Not sure why the polls have this race as a single-digit race.

somehow Talarico is outperforming Jackson, still see both as tossups

2026 Predictions

September Predictions ig

does this look good

Senate Predictions (still working on the County Map)

Btw here is the spreadsheet work for the "What If Biden Stayed In The Race" series! There is way more that is not in view but I spent a lot of thought making this. Some county breakdowns are also in this sheet that didn't end up in the final graphics too.

Here is how the Senate, Gubernatorial, and House races would have gone.