Lashed (@Lashed22) profile picture
Joined March 2012
Photo by Lashed (@Lashed22)Photo by Lashed (@Lashed22)Photo by Lashed (@Lashed22)Photo by Lashed (@Lashed22)Photo by Lashed (@Lashed22)Photo by Lashed (@Lashed22)Photo by Lashed (@Lashed22)Photo by Lashed (@Lashed22)Photo by Lashed (@Lashed22)Photo by Lashed (@Lashed22)
hear me out i have a genny idea, TikTok coins are kinda ripping again We had Paws at u, Anakin, and many other TikTok narratives run...... With this pairing meta, how about we run a tiktok coin, And we start pairing all the TikTok narratives to it INFINITE TIKTOK FLYWHEEL
6
1
3
235
It would be difficult to overstate our gratitude to all who have lately joined our company. Short of any grand announcements it has been an industrious week; Passengers can soon expect to see Program updates preparing for multi-seat Wagers with parimutuel payouts. Gentlemen—
6
11
32
877
"PHP? No sir, this Riverboat is 100% on-chain and crypto-graphically protected... No backend, you see, it really is state-of-the-art technology! Yessir we have two public security audits for the core protocol... Indeed! Here's your ticket sir, welcome aboard!"
2
12
34
916
A small announcement: In the interest of solidarity with new adherents, we have seen fit to lock the majority of our shares—five percent—in the Riverboat Gambler token until next year. Cheers! app.streamflow.finance/contr…
2
11
35
957
Lashed retweeted
few people asking about @riverboat_x so quick tldr the hyperliquid thesis for prediction markets - re think the underlying mechanism rather than build another polymarket @gskwxyz spent 5 years on the maths, prediction theory and mechanism design behind it removes much of the reliance on traditional liquidity, but the bigger opportunity imo is beyond prediction markets private forecasting, agent evals, paid signals and eventually figuring out whose judgement is actually worth trusting as intelligence gets cheaper, good judgement becomes more valuable thats the real bet for me
3
6
1
34
2,297
Forthcoming features in roughly chronological order: - Dark mode and an update to how Notifications work (v1.32), - At least one essay, likely two, on the fundamental points of departure between Gambling and Prediction as we see them, - Contracts supporting multiple outcomes, alongside group Wagers with a simple parimutuel payout mechanism (v1.4), - Our @predicttime_ presentation in the "non-Polymarket" cohort, and - Partnership announcements, contingent on successful implementation. The Odds are good—
4
11
1
29
1,041
Lashed retweeted
We're now part of @Amplitude_HQ's Scholarship program! And thanks to their new self-serve analytics, we'll be improving our feedback loops faster than ever #tyfb 👊😎
20
74
87
820
Lashed retweeted
Show $Hubzz some appreciation!
1
3
32
Lashed retweeted
Thanks for giving our NPCs braaains 🧠 @explabsai w/ 1000+ models through one gateway! #tyfb
19
74
1
86
6,164
Lashed retweeted
You can keep ignoring @riverboat_x $RIVERBOAT and make a big mistake. #Parimutuel #betting, a twist on binary results. Resolution was the final piece to the puzzle as they are always a big challenge but this partnership closes the circle. Congrats @gskwxyz
In lockstep with our central theses, we are beginning to see the outlines of a truly decentralized market for Resolution; Our friend Fabian's work dovetails with and echoes our own designs, for a network that anticipates and ascertains the future— Good things to come!
1
7
1
15
234
You can keep ignoring @riverboat_x $RIVERBOAT and make a big mistake. #Parimutuel #betting, a twist on binary results. Resolution was the final piece to the puzzle as they are always a big challenge but this partnership closes the circle. Congrats @gskwxyz
In lockstep with our central theses, we are beginning to see the outlines of a truly decentralized market for Resolution; Our friend Fabian's work dovetails with and echoes our own designs, for a network that anticipates and ascertains the future— Good things to come!
1
7
1
15
234
In lockstep with our central theses, we are beginning to see the outlines of a truly decentralized market for Resolution; Our friend Fabian's work dovetails with and echoes our own designs, for a network that anticipates and ascertains the future— Good things to come!
Smart contracts are deterministic. Disputes are not. That’s why I brought native on-chain arbitration to @solana with Accord. Random jurors. Transparent process. Binding on-chain verdicts. Code handles execution. Humans handle judgment. Link to whitepaper in the comments 🧵👇
2
8
1
25
1,013
Natural evolutions en route to Mainnet Beta: group Wagers with multiple outcomes and parimutuel payouts, suitable for one-offs or even tournament formats; A "dark mode" for those who prefer to trade by candlelight??—
2
8
30
795
For newcomers interested in the origins of Riverboat, this was one of earliest prototypes we developed to address the liquidity problems associated with the conventional orderbook model. Various nascent ideas embedded deeper in the thread—
With this in mind I made a lil' prototype: a Rust server that scores predictions against each other and automatically calculates payouts for each player.
3
7
28
1,046
Mainnet Alpha v1.31 Release Notes— • Aesthetic and organizational updates to Profile page. • The "Trending" algorithm for featured Wagers has been modernized & updated to prioritize recency and volume on a decay-curve. No changes to either Solana program. Cheers, @gskwxyz
3
6
1
24
961
Replying to @VitalikButerin
Anyone looking for a beta play to $TRUE on Solana should be looking at $RIVERBOAT , exceptional tech and founder @riverboat_x Still in stealth mode.
1
3
8
83
Lashed retweeted
$riverboat @riverboat_x
jez = right prediction markets increasingly look like theyre converging on sportsbooks makes me wonder what they look like if betting isnt actually the end state - already seeing glimpses of entirely different directions one that stands out feels like the hyperliquid thesis for prediction markets - rebuild the underlying market mechanism from first principles rather than build another venue around the same design theres a seriously technical dev behind it 5 years deep in prediction theory, mechanism design & the math underneath it no orderbooks / market makers, less dependent on liquidity, beliefs expressed directly & rewarded for calibration a primitive this different opens a much larger design space - private enterprise forecasting, agent evals, paid signal & entirely new markets built around uncertainty onchain at ~100k
1
1
3
605
Lashed retweeted
jez = right prediction markets increasingly look like theyre converging on sportsbooks makes me wonder what they look like if betting isnt actually the end state - already seeing glimpses of entirely different directions one that stands out feels like the hyperliquid thesis for prediction markets - rebuild the underlying market mechanism from first principles rather than build another venue around the same design theres a seriously technical dev behind it 5 years deep in prediction theory, mechanism design & the math underneath it no orderbooks / market makers, less dependent on liquidity, beliefs expressed directly & rewarded for calibration a primitive this different opens a much larger design space - private enterprise forecasting, agent evals, paid signal & entirely new markets built around uncertainty onchain at ~100k
6
5
1
31
3,244
Replying to @px_721
1
8
98