Assistant Professor of Political Science at Brown. Tweets about politics of Race and Criminal Justice. Occasional cat photos.
Providence, RI
Joined September 2017
- Tweets220
- Following698
- Followers340
- Likes843
Pinned Tweet
One last time. Tuxedo returns to form, khakis making their first and last appearance. The combination of crocs, jersey and bow tie remains undefeated.
Eternally grateful to have taught such wonderful students, even if their sartorial suggestions are a bit suspect.
Tweed upsets tuxedo, but crocs, jersey and bowtie remain undefeated. What would @dieworkwear say?
Thanks as always to my fashion savy students in pols1140.paultesta.org #LetEmKnow
3
166
Tweed upsets tuxedo, but crocs, jersey and bowtie remain undefeated. What would @dieworkwear say?
Thanks as always to my fashion savy students in pols1140.paultesta.org #LetEmKnow
Apparently, khakis are in right now, but the pairing of tuxedo, crocs, bow tie and soccer jersey remains a timeless combination. Thanks pols1600.paultesta.org
Paul Testa retweeted
What do elites want from the foreign aid they receive? Conjoint experiment in 141 countries w/ @samanthajcuster and Phil Roessler, now online @AJPS_Editor onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/…
Paul Testa retweeted
Election narratives, meet data analysis 🔍 Our team at @ucla_vrp is breaking down election night trends, and this is just the beginning. Stay tuned for more insights—follow us to stay informed. 🗳️📊 #Election2024
Paul Testa retweeted
Worth remembering before the blame-game gets too personal: "Democrats join 2024’s graveyard of incumbents", @jburnmurdoch ft.com/content/e8ac09ea-c300… via @ft
Paul Testa retweeted
Decided to go through this systematically. Incumbent government performance in wealthy democracies since March 2022, when Ukraine invasion really spiked things upwards: 🧵
Paul Testa retweeted
My initial take on Trump's win:
goodauthority.org/news/where…
His gains were widespread, so explanations should start with the broadest factors -- not with bespoke stories about states, cities, counties, and groups.
The simplest explanation: party of unpopular incumbent loses.
1/2
Paul Testa retweeted
I don't have many strong and informed opinions, but when it comes to PoC politics, that's one exception because I study them. Lots of ill takes here on PoC & the election. Rather than criticize, let me provide some evidence-based input on the election and the preceding months🧵
Paul Testa retweeted
— Dr. Paul Testa, Assistant Professor of Political Science at Brown University. Watch here youtube.com/live/HQdFMPdDKnE…
Paul Testa retweeted
Nate's data is coming from this tracker from the @JECRepublicans. They don't have a state-level inflation estimate either, though. They just use BLS's estimate of regional inflation and apply it to an estimate of household spending when Biden took office.
jec.senate.gov/public/index.…
Peter's right (of course), but I still think the larger issue is more with the measure of inflation, than leaving out ",r"
The point is not that robust and homoskedastic SEs may be similar in practice. The point is there's basically no reason to use the latter when the former (or better HC's) is available. And Nate should know this
2
185
Seeing lots of folks dunk on this tweet for various reasons. The analysis is probably not great, but not for the reasons people think.
🧵
Looking at inflation by Census division there's a lot of variation. Maybe you could say something like Harris is underperforming the 2020 benchmark in richer Blue states, and overperforming in poorer Red states but story for inflation isn't all that clear with these data.
