Holy undecideds
RedBox Research poll | 10/20-10/23 LV
Nevada Governor 2026
🟦Aaron Ford 45.6%
🟥Joe Lombardo 42.6% (incumbent)
Link to poll: afightworthhaving.com/pollin…
Matua Winston retweeted
brazil counting 120 million votes in 4 hours meanwhile it's gonna take 3 weeks to count all 50 votes in alaska
Matua Winston retweeted
Ladies and gentlemen:
Allow me to introduce the new WORST prediction in political HISTORY
Matua Winston retweeted
So far, in the locality with the most counted votes (Afua - 45%), Lula is overperforming his first-round result by 11%.
Still very early. Note: TSE delayed full national results by two hours following public transport issues for voters.
Yeah I lowkey think we keep forgetting how important the Kavanaugh nomination was during the 2018 midterms
Lookit man, I don't blame anyone who says "the country is too polarized for a >D+9 GB" because they either didn't watch/remember '08's fundamentals/data. I sure wasn't (I was 9).
But the President's approval is Bush-level. Economic sentiment is low. There's a deeply unpopular war in the Middle East. We're seeing a large turnout differential in a lot of states in EV and LV modeling.
In 2018, President Trump was only -7. He had a great economy, and a polarizing Supreme Court nomination to excite the base. He ain't got any of that (-44 with Independents currently).
You better start believing in 2008 stories, because you're in one.
Steven “Chud” Chungus looking GROYPENDOUS next to the magnificent Nicki @Werlynz
And I thought US Election Twitter was bad for overanalysing...
No, a couple hundred Brazilians living in Korea are not comparable or insightful to the 100 million that are voting in actual Brazil lmfaoooo
Wouldn't have it any other way 😎@Werlynz
Matua Winston retweeted
Primary voters have been close to a tie in the last a few days now.
After day 5: (non-primary voters %)
2026: R+0.2 (29.4%)
2024: R+11.7 (32.3%)
2022: R+14.8 (20.0%)
Democrats are expected to gain a little from the weekend ahead of us.
You can see the map, the past primary voting and a chart based on urban to rural areas.
Tomorrow, I will be updating my forecast with early voting data baked in.
If all these Samoans and Fijians and Tongans live their homes so much why don’t they fuck off back to them? @Werlynz



























