorrow is day 9 - will be crucial for GOP to get their base out these next couple, as the low-prop minorities start to form the rise of the U shape in the last few days. As @ZacharyDonnini has noted - the GOP is using up its remaining high-propensity voters, but younger/nonwhite Republican voters are getting dwarfed by Democratic turnout among the equivalent demographics.
Onward, another space tomorrow!
Interactive: claude.ai/artifact/QSaAiFYUj…
Is there a single Democrat US Senator who would endorse a Republican running for governor of their state?
@senategop will be better when this lady leaves.
Breaking News: Senator Lisa Murkowski (R-AK) endorses Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins in Alaska’s governor’s race
“I am announcing my endorsement of Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins,” Murkowski told Rebecca Palsha on Tuesday. “JKT is young Alaskan with a view and a perspective that I think Alaska needs right now.”
Source: AK News Source
alaskasnewssource.com/2026/1…
Justin retweeted
🚨 NEW HANOVER EARLY VOTE — OCT. 27, NOON
🗳️ 1,374 new votes today
+476 since 11 AM
NEW VOTES TODAY:
⚪ UNA: +563 (41.0%)
🔴 REP: +465 (33.8%)
🔵 DEM: +388 (28.2%)
SINCE LAST UPDATE (11 AM–NOON):
⚪ UNA: +206
🔴 REP: +170
🔵 DEM: +142
CUMULATIVE TOTALS & PARTY SHARE SHIFTS:
🗳️ 44,721 total votes
⚪ UNA: 16,699 (37.34%) ↑ 0.12 pp
🔵 DEM: 15,662 (35.02%) ↓ 0.21 pp
🔴 REP: 12,157 (27.18%) ↑ 0.21 pp
Justin retweeted
Sources: Mississippi State star QB Kamario Taylor will miss the rest of the season, as he faces surgery on his injured toe. Taylor has an appointment today to get his toe checked out by a specialist and could have surgery as early as tomorrow. He’s expected to make a full recovery.
The Republican Party will be better with Ralph Norman out of office.
Justin retweeted
🚨 NC EARLY VOTE: MONDAY, OCT. 26
🗳️ 183,108 voted in person Monday (Day 12).
MONDAY’S PARTY BREAKDOWN:
🔵 DEM: 64,865 (35.4%)
🔴 REP: 55,208 (30.2%)
⚪ UNA: 62,452 (34.1%)
🟡 Other: 583 (0.3%)
📬 New mail votes: 5,109
🚨 TOTAL ACCEPTED BALLOTS: 1,773,881
🗳️ IPEV: 1,708,041
📬 Mail: 65,840
📊 COMBINED IPEV + MAIL:
🔵 DEM: ~726,600 (41.0%) ↓0.6 pp
🔴 REP: ~430,000 (24.2%) ↑0.7 pp
⚪ UNA: ~612,700 (34.5%) ≈ unchanged
My propensity tracker is updated below. It now shows early sites and maps out which precincts are voting at each site for a given county. It’s pretty cool to see! You can view it by party as well. claude.ai/artifact/JmEL65KzV…
Justin retweeted
🚨 MOORE COUNTY EARLY VOTE UPDATE — OCT. 26
🗳️ 17,113 total accepted ballots
+2,044 since Saturday
NEW VOTES SINCE SATURDAY:
🔴 REP: +889 (43.5%)
⚪ UNA: +717 (35.1%)
🔵 DEM: +430 (21.0%)
🟡 OTHER: +8
CUMULATIVE TOTALS & SHIFTS:
🔴 REP: 6,401 (37.4%) ⬆️ +0.8 pp
⚪ UNA: 6,200 (36.2%) ⬇️ −0.2 pp
🔵 DEM: 4,470 (26.1%) ⬇️ −0.8 pp