One persons conspiracy theory is another persons objective truth 🛸👽

Chicago, IL
Joined February 2015
🕶️🚀🛸🇺🇸
Replying to @PythiaR
Future is so bright 🚀
3
746
Orcus Varuna retweeted
People shit on AI at their own peril nowadays. In the hands of competent individuals, you can do amazing things with AI. And I say that based off what WE have. Based on what someone like Elon has access to? Numerically solving politics wouldn't be too big of an ask...
Replying to @SuitablePolitic
Elon and Trump have a military-grade agentic model at their disposal with an unlimited token budget. They seem very calm compared to prior cycles, I wonder why🤔
1
2
32
1,323
Orcus Varuna retweeted
If your company refers to engineers as the IT department, you have nothing to worry about. You were already breached last week.
354
1,327
209
25,397
701,544
Orcus Varuna retweeted
Feel free to give up on heroic and romantic mathematics, Sir. We don’t know each other, but I have admired your work. Yet I offer an alternate interpretation, respectfully. We have simply forgotten what it is like to live among true giants. True heroes. von Neumann, Einstein, Grothendieck, Weyl, Turing, Gödel, Cartan, Shannon, Weil, Kolmogorov, Serre, Gelfand, Feynman, Dyson, Chern, Leray, Kodaira, Milnor, Atiyah, Singer, Thom, Bott, Borel, Harish-Chandra, Wiener, Courant, Pontryagin, Bohr, Heisenberg, Dirac, Schrödinger, Fermi, Pauli, Landau, Schwinger, Tomonaga, Yang, Oppenheimer, Wigner, Wheeler, Bethe, Bose, de Broglie, Yukawa, Gell-Mann, Salam, Weinberg, Dyson, Chandrasekhar etc., etc. were all alive on New Years Day 1954. That’s not nostalgia. That is how far we have fallen in this preposterous era you have celebrated. This is absolutely categorically *NOT* the romantic era of individual heroism. This has been the era of mostly modest, professional, institutional incrementalism…with an occasional Grisha Perelman or Witten. PREDICTION: AI is going to break this stranglehold that our leadership has had on credit assignment, how fast we are allowed to go, and who lives and dies within this community. And you are absolutely free to take the other side of that. But you might stop trying to speak as the leader of mathematics and mathematicians who do not agree with many of your mysterious recent statements. Respectfully.
Mathematician Terence Tao: "we're seeing the end of the romantic era of mathematics, the age of heroes. we're moving into an industrial era where math becomes large-scale, done in big teams like the other sciences" We're entering, rather unwillingly, a new era where exciting new things are possible, but some things are being lost
190
240
39
2,825
226,572
Fire every economist at the Fed and start over from scratch
Coffee shops boost innovation. 10% more Starbucks in an area --> 3-4% more inventions. People gather over a cuppa. They share ideas, discuss how to untangle a knotty problem, help see an issue from another perspective. These conversations lead to breakthroughs and inventions. A very fun paper finds that when Starbucks rolled out to a new county, it fueled a coffee-shop culture, urging more and more people to “grab a coffee” together. The authors compare the counties where Starbucks had rolled out to those where it had not yet arrived. And they find that the number of patents in caffeinated counties is meaningfully higher. This paper underscores how essential the face-to-face encounter is. Starbucks isn’t that old. People Could have picked up the phone and chatted at any time. People Could have dropped an email. Probably they did. But those connections didn’t yield the same insights and creativity. Turns out that a Cup of Joe really does help the knowledge flow. We talk about how much in-person connection boosts creativity in In Person. It’s out in just few days, so now is a great time to pre-order. To see the full research use the link in the comments. #Innovation #InPerson #FutureOfWork #CoffeeCulture #NewBook
25
16
641
23,057
This is my wheelhouse and I have to be honest, I have serious concerns. The doxycycline switch defaults to off, so a missed dose should cut expression, not release it. That still leaves promoter leak, incomplete shutoff after the course ends, and the chance of a rare integration event creating a persistent allele. Those risks are not zero, and that is too high for me to be comfortable with this already in human trials. IMO there are cleaner control paths than a drug-on promoter, including miRNA target sites or an RNAi rheostat that can be turned down without relying on perfect daily compliance. That still is not a zero risk of a persistent allele if the cassette integrates, but the off state is tighter and less dependent on the participant never missing a dose.
Told you to watch Sinclairs work this year 😉
1
2
127
My biggest fear is an unanticipated expression event that freezes this program and makes every similar partial-reprogramming trial harder to run
34
Orcus Varuna retweeted
Replying to @Adrian_Bisson
If you’ve ever worked on consumer products, the only way to survive is to understand that every vector will be pressured-tested. If you don’t think like an adversary, you will be taken advantage of to the maximum extent possible.
50
43
19
1,446
73,401
First off the nerds aren’t thinking creatively enough. Second the primary objective is to fuck the rest of the world. Price at the pump is secondary. There are clear objectives for anyone actually paying attention. Escalate Iran. Regime change. Let them destroy whatever gulf infrastructure they can get their hands on. Kill every single person in the IRGC. From the sky. Indiscriminately. Just bomb and bomb some more. Use AI and drones to target. Europe panics. Asia panics. Beg for LNG exports. Meanwhile Ukraine keeps hitting Russian energy infra. Oopsie. Incredibly confusing times for the flag in bio crowd. Hit Canada with 100% tariffs. Excludes albertan energy from said tariffs. Emergency measures to ramp VZ supply. Takes time? Who cares, good enough to justify draining SPR to zero. Mail some checks. Tax some energy companies. Mail some more checks. Win midterms. Decouple from China. This isn’t rocket science folks.
A diesel export ban won’t help fix rising fuel prices. Here’s why. 👇🧵
65
28
8
518
52,028
Orcus Varuna retweeted
You did not go gentle into that good night.
1,038
6,402
344
35,009
1,113,307
Digital is solved. Brockman said they have multiple models in reserve. Brown said scaling laws are holding. Focus on robotics, sensors, wet lab automation and rapid admin automation plays. Everything that needs to be funded will be funded. Long compute. Long compute. Long more compute. Most of you were born into a four or five decade stretch where society lacked imagination. Something went wrong in the 70s. We lost our mojo for a bit. We are about to get it back. Be optimistic. The future is here. We’ve done this before you just weren’t alive for it. Los alamos. Freedoms forge. Apollo. Accelerate, anon 🚀
84
228
38
3,815
188,043
Orcus Varuna retweeted
Replying to @ericweinstein
This is how you know physics has been played out for several decades: even silly theories with no testable predictions still get time in the spotlight
560
298
79
7,278
581,806
Orcus Varuna retweeted
Replying to @MattWalshBlog
Can we stop downplaying ADHD? Go after the overdiagnosis, especially of young boys, but don’t attribute every diagnosis as made up. True inattentive ADHD is a genuine malfunction, a short-circuiting of the attention system, not just “can’t focus on boring stuff.” Unmedicated example: making a left turn. Check left, check right… the oncoming car never registers in the handoff from visual cortex to short-term memory. I pull out because my brain never flagged the danger, and I nearly (or do) cause an accident. It breaks even on things I enjoy. In games I lose track of teammates and ammo. Reading something interesting, I reread the same pages multiple times the moment any distraction hits. It’s a dangerously impairing condition that is highly treatable with relatively low doses of the much-derided amphetamine-class medications. The real problem is loose diagnoses from poorly qualified family medicine docs and APPs, plus the absurd doses those same unqualified prescribers hand out.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​..
2
2
12
290
Maybe the end goal of everyone being “fired” is the horrific social contract we are currently entered into against our will with financial institutions and governments must be rewritten to remain solvent. I.e. when death is cured and a job is not needed to survive, what does that world look like? I firmly believe it is a world of abundance and an opportunity for humanity to chart a better path forward 🫡
The anti-datacenter movement is literally the most rational response imaginable to an industry whose leaders have publicly said the best case scenario for their product is to get everyone fired. If you can’t see this then your brain is in late stage tech rot.
1
155
Clear as could be @TMTLongShort However, I’m a touch more pessimistic on the midterms. Wrapping up a 16-day cross-country road trip and gas is still painful, even in oil country. Paid $4.76 for regular outside Rapid City and diesel was pushing $5.50. In rural Indiana, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Ohio that actually matters. Filling our Grand Wagoneer every few days at those prices is brutal when you’re racking up rural life miles. Food isn’t cheap either, $125 (with tip) for a family of three plus a baby at a basic diner in a pop. 476 not on an interstate Wyoming town. My pessimistic take is rural 85/87 at $4.75+ and expensive Albertan diesel cascading into everything else is a problem when people drive 45 miles each way just to get groceries. Trump already has a hard enough time getting people out for non-headline races. If everyday costs stay this high, it can quietly suppress turnout in the places that will decide the House.
Midterms aren’t at risk. Americans don’t care about foreign policy. Oil shock will not touch Americans. We will ban refined product exports and fuck the Europeans access to supply just as they get ravaged by El Niño. The Iran theatre will escalate and infra will be destroyed. The Canadian economy will go through the most severe depression in decades and Carney will ultimately resign. Brazil will swing rightward and Cuba will be regime changed cementing fortress Americas. We will build and hegemony will be secured 🫡
1
2
193
Orcus Varuna retweeted
A Luneburg lens bends an Electromagnetic wave without a curved boundary. Instead its dielectric constant changes continuously from the centre to the edge. This forces different parts of the wavelength to travel at different speeds. Here, we solve the full 2D TM EM wave equation on an unstructured triangular mesh using the Finite Element Method (FEM).
82
482
29
5,101
2,031,675
Everything Elon says looks shady at first. The dozens of rockets that went boom on the road to landing them on drone ships, the low latency high speed internet that couldn’t possibly work through clouds, a premium compact EV under $50k, using micro variations in brain waves to control a mouse/keyboard, etc: No doubt this is hard but the dude employs the brightest collection of bench to real world engineers on the planet. My guess is he figures out the kinks and gets it done, albeit probably not at the scale eluded to in recent posts.
Replying to @beffjezos
Terafab looks quite shady given it assumes millions of Optimus robots / year, widespread robotaxi deployment, and DCs in the sky, to justify capacity. But once you are already operating in fantasy land, beating ASML is surely not out of the question.
2
204
Orcus Varuna retweeted
This is the way forward for the AI industry.
MY DATA CENTER POLICY PLEDGE: OHIOANS-FIRST A top concern I hear from Ohioans across our state – second only to property taxes – is the accelerating pace of data center expansion. Key citizen concerns about data centers include rising electric bills, noise, pollution, and the absence of clearly defined economic benefits for Ohio families. The data center industry has badly failed to earn the trust of millions of everyday Ohioans who are struggling with electric bills and property taxes, wondering why large corporations receive property tax abatements while ordinary homeowners don’t receive the same. There are hundreds of data centers already across our state, and the pace of construction is accelerating. While I had no part in these past projects, I am committed to ensuring our policies catch up to current realities. Despite my opponents’ claims, I’m not “pro-data center.” I’m pro-Ohio, and I have a plan to fix the problem. At the same time, I also hear from Ohio's workers about the need to attract high-paying construction jobs to our state, for which the data center boom has been helpful. Preserving economic growth, capital investment, and high-paying jobs in Ohio is also a vital objective. After traveling all 88 counties and listening to workers, farmers, union leaders, building trades, small business owners, environmental groups, and grassroots activists, I am convinced that the best path forward is neither unrestrained data center growth nor a permanent categorical ban. The right answer is a policy framework that allows Ohio families to prosper economically while protecting local communities. Today I am announcing my policy pledge to Ohioans on data centers. If a data center is built in your community, then (i) you will no longer have to pay for your home’s electricity, (ii) you will pay lower property taxes, and (iii) the data center will be required to abide by all air and water quality standards without exception, and we will take the necessary steps to protect Ohio’s fertile farmland. If any one of these three conditions is not met, the data center won’t be built. Period. I will work with Ohio’s state legislature to codify these commitments into law immediately after I assume office. To ensure urgency, I will further issue an executive order on my first day in office to immediately halt the approval of any new data center project announcements in Ohio, until the above-mentioned data center legislation takes effect. These policy objectives are consistent with the principles I have articulated over the first 18 months of my campaign, and today I am making a legislative commitment to codify them into state law. My Democrat opponent recently announced that data centers must not contribute to higher electric bills for ratepayers, a concept that I advocated for in early 2025 long before she started parroting the same. This is obvious but insufficient. We can and must go further for Ohio families. Eliminating electricity costs is the right objective. If Ohio’s governor sets this as a clear requirement and negotiates accordingly, I am confident that hyper scalers would be willing to fully cover the cost of power for Ohioans who reside near a data center. That requires the acumen of a businessman, not a bureaucrat, at the top. This is very practical to implement. Data centers could generate power behind their own meter, and the excess power generated can be credited to the electric charges on a residential customer’s electric bill within a certain radius (the “benefit zone”). This would operate as if customers in the benefit zone had executed a power purchase agreement with the power plant, but at no cost. For example, if a data center is constructed along with a 1,000 megawatt (MW) natural gas or nuclear power plant, and the data center uses 700MW of that electricity, the remaining 300MW would flow to the power grid. State law would define the benefit zone and credit the 300MW across all residential customers within that zone. Even 100MW would power 75,000-100,000 homes. Given the potential to power so many homes, most of Ohio’s counties would fit entirely within a benefit zone – which means every resident in the county would pay nothing for their electricity if a data center were built there. Alternatively, data centers could also directly reimburse residential customers within the benefit zone for their electric bills. In addition to providing free electricity for local residents, my plan would also deliver property tax relief to Ohioans within the benefit zone – by prohibiting property tax abatements for future data centers and creating a property tax rebate for Ohio homeowners. That is, data centers would be required to pay 100% of their property taxes without abatements, and these property tax revenues would directly fund property tax rebates for homeowners. This helps deliver major property tax relief for Ohio families without hurting local police, schools, or firemen – and may become essential with a looming ballot initiative to eliminate property taxes expected in 2027. Finally, my plan ensures that data centers do not receive special exemptions on air and water quality standards and that our farmland is protected. This respects local conservation objectives, while also giving companies a predictable regulatory environment. Simply put: if a data center is going to be built in Ohio, we will require it to minimize its water usage by recycling and reusing its water with the best available technology. We will also require that when the water is released, it comes out just as clean as when the data center took it in. That’s common sense. We will also emphasize the use of vacant and former industrial sites known as brownfields, rather than the use of fertile farmland. Our water and farmland are some of Ohio’s greatest and most precious resources, and my plan ensures that they are protected for all Ohioans. Ohio requires a governor who is willing to listen and to adopt thoughtful solutions that actually put Ohioans first, by carefully weighing costs and benefits rather than spouting off meaningless proclamations. That means supporting economic growth for Ohio’s workers, while ensuring that we do it in a way that helps all Ohioans. In sum, my administration will eliminate electricity costs and reduce property taxes for homeowners, while also ensuring that all environmental laws are respected and that farmland is preserved. No data center will be built in Ohio without actualizing these commitments. I look forward to signing legislation in early 2027 to turn this vision into reality.
52
53
3
1,136
251,574
We need to have a serious conversation re the game theory of geopol and what Xi’s incentive structure looks like because I think you guys at the labs have not spent enough time studying the enemy.
trump is the superintelligence president. the only thing he and his team will be remembered for is if they get this one right or not. if he brokers a bilateral agreement with china on pacing the frontier he goes down as one of the best presidents of all time. nobel peace prize
22
12
1
303
53,078
If we don’t eradicate cancer, PF/CF, atherosclerosis, dementia, etc. AND we don’t realize our best chance in human history to permanently eradicate scarcity because Dario, Sam, Ilya, and the lot are the worst PR humans I have ever seen… 🤬 They all need to drop everything else they are working on and pour whatever resources they have into flipping the single liberal and dinks under 40 crowd into AI maxis NOW! Failing to do so is the greatest long term risk to their businesses and humanity full stop…
1
1
86