Lydia Prieg (@LydiaPrieg) profile picture

Chief Economist @NEF. Formerly: Head of Economics @NEF; PhD @Cambridge_Uni; Policy Advisor @oxfamgb; Analyst @GoldmanSachs

Cambridge
Joined July 2010
Photo by Lydia Prieg (@LydiaPrieg)Photo by Lydia Prieg (@LydiaPrieg)Photo by Lydia Prieg (@LydiaPrieg)Photo by Lydia Prieg (@LydiaPrieg)
GDP has outperformed expectations, but today’s data is still relatively low when compared to pre-2008 financial crisis trends. It also relies on some factors that may be one-offs, such as tax consultancy use in the run up to the budget and recovery from the JLR cyber-attack [1/3]
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Ultimately, the UK economy continues to stagnate due to underinvestment since 2010, particularly compared to international peers. The government has made a start in trying to boost public investment from former lows, but there is still much more investment required. [2/3]
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To facilitate greater investment, the Chancellor must overhaul the OBR and the fiscal framework. We a system that considers the long-term multiplier effects of public investment, instead of forcing the OBR to police precise yet relatively arbitrary targets [3/3]
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Lydia Prieg retweeted
Everyone's talking about tax rises - but what about tax fixes? In a pretty unusual intervention, @CPSThinkTank has teamed up with @CenTaxUK, @ASI, @IPPR, @NEF, @jrf_uk, @WeAreBrightBlue, @LabourTogether & @DanNeidle to argue for sweeping, pro-growth tax reform & simplification.
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🏆Our #Researchoftheweek goes to @NEF for their report ‘Solid Foundations’ which outlines the scale of what is required to tackle regional inequality and improve lives across the country. (1/6) neweconomics.org/2024/10/sol… @BenediktStranak @ekiberd3 @dhnnjyn
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Lydia Prieg retweeted
"She has to be very careful how she treads here because economists from across the political spectrum agree that the one thing the UK desperately needs is more investment." @LydiaPrieg on Rachel Reeves' plans for the economy
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A group of 65 leading economists have warned higher UK public investment “must be a priority for the next government”. Despite the UK's record of low public investment, the economists say the main parties lack “a serious plan to raise public investment”. inews.co.uk/news/politics/su…
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Lydia Prieg retweeted
Didn't expect @GBNEWS to be the one to pick up this story, but good to see new @NEF polling findings covered: -People estimated the basic rate of Universal Credit was 48% of a minimum wage salary -They thought it should be 53% -In reality it's just 23% gbnews.com/money/universal-c…
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Bank of England will adjust haircuts on collateral accepted to start including risk of energy price shocks on mortgage repayment. Will also include risks from more frequent & severe flooding. More ambition needed but shows necessary direction of travel [1] bankofengland.co.uk/markets/…
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The haircut developments feel more promising (from a climate perspective) to me than the changes to collateral eligibility criteria, which, while related to energy performance certificates, are more about avoiding default risk due to illegal renting [2]
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Plenty to admire from Ben here as usual. The argument is of course right from first principle: 'experts' advise, 'democracy' decides. We should certainly be wary of technocratic answers to political questions. But I think the piece makes a couple of missteps along the way 1/
I’ve written for @thetimes about the election topic on everyone’s lips: the future role of the OBR. Lots of smart, thoughtful people think we should hive off more power to the fiscal technocrats. I’ve tried to set out why that makes me nervous.🧵 thetimes.co.uk/article/71f66…
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The Bank of England needs to recognise that high interest rates are harming the green transition and making it more expensive. The BoE should introduce a green interest rate to make loans for green projects cheaper even while the main interest rate is high.
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@NEF has been working on this issue for many years. For details on Europe's fiscal rules and the problems they are creating, please see our recent paper with @etuc_ces etuc.org/sites/default/files…
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Lydia Prieg retweeted
We're 75% of the way to meeting our fundraising target - but we still need your help to cut the carbon emissions from flying in a fair way! Donate in the next two days and your gift will have double the impact.💚
We are taking part in the @BigGive campaign and aiming to raise £20,000 to support the adoption of a Frequent Flyer Levy in the next parliament. Every gift that you make before Thursday 25 April will be doubled by @BigGive! Help us reach our goal at: donate.biggive.org/campaign/…
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Lydia Prieg retweeted
The guiding mantra of the DWP when supporting people into work - Any job, Better job, Career (ABC) - can trap people in low-paid, insecure work My new @NEF blog explores how reforming ABC as part of a joint effort to help people find good jobs could unlock up to £4.2bn/year🧵
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Lydia Prieg retweeted
🚨18 EU member states will not be able to meet their targets for investment in schools, hospitals and housing under plans for new economic governance rules. According to a new study by @NEF for @etuc_ces.
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Great to see the @FT exploring green interest rates, which @NEF has been advocating. They'd lock in lower finance costs for green investments, are already offered by Japan and China's central banks, and are supported by Macron and some ECB board members ft.com/content/558c81d3-c305…
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More details of how the policy would work in practice can be found here: neweconomics.org/uploads/fil…
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