We Anticipate the Future. International Open-Source Intelligence and Military Analyst. RT ≠ Endorsement
Cairo, Cairo, Egypt 🇪🇬
Joined December 2021
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OSINT MASR retweeted
#المتحدث_العسكرى : القوات المسلحة تعقد مؤتمرًا صحفيًا للإعلان عن نتائج الحملة المكبرة لمجابهة التنقيب غير المشروع عن خام الذهب بالصحراء الشرقية ، وتوقيت بدء المرحلة الرابعة ...
On behalf of our team, we offer a formal apology for our inability to fully verify the updates regarding Mount Al-Iqat "page 4" due to limited available information.
We will prepare a report with accurate information and the results of the operations in the coming days.
#report
🧵 On October 10, the Egyptian Armed Forces announced the third and largest phase of Operation Southern Shield, but things developed very rapidly after that, as we monitor the details regarding the objectives and consequences of the operation.
#sudan #egypt #airforce #airstrikes
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Press conference by @EgyArmySpox on the phases of the “Southern Shield" campaign, the start of the fourth phase, and the results of the previous phases
مؤتمر الصحفي للمتحدث العسكري المصري حول مراحل حملة درع الجنوب و بداية المرحلة الرابعة
youtube.com/live/CeuXN919C-o…
#NewsUpdate
🧵 On October 10, the Egyptian Armed Forces announced the third and largest phase of Operation Southern Shield, but things developed very rapidly after that, as we monitor the details regarding the objectives and consequences of the operation.
#sudan #egypt #airforce #airstrikes
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OSINT MASR retweeted
تحدثت مع وزير خارجية قبرص حول تعزيز الشراكة الاستراتيجية والتعاون الثلاثي مع اليونان، ومستجدات المنطقة وجهود خفض التصعيد.
Spoke with Cyprus’ FM on strategic partnership, trilateral cooperation with Greece, regional developments & de-escalation efforts.
OSINT MASR retweeted
L3Harris Highlights SKY RAIDER II as Cost-Effective ISR and Light Strike Aircraft
L3Harris is promoting its SKY RAIDER II INTERNATIONAL aircraft as a cost-effective solution for intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance (ISR), armed overwatch, and light strike missions, complementing fourth- and fifth-generation fighter fleets.
According to L3Harris, assigning routine missions to SKY RAIDER II instead of advanced fighters could generate operational savings of $20,000–$40,000 per flight hour, while preserving fighter readiness and extending aircraft service life.
Designed to bridge the capability gap between unmanned aerial vehicles and high-performance fighter aircraft, SKY RAIDER II offers persistent surveillance, human-in-the-loop decision-making, and precision engagement capabilities without diverting advanced fighters from higher-priority missions.
#L3Harris #SkyRaiderII #MilitaryAviation #ISR #ArmedOverwatch #DefenseTechnology #AirPower #GlobalDefenseInsight
Great Report @free_watcher_DI
Weekly chokepoints risk & transit monitor - November 02.
➡️ Preliminary Strait of Hormuz crossings increased to 141 in the week to 1 November, up 8.5% from the previous week's preliminary count, driven by stronger outbound and laden movements. However, routing conditions remained largely unchanged, with more than two-thirds of crossings classified as Route Undetermined. Bab el-Mandeb traffic also increased, with laden movements rising despite a slight deterioration in TSS adherence and an increase in dark transits. Meanwhile, the cumulative toll of attacks on commercial shipping continued to rise, with no clear evidence of a sustained improvement in regional security.
✔️ Strait of Hormuz crossings totalled 141 from 26 October to 1 November, up 8.5% from the previous week's preliminary count of 130. On the same preliminary basis, entries declined from 74 to 65, while exits increased from 56 to 76. Laden movements rose from 58 to 70, an increase of 20.7%. Historical backfills subsequently revised the previous week's total to 182, highlighting the importance of distinguishing preliminary from validated traffic figures.
✔️ Hormuz routing remained largely unchanged. Route Undetermined accounted for 95 crossings, or 67.4% of traffic, compared with 67.7% the previous week. Another 41 movements used the Iranian Unilateral Scheme, while four used Omani routes and one was recorded through the Hormuz TSS. Despite the slight increase in identifiable routes, there is still insufficient evidence of a broader return to conventional navigation corridors.
✔️ Attacks on commercial shipping continued, although at a slower recorded pace than in early October. The latest Kpler incident dataset records 123 attacks since March, with 24 seafarer fatalities and 51 injuries. IMO's published register confirmed 122 incidents as of 30 October. More recent @UK_MTO reports indicate that security incidents continued during the reporting week, reinforcing the need to distinguish reported events from confirmed incidents.
✔️ Bab el-Mandeb crossings increased to 276, up 5.3% from the previous week's preliminary count of 262. Laden movements rose from 168 to 196, while TSS adherence declined from 92.7% to 90.9%. Dark transits increased from 19 to 25, suggesting that the higher traffic volumes were accompanied by a modest deterioration in navigation visibility.
✔️ Both chokepoints recorded higher preliminary traffic, but their operating conditions remain different. Hormuz continues to face significant routing uncertainty, while Bab el-Mandeb maintains more consistent commercial movements. The latest figures show continued shipping activity despite the security environment, rather than a confirmed reduction in the underlying risks.
#Iran #News #Hormuz #Shipping #Security #Maritime
Source: @MarineTraffic, @Kpler, @DimAmpatzidis.
marinetraffic.com/en/maritim…
OSINT MASR retweeted
#المتحدث_العسكرى : مركز البحث والإنقاذ بوزارة الدفاع ينفذ التجربة القومية ( مصر - 12 ) للبحث والإنقاذ بمحافظة بورسعيد ...
OSINT MASR retweeted
Weekly chokepoints risk & transit monitor - October 26.
➡️ Preliminary data show Strait of Hormuz crossings reached 130 in the week to 25 October, up 8.3% from the previous week's preliminary count, as attacks on merchant shipping continued at a slower pace. Routing visibility remained poor, with no cargo vessels recorded using the Omani routes or Hormuz TSS. Bab el-Mandeb traffic was broadly stable, with higher TSS adherence, fewer dark transits and steady laden movements.
✔️ Strait of Hormuz crossings totaled 130 from 19 to 25 October, up 8.3% from the previous week’s preliminary count of 120, which was subsequently revised to 178 following dark-crossing backfills. On the same preliminary basis, entries rose from 57 to 74 while exits fell from 63 to 56, and laden movements declined from 71 to 58.
✔️ Hormuz routing remained opaque. Route Undetermined accounted for 88. crossings, or 67.7% of traffic, little changed from 67.5%. A further 39 vessels used the Iranian Unilateral Scheme, while 3 crossings used Omani routes, all by service vessels and a yacht, and none used the Hormuz TSS.
✔️ Attacks on merchant shipping continued at a slower pace, with IMO confirming 6 incidents between 14 and 22 October, compared with 23 between 1 and 13 October. Diplomatic engagement intensified, including regional talks in Tehran on 26 October, but no agreement to reopen Hormuz had been announced.
✔️ Bab el-Mandeb crossings totaled 262, broadly unchanged from last week's initial 260. Laden movements held at 168, while TSS adherence rose from 90.8% to 92.7% and dark transits fell from 24 to 19. No IMO-confirmed attacks were recorded in the area during the week, although the Houthi threat persisted.
✔️ OFAC sanctions targeted vessels with recent chokepoint activity. OFAC identified 9 cargo and support vessels as blocked property on 21 October under Operation Economic Outcast. Kpler data show 5 of these vessels made 12 crossings of Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb between May and September, including movements involving Iranian-origin cargo and dark transits.
#News #Iran #Hormuz #Oman #US #MaritimeNews #TSS #Shipping #Traffic #IMO #Houthi #OFAC #Sanctions #DarkFleet #ShadowFleet
Source: @MarineTraffic, @Kpler, Yuan Li.
marinetraffic.com/en/maritim…
OSINT MASR retweeted
7m/101y #UnitedStates Air Force USAF 2nd shuttle flight of the day Beech C-12F Huron 73-1216 #AE130F arriving into Beirut RWY03 (north wind now) from Larnaca as #COBRA66
6th of the month/100th arrival into #Lebanon of the year #UnitedStates Air Force USAF Beech C-12C Huron 73-1216 #AE130F from Cairo into Beirut then expected onwards to Larnaca back to Beirut 1 more time later, Larnaca again & finally to Cairo as #COBRA66 same trips as Oct17
OSINT MASR retweeted
6th of the month/100th arrival into #Lebanon of the year #UnitedStates Air Force USAF Beech C-12C Huron 73-1216 #AE130F from Cairo into Beirut then expected onwards to Larnaca back to Beirut 1 more time later, Larnaca again & finally to Cairo as #COBRA66 same trips as Oct17
5m/99y #UnitedStates Air Force Special Operations Command AFSOC MC130 from unknown from the east into Hamat Air Base on Wednesday night & back out to the east via Syria as #SMOKE52 (new callsign) no ADSB track, registration or additional information available
OSINT MASR retweeted
CENTCOM footage posted on October 23, 2026, showing U.S. Marines launching F-35C stealth fighters, appears to have been filmed at Israel’s Ovda Airbase, based on the interior design of the hardened aircraft shelter.
C [Approximate]: 29.940359, 34.939982
OSINT MASR retweeted
THE AIRLINE PILOT WHO ALLEGEDLY REHEARSED HIS ATTACK
Two routine passenger flights. One alleged reconnaissance mission. And a planned attack on Israel’s busiest airport.
On September 30, 2026, flydubai Flight FZ1073 was cruising at approximately 34,000 feet over Saudi Arabia when its copilot allegedly attempted to hijack the Boeing 737 MAX 8, registered A6-FKF.
According to UAE prosecutors, 29 year old Omani copilot Hamam al-Hammami planned to crash the aircraft into the passenger terminal at Ben-Gurion International Airport, inspired by the September 11 attacks.
But investigators uncovered something even more disturbing.
Prosecutors allege he had flown the Dubai–Tel Aviv route twice before, using legitimate airline flights to study the route and intended target.
On September 30, he allegedly attacked Captain Smit Machchhar with an emergency axe. Despite serious injuries, the captain managed to summon help. Other pilots and passengers intervened and restrained the copilot.
Flight-tracking data recorded violent altitude excursions, including a descent exceeding 14,000 feet. The aircraft eventually diverted to Tabuk, Saudi Arabia, with visible damage to its rudder.
Investigators are examining whether the suspect acted alone. Although aircraft records show A6-FKF operating the Tel Aviv route earlier in September, the specific reconnaissance flights and aircraft remain unidentified.
What makes this case particularly unsettling is the alleged exploitation of legitimate airline operations for hostile reconnaissance. A trained pilot, authorized cockpit access, and routine passenger flights reportedly became part of the preparation for a terrorist attack.
AIRCRAFT HISTORY JUNKY
#AircraftHistoryJunky #Flydubai #FZ1073 #Boeing737MAX #AviationIntelligence #AviationSecurity #Counterterrorism #CovertOperations #OSINT #AviationHistory #IntelligenceOperations
🤖 Made with AI
OSINT MASR retweeted
BREAKING: Four Pilots Killed as Two Philippine Air Force SF-260 Aircraft Collide Midair
Two Philippine Air Force (PAF) SF-260 trainer aircraft collided midair during a training flight near Fernando Air Base in Lipa City, Batangas, at approximately 3:00 p.m. local time.
Four pilots were killed in the collision.
🧵 On October 10, the Egyptian Armed Forces announced the third and largest phase of Operation Southern Shield, but things developed very rapidly after that, as we monitor the details regarding the objectives and consequences of the operation.
#sudan #egypt #airforce #airstrikes
Some GCC and Middle Eastern countries funded regional militias and backed major powers’ efforts to dominate new areas, forcing others to defend their positions under dangerous conditions. A belated awakening does not undo the consequences.
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#Militias #USA
#Russian #Mil_Bases
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While we discuss the final results, we must consider what the hidden objectives behind these operations are and what cross-border messages they contain.
The question remains: what's next in the coming period?
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#DeterrenceMessage #Egypt #Sudan_war
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