@P14Capital

P14 Capital uncovers undervalued opportunities in SMID-cap equities. Long-biased and generalist. Not investment advice. Free research below:

p14capital.substack.com
Joined January 2025
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  • Followers1.5K
257Media
it may be over chat $SOXX
3X Long Labubu
@labubu_trader4h
Double Kill of “capex peak”
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$ORCL - the oldest are always the most experienced. Larry rugged the entire $SOXX LOL
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super confusing
P14 Capital
@P14Capital5h
unbelievable to see semis green lol $SOXX
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unbelievable to see semis green lol $SOXX
3X Long Labubu
@labubu_trader5h
this is super bullish for clouds especially $ORCL But negative towards semis as this is the first call of capex peak. BTW FY2027-2028 means CY June 2026 to May 2028 for oracle.
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The timing of this piece was extremely off. Nothing has changed fundamentally about my top pick $FSLR. I truly think this can bid into midterms. More importantly I think Q3 will display a strong acceleration in orders. I am long 180Cs Nov at $5.00 (now at $8.00). I think a dip into FOMC tomorrow should be gobbled up. NFA.
P14 Capital
@P14CapitalAug 30
$FSLR is my top pick. Mini-thesis below:
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Price action today in Brazil exchanges is beyond amusing lol: $XP, $BOLSY. These are solid prices if your horizon is more than a quarter
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$FSLR nothing has really changed about the thesis. The timing of this comment was obviously off (lol) but I truly think this can bid into midterms. More importantly I think Q3 will display a strong acceleration in orders. Seeing several bids on 175-185 calls 10/30 expiry.
P14 Capital
@P14CapitalSep 2
Really like $FSLR here, finding a bottom near $200.
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Brazil is probably a buy after the dust settles in a few weeks or so. Its funny how participants see conservatives as saviors for financial markets. The effects are quite often short-lived and revert faster than expected. Its never that deep. $EWZ
P14 Capital
@P14CapitalOct 5
Turns out my Brazil thesis is playing out well... I will note that a time to exit longs is approaching soon. Participants tend to read too much into a right-wing win. They are not all that different...
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Seeing a lot of bears turn bullish which probably means we have lower to go
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hope you exited longs
P14 Capital
@P14CapitalOct 5
Turns out my Brazil thesis is playing out well... I will note that a time to exit longs is approaching soon. Participants tend to read too much into a right-wing win. They are not all that different...
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$CRWD, $PANW and all the other overvalued cyber names are the best shorts until eoy
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$PLTR, $CRWD, $NET - these overvalued software names will be the last ball to drop next week. Especially $PLTR
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$SPCX pretty clear the reason for the outsized drop right? Expect more pressure next week:
P14 Capital
@P14CapitalOct 22
$SPCX - lol
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$SPCX - lol
P14 Capital
@P14CapitalOct 21
Exactly, fade this. Pretty obvious the motive here is to alleviate some pressure with the sheer number of equity supply with share unlocks. $SPCX
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$FPS - Now that we have breached the bear case following the announcement of the CFO stepping down, with no deterioration in fundamentals (Q1 guide looks good), it may make sense to dabble in this again. My take is to wait for the smoke to clear in semis before doing so.
P14 Capital
@P14CapitalOct 22
$FPS fyi I closed out most at $40. My PT was $42 and we peaked close to it at $41.60. I am not a Discord channel providing buy/sell targets. This is equity research. Positioning and risk appetite are up to the reader.
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$FPS fyi I closed out most at $40. My PT was $42 and we peaked close to it at $41.60. I am not a Discord channel providing buy/sell targets. This is equity research. Positioning and risk appetite are up to the reader.
P14 Capital
@P14CapitalSep 11
New by P14: Long $FPS | Oversold with data center and grid tailwinds; 45% upside. ⬇️ Pitch published this early AM (dated as of yesterday's close). +6.5% since pitch. Solid r/r with FY4Q26 earnings on 09/15. Subscribe for FREE.
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COOKED
based16z
@based16zOct 22
Good luck everybody
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still a gift
P14 Capital
@P14CapitalOct 22
still a gift $PLTR short
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black thursday
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