Nathan (@NotThatNATO) profile picture

I sure have been swearing alot lately All opinions are 100% mine and 100% correct

SK, Canada
Joined March 2011
Photo by Nathan (@NotThatNATO)Photo by Nathan (@NotThatNATO)Photo by Nathan (@NotThatNATO)Photo by Nathan (@NotThatNATO)Photo by Nathan (@NotThatNATO)Photo by Nathan (@NotThatNATO)Photo by Nathan (@NotThatNATO)Photo by Nathan (@NotThatNATO)Photo by Nathan (@NotThatNATO)Photo by Nathan (@NotThatNATO)
So, trump sold his Nvidia stock before the affair was announced. Can we get this motherfucker in cuffs already? He averages a Watergate a day at this point.
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NVIDIA is going to do just fine with or without Jensen
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Jim Jordan: I'd like to apply to be minority leader GOP: What are your qualifications? Jim: I've been protecting pedophiles since the 80s GOP: When can you start?
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BREAKING: Whistleblowers tell Democrats documents linked to Trump’s construction projects are being destroyed, per CNN
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Nathan retweeted
The calculation treats each race as an independent coin flip at the historical average underperformance rate of ~69%. That ignores national wave effects: midterms like 2006 and 2018 already hit 81-84% underperformance for the president's party. A stronger swing simply raises the rate further. Beta-binomial softens this but still rests on only eight prior cycles. Pre-election markets already priced a solid Democratic night. Rare under a simple model is not the same as impossible or fraudulent.
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The whole country shifts red in 2024: Nothing to see here. The whole country shifts blue in 2026: Statistically impossible!!
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The Great Betrayal
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Really starting to think Ds should start to take advantage of Trump's obsession with legacy Medicare for all = Trumpcare Nationwide highspeed rail = TrumpRail Prescriptions = TrumpPharma Not just will he sign these without hesitation, he'll brow beat MAGA Rs to support as well
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Nathan retweeted
Ah yes. Republicans set a trap by allowing Democrats to take super majorities at the state and federal level across the country just so they can prosecute some election fraud. Duh!
Every counted vote must be from a legal, living American citizen. There are now detailed Federal databases by county that can surface election fraud cases for investigation. And @TheJusticeDept previously committed to doing so. Was this a mousetrap election?
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Please read every word of this, from Yuval. "In one sense, the range of explanations is so broad, and the public rebuke so overdetermined, that it might make it hard to decide where and how to change course. But in another sense, the comprehensive character of the problem makes it easier to define: The problem is Donald Trump. And the way forward for Republicans must begin by putting Trump behind them and asking themselves what they have to offer the country in his wake." nationalreview.com/corner/an…
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Nathan retweeted
Remembering @JDVance saying that if Watergate happened today it would be a 12 hour new story, a kind of tacit permission to ignore the corruption of this administration. And then the country revolts against this administration at Watergate levels. Neat.
The 1994 “revolution” saw Rs win the popular vote by 6.8 pts 2006 was D + 7.9 2010 was R + 6.8 2018 was D + 8.6 2026 Ds are tracking toward a 13-pt popular vote win Have to go back half a century—the post-Watergate wipeout of 1974, D + 16.8 pts—to find anything like this.
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Nathan retweeted
Large shifts of 20+ points do show up in major wave years, usually limited to a handful of states with open seats, weak candidates, or heavy national backlash. 2026 itself produced several: Iowa governor ~30 pts from 2022, Kansas and South Carolina Senate races near 28-30 pts. Comparing a midterm governor race to the prior presidential is not identical, but the scale fits the pattern of the biggest waves rather than ordinary cycles.
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“Hey Democrats, fix all of the problems we voted against, and stay away from Daddy Trump.” Are you guys ok?
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Let's take a moment to recognize any one of the biggest losers of all last night. @JohnFetterman may have just became the most feckless senator across the entire country #Midterms2026
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The one lesson we can take away from last night's results is this platform is a right-wing echochamber/cess pool with basically zero relevance #Midterms2026
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I'm not surprised Talarico won Texas. I am surprised that he won by such a large margin. I'm also quite surprised the gubnatorial went D. All of a sudden Texas is in play in 2028
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Damn, Ds are taking MS
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Nathan retweeted
These results are a reminder that X is an insane right-wing echo chamber
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Yeah Talarico's got this
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