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Why did Harry Kane’s chances of winning the Ballon d’Or jump from 45% to 75% in October?
X news feed by PolyHelper gives you the full context without even leaving Polymarket
It’s that simple
1,000,000 trades have been made using PolyHelper
We’re incredibly proud of this milestone. Back to building
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All the smart money on Polymarket are now in one market
The Fed decision is today, and traders are pricing an 88% chance of a 25 bps hike
But it looks like smart money are already in consensus...
The top 50 Yes holders have a combined PnL of $16.9M
Meanwhile, the top 50 No holders are at -$11.6M
Looks like no suspense again today
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That rare case when a polymarket is almost at consensus (90%), but smart money are still split
For the Clarity Act polymarket, Top holders PnL shows a pretty unexpected picture:
$6.1M combined PnL for the top 50 Yes holders
$6.3M combined PnL for the top 50 No holders
No holders probably just don’t believe it actually happens this year, while Yes holders still see +EV at current prices
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Fed Decision in September is one of the most popular polymarkets right now
PolyHelper makes it easier to analyze with two features:
• X news feed
The latest news from key sources on X, right inside the Polymarket interface
• Macro intelligence
Historical rate changes and other relevant macroeconomic indicators
Everything you need for research in one place
Replying to @SheikhSilicon @Polymarket
that's not how it works
if you have 13 legs combo with 90% chance each, your combo payout will be ~14x
so math is okay here
Replying to @tsybka @PolymarketTrade
this aged well
really poor performance
Replying to @SheikhSilicon @Polymarket
so always buy no is a cheatcode?
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Tweets market feature successfully predicted how many times Elon Musk would post
August 24, 8:35 AM UTC:
• 320–339 posts trading at 37c
• Tweets feature projected 331 posts
August 25, 4 PM UTC:
• 320–339 wins
• 37c → 100c (2.7x)
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