JW retweeted
They had to go in early before the final count was in so they used a prefigured percentage vote switch by machine. That’s why you see the Ag commissioner getting more republican votes that the Republican governor candidate.
They couldn’t use the now obvious 3am ballot drop once you have the count and know the shortfall.
JW retweeted
THE 15% BAND
Look at this chart.
59 races. Senate and governor.
States ordered from reddest to bluest in 2024.
The solid lines are 2024.
The dashed lines are 2026.
The shaded bands are what moved.
One formula fits all of it:
Republican 2026 = 0.85 × Trump 2024
Democrat 2026 = Harris 2024 + 0.15 × Trump 2024
For every 1,000 Trump points, 850 stayed Republican. 150 landed on the Democratic side.
The numbers:
Senate: Republicans kept ~85% of Trump’s share
Governor: ~86%
Variation explained: 88%
What makes it strange:
It didn’t matter how red the state was. Wyoming, Ohio, Illinois, Massachusetts: same 15% (p = 0.69). The Democratic gain was sized by Trump’s vote, not Harris’s. The Harris part is zero.
The 0.85 beat both standard election-swing models in every set of races.
Drop any single state and the multiplier stays between 0.846 and 0.853.
Why seats flipped:
At 0.85, any state where Trump got under about 58.5% falls below 50%. Texas, Kansas, Iowa, Ohio, South Carolina, North Carolina: all under that line. All flipped.
What this means:
Midterms are messy. This one isn’t. Two sets of races, different candidates, different campaigns, and the same 15% decrease almost everywhere.
A pattern this even demands answers at the ballot level: paper ballot hand counts, poll-book check-ins against votes counted, and voter files showing who actually turned out.
The numbers raise the question.
The ballots can answer it.
Do not disagree with this assessment at all.
Trump is a political genius. He accomplished the impossible, defeating BOTH duopoly parties. Then, this political genius, for no obvious reason, torched his presidency and legacy over a war the public didn’t want. That’s surprising. Why on Earth would he do that?
Maybe the world looked very different from inside the Truman Show bubble constructed around him. After rapid success in Venezuela and “the 12 Day War” he may have been lead to believe he had the power to fix Iran, cheaply and quickly, and walk away a hero. That would explain it. But it would have required those opposed to the plan, people who knew better and were willing to say so, to be removed from his inner circle.
Tucker could be shoved aside, but Charlie was a problem. Shoving Charlie out would have turned TPUSA into a powerful adversary. Bad move. But fate took care of that when Tyler Robinson, acting alone, killed Charlie for unrelated reasons. And here we are, Trump’s insurgency dead at midterms with the race-bating Marxists headed back to power.
The nominee for 2028 will be Rubio. Vance got sunk with Trump in the midterms.
Rubio is the only one who can cobble together enough votes to move forward at this point.
JW retweeted
This clip with @TuckerCarlson is from March. It’s hard for me not to look at the midterm results with this hypothesis in mind.
JW retweeted
Which is why that aircraft demands SUPER COMPETENT air crew, and not some 20-year-old TikToker who has rushed through successive waves of minimum qualification certifications to get the gig as co-pilot.
Especially when human souls--fathers, mothers, children--are presuming competence, and die when it's lacking.
Heard this term “coffin corner” from pilots as a possible contributing factor to the Learjet 60 crash.
This is the best explanation of what it is and why descending rather than climbing is the way out.
The coffin corner is a dangerous band high up in the sky where a plane’s “too slow” limit and “too fast” limit get so close together that the safe window narrows to almost nothing.
If anything pushes the plane a little too slow or a little too fast (a bit of turbulence, a turn, or even trying to climb), it can easily slip outside that tiny safe band and fall out of the sky.
That’s why it’s called the coffin corner - there’s almost no room for error, and losing control up there is extremely dangerous.
Bravo GOP! Going to be a very rough next few years.
Can’t wait to see the stock market reaction in the AM. Going to be brutal.
JW retweeted
The co-pilot job exists for a reason.
That reason is NOT to text her boyfriend to let him know the aircraft is icing in heavy turbulence, and it is NOT to scream hysterically into the radio.
.@EV_Trapper, I have seen some stupid stuff today, but this...takes the cake.
I am at least 10 IQ points dumber for reading this shit.
Your argument is that the junior co-pilot is responsible for the crash because she's "completely unqualified, uneducated & unprepared" yet acknowledge that the main pilot probably thought the ice was better managed than it was, blaming his lack of aircraft management on her age and experience level.
As general practice with two pilots, one flies while the other handles the radio. Her job was to communicate with ATC. She literally communicated exactly what was happening with the aircraft until the end, including bank angle, rate of descent and that they were going to crash.
The only thing you said that's correct is you aren't being mean. You're being stupid.
JW retweeted
This morning while trying to vote in Broward county.
Go out there and vote no matter what the obstacles may be.
Your vote matters!
JW retweeted
The pilot was deeply regretting allowing himself to be saddled with a 3-year-licensed, boy friend-texting, not-old-enough to buy a drink, hysterically screaming girl boss as a co-pilot.
JW retweeted
Long post worth the read. I have a close friend who flies private jets. He flew Lear 60 for over 15 years and now flies a Gulfstream. This is a copy and paste of his response to me asking him if I thought Ice was the issue.
“We always fly in ridiculous cold temperatures.”
“Usually you get the bad ice when the temperatures are like 0 to negative 20. Believe it or not, there's a point where it gets too cold for ice. At negative 40, you pretty much can't get ice. Besides that, the airplane is equipped with hot wings and hot tail.”
“I flew the Lear 60 for like 15 years. It's a no joke airplane and probably the most dangerous airplane I've ever flown. It has a super critical wing. The airflow has to be perfect. When it gets into rough air and turbulence, it will easily stall. It has stalled on me at 41,000 feet just because we got into some turbulence. (On the way to Palm Beach as a matter of fact. ) we recovered and got her flying again around 30,000 ft. Scary
But here's the problem. This airplane has a terrible coffin corner. (At high altitudes) what that means is, you fly in a really narrow window where if you lose 20 knots, it stalls. And if you gain 20 knots, it goes into overspeed. The air goes supersonic over the wing and it goes into a high speed stall, or worse, a Mach tuck.
So if you stall, the normal recovery is to push the yoke forward to lower the nose and gain air speed again. At low altitude, you can push really hard and recover quickly. But in the 60... if you push hard, it will gain air speed and go into a high speed stall, it doesn't take much. It's very sensitive. The 60 has super short wings that don't make much lift. So then you high speed stall, and the computer is yelling at you... OVERSPEED! So then you pull back and enter a low speed stall. And you go back and forth trying to keep it in the air speed window.
This whole thing is pretty scary. And you should recover basically by using your finger tips using super small corrections. You can't over do it. If you try to muscle the recovery, she gets mad and will become unrecoverable. If she enters a mach tuck. You're done.”
“I taught the Lear 60 to other pilots and mentored them. I told them... this airplane has a soul and it's trying to kill you. Do not ever try to top the weather. Don't go over a thunderstorm. Go around it. If it means a half hour longer, then do it. Going over the thunderstorm will go into turbulence that you might not recover from.
These pilots went right over a thunderstorm. I think it stalled which caused them to drop down into the thunderstorm and ended up in mach tuck. They picked up so much speed that it ripped off the horizontal stabilizer. At that point... chuck Yeager can't fix it.
These same pilots did something similar a couple months ago. ATC got mad at them. They poked the bear one too many times.
This is not a beginner airplane. The Gulfstream would never do this. It has HUGE margins of error and won't stall like that. But then again... it's got HUGE wings. It's a pussy cat.
The Gulfstream is like driving a 4 wheeler. The Lear 60 is like riding a uni cycle.”