NBA Saturday, October 24th Prop 🏀 .75u - Joel Embiid o23.5 Pts (-120, BetMGM) .75u - Joel Embiid o6.5 1st Quarter Points (-130, DK) 🪜 .5u - 10+ 1st Quarter Points (+245, DK) With LeBron out tonight, expect for a few guys to take a step up in their roles and I expect for that to be Embiid. To start, Embiid sees the 2nd highest PPP jump out of the whole team at a +14.35 jump (only trailing Anfernee Simons). He also sees a +5.21 jump in his USG rate, increasing to 28.57%. He’s also facing a very poor Bucks defense tonight who have struggled versus paint scorers so far this year. They allow the MOST Points in the Paint this year at 66 PPG, while ranking 4th in most PPP allowed to P&R Big Men, 3rd in most PPP allowed in Isolation scoring, and ranking in 3rd most Free Throws allowed. We saw AD feast on this defense with 34 pts and the rookie Caleb Wilson score 21 pts, as well as preseason performances like Siakam with 24 pts in 21 mins and Aday Mara with 22 pts in 25 mins. With 7-9 1Q mins as one of the best 1st Quarter scorers, I expect for Embiid to come out hot tonight and attack this matchup early and often. Factoring in the extra usage Embiid should see tonight, I expect Embiid to dominate this matchup.