Prediction markets intelligence desk. Access real-time alerts on Telegram: @Predictbook.
Joined June 2022
- Tweets1.7K
- Following84
- Followers579
- Likes239
Pinned Tweet
What tools are you actually using to trade on prediction markets?
We've been keeping an open directory of them. 57 so far: wallet trackers, whale alerts, terminals, copy trading, odds aggregators, data APIs. Most were submitted by the teams that built them.
Missing something you use? Drop it below / add a PR.
github.com/Predictbook/aweso…
Our analysis examines whether that growth supports traders optimism despite concerns over AI spending.
predictbook.co/analysis/trad…
💻 Anthropic’s IPO valuation expectations have cooled, but Polymarket traders remain bullish on its stock-market debut.
A market cap of $1.75T–$2T at the close of its first trading day is the leading range at 32%.
The company’s S-1 showed first-half 2026 revenue of $16.3B, up from $1.2B a year earlier, while its operating loss narrowed to $693M.
$100 on Serbia’s Student List a week before the result would have returned $317.46.
YES shares were trading at 31.5¢ on October 19. Here’s how that week unfolded.
🇮🇱 Israel is voting, and Polymarket favors Gadi Eisenkot to become prime minister. But the outcome will also depend on coalition talks.
The former IDF chief has a 62% chance, ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu at 24% and Naftali Bennett at 9%.
Pre-election polling left neither bloc assured of a parliamentary majority, making smaller parties crucial to negotiations that could take weeks.
Our analyst @Journalancer examines Eisenkot market lead and the obstacles to forming the next government.
Our analysis examines Democrats late push and the Republican advantage traders still expect to hold.
predictbook.co/analysis/trum…
🇺🇸 Trump is rallying behind Cindy Hyde-Smith. Obama is backing Scott Colom. Mississippi’s Senate race is drawing national attention.
Polymarket gives Republican Hyde-Smith an 87% chance of reelection, versus 14% for Democrat Colom. A Change Research poll puts voter support much closer: 43% for Hyde-Smith and 40% for Colom.
On Kalshi 35% chance no one is the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election.
JUST IN: S&P Dow Jones Indices is teaming up with Kalshi to build prediction-market indices.
S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi will develop benchmarks composed of event contracts. Potential themes include political power, supply-chain risks, AI’s impact on employment and weather.
CEO Tarek Mansour says future products based on these indices could offer diversified exposure to real-world events and new ways to hedge their impact.
A Polymarket trader has $117.7K on the Fed NOT raising rates by 25 basis points in October.
The latest buy added $104.6K at 93¢, bringing the potential payout to $127.6K if the outcome resolves NO.
🇮🇱 Israel votes as Polymarket favors Eizenkot to become the next prime minister.
Polymarket gives Gadi Eizenkot a 62% chance of becoming prime minister after the election, ahead of Netanyahu at 27% and Naftali Bennett at 8%.
More than $58M has been traded on on who will lead the next government.
Prediction markets are competing for official sports rights.
The NBA is the latest addition, naming @Kalshi and @Polymarket its preferred prediction market exchanges on October 26.
Here is who’s partnering with whom, and what each deal includes.
