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🏀 NBA Play (11/6)
PJ Washington o1.5 Threes Made
#MFFL
Collab with @QuicksProps ⚡️
Sneaky spot here to back PJ Washington we need him to make 2 threes. This season he has cleared this line 6/8 games, but what makes this prop really stand out is the sheer volume he puts up.
Last 5 games the numbers went like this 👇
8 3PA, 8 3PA, 5 3PA, 7 3PA and 11 3PA
There's no reason that he doesn't continue to shoot from three when 47% of his shots are all 3 pointers. 35% come from the top of the key/wing where the Jazz defend at a bottom third in the league.
The Utah Jazz rank 26th in the NBA this season allowing 3.5 in total 3's per game.
We have seen other SF's similar to Washington clear this line:
✅ Saddiq Bey 2 3's
✅ Toumani Camara 4 3's
✅ Julian Champagnie 2 3's
✅ Jerami Grant 3 3's
Minutes shouldn't be an issue here as he's projected 34.7, and has seen 30+ in every game this year besides vs OKC which was due to a blowout.
With Cooper Flagg commanding double teams, and Kyrie Irving looking phenomenal this season PJ Washington should find himself with plenty of opportunities to let the ball fly and get at least 2 3's through the net.
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NBA POTD #2 | (11/6) 🏀
PJ Washington "O" 1.5 3PM (-125) | @OnyxOdds
#MFFL
Collab w/ @DDOGGSTACKS 🐾
Sneaky spot here to back PJ Washington we need him to make 2 threes. This season he has cleared this line 6/8 games, but what makes this prop really stand out is the sheer volume he puts up.
Last 5 games the numbers went like this 👇
8 3PA, 8 3PA, 5 3PA, 7 3PA and 11 3PA
There's no reason that he doesn't continue to shoot from three when 47% of his shots are all 3 pointers. 35% come from the top of the key/wing where the Jazz defend at a bottom third in the league.
The Utah Jazz rank 26th in the NBA this season allowing 3.5 in total 3's per game.
We have seen other SF's similar to Washington clear this line:
✅ Saddiq Bey 2 3's
✅ Toumani Camara 4 3's
✅ Julian Champagnie 2 3's
✅ Jerami Grant 3 3's
Minutes shouldn't be an issue here as he's projected 34.7, and has seen 30+ in every game this year besides vs OKC which was due to a blowout.
With Cooper Flagg commanding double teams, and Kyrie Irving looking phenomenal this season PJ Washington should find himself with plenty of opportunities to let the ball fly and get at least 2 3's through the net.
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PERFECT MATCHUP 📈
NBA POTD #1 | (11/6) 🏀
Robert Williams "O" 11.5 PR (-125) | @FanDuel
#RipCity
Perfect spot for tomorrow night as Robert WIlliams should be seeing a lot more minutes in this game. It's not a coincidence he played a season high of 21 minutes this season when he faced the Lakers the first time.
Clingan is big but he can't defend anything thats not drop coverage inside the paint. Luka Doncic is playing absolutely OUT OF HIS MIND right now, and combine that with the pick and roll with Walker Kessler this would get bad real fast if they can't have versatile players on the floor.
This is an alright matchup for Robert Williams analytically vs centers for rebounds and points but when he plays 17+ minutes a night he is over this line 9/10 last games. H2H 100% cleared and 26 of his last 30 total games which is an 87% rate.
With no injury designation for William's there shouldn't be any minute restrictions and I think he'll see upwords of 20+ minutes tomorrow.
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NBA POTD #1 | (11/2) 🏀
Davion Mitchell "O" 19.5 PA (-105) | @Fanatics
#heatnation
Love this spot for Davion Mitchell facing the Lakers who has cleared this line at a 100% clip this season.
He faces the Lakers who rank 30th in points allowed to PG's per game 46.3 and 27th in assists per game at 10.8. He has found himself as a main factor in running this offense and has averaged 13.8 potential assists per game.
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NBA POTD #1 | (11/1) 🏀
Julius Randle "O" 27.5 PR (-113) | @Novig
#NetsWorld
Collab w/ @JustLuckyPicks 🍀
Backing Randle here who has been given the green light to do pretty much whatever he wants on this nets team. He gets a very favorable matchup vs the Pacers who are ranked 29th in points allowed to PF's this season (29.8 PPG), and 30th in rebounds allowed (17.3 RPG).
He played the Pacers earlier this year and only ended with 17 but lots of factors have changed since that game. 1) he only played 24 minutes due to a blowout 2) Zubac, and Haliburton were both playing and 3) Nets are missing both ball handlers Mikel Brown Jr, and Egor Demon.
Julius Randle should be set up very comfortably to be 1A/1B of this offense working alongside Michael Porter Jr. Playing the 4 this season he's had a great share of rebounds averaging 7.6 per game with 14 potential rebounds per night.
The key factor to this play is the spread being 3.5. Vegas anticipates this game being a close one so barring any blowouts Randle has played 35+ minutes in all non blowout games this year and cleared this line. This season he is 3/3 clearing this line when playing 35+ minutes.
With all these factors in play Julius Randle PR is a great spot to back!
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🏀NBA POD
1u: Julius Randle o27.5 PR (-112)
#NetsWorld
Collab W/@QuicksProps
Backing Randle here who has been given the green light to do pretty much whatever he wants on this nets team. He gets a very favorable matchup vs the Pacers who are ranked 29th in points allowed to PF's this season (29.8 PPG), and 30th in rebounds allowed (17.3 RPG).
He played the Pacers earlier this year and only ended with 17 but lots of factors have changed since that game. 1) he only played 24 minutes due to a blowout 2) Zubac, and Haliburton were both playing and 3) Nets are missing both ball handlers Mikel Brown Jr, and Egor Demon.
Julius Randle should be set up very comfortably to be 1A/1B of this offense working alongside Michael Porter Jr. Playing the 4 this season he's had a great share of rebounds averaging 7.6 per game with 14 potential rebounds per night.
The key factor to this play is the spread being 3.5. Vegas anticipates this game being a close one so barring any blowouts Randle has played 35+ minutes in all non blowout games this year and cleared this line. This season he is 3/3 clearing this line when playing 35+ minutes.
With all these factors in play Julius Randle PR is a great spot to back!
🔬| @PropsEdge
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NFL POTD #1 | (11/1) 🏈
Hunter Henry "O" 44.5 Rec yards (-111) | @OnyxOdds
#NEPats
Collab w/ @DDOGGSTACKS
Henry is in line for a huge role here as Patriots offense is decimated with injuries. These key players are ALL out for the Patriots
- AJ Brown
- Romeo Doubs
- Mack Hollins
- Treyveon Henderson
- Patriots are also on their 5th and 6th string OG's
The game plan to beat the dolphins will be clear through play action stunts and short passes, which fit Hunter Henry's role like a charm. Josh McDaniels has one of the most predictable schemes and this will be one where Maye will be relying on his saftey blanket all game long as he will be his acting WR 1 / #1 Receiving threat.
The Dolphins come into this game ranked almost DEAD LAST in all categories to TE's
- 7.3 Receptions Per Game (30th)
- 8.2 Targets per game (21st)
- 74.7 Rec yards per game (29th)
It's a clear position mismatch that Drake Maye will find opportunities to find Henry the ball.
We have seen MANY TE's clear their lines vs the Dolphins lately:
- Mason Taylor 62 receiving yards ✅
- Erick All 25 receiving yards ✅
- TJ Hockenson 119 receiving yards ✅
- Travis Kelce 59 receiving yards ✅
Without A.J Brown and in games where he's targeted 5+ times he has cleared this line at a 7/10 rate.
Henry has a receptions line set at 4.5 and targets set at 6.5. It's clear that Henry is expected to have a large role in this offense in a game where the patriots kind of need to win to avoid falling to 4-4.
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🏈 NFL Sunday Play (11/1)
Hunter Henry o44.5 Receiving Yards
#NEPats
Collab with @QuicksProps ⚡️
Henry is in line for a huge role here as Patriots offense is decimated with injuries. These key players are ALL out for the Patriots
- AJ Brown
- Romeo Doubs
- Mack Hollins
- Treyveon Henderson
- Patriots are also on their 5th and 6th string OG's
The game plan to beat the dolphins will be clear through play action stunts and short passes, which fit Hunter Henry's role like a charm. Josh McDaniels has one of the most predictable schemes and this will be one where Maye will be relying on his saftey blanket all game long as he will be his acting WR 1 / #1 Receiving threat.
The Dolphins come into this game ranked almost DEAD LAST in all categories to TE's
- 7.3 Receptions Per Game (30th)
- 8.2 Targets per game (21st)
- 74.7 Rec yards per game (29th)
It's a clear position mismatch that Drake Maye will find opportunities to find Henry the ball.
We have seen MANY TE's clear their lines vs the Dolphins lately:
- Mason Taylor 62 receiving yards ✅
- Erick All 25 receiving yards ✅
- TJ Hockenson 119 receiving yards ✅
- Travis Kelce 59 receiving yards ✅
Without A.J Brown and in games where he's targeted 5+ times he has cleared this line at a 7/10 rate.
Henry has a receptions line set at 4.5 and targets set at 6.5. It's clear that Henry is expected to have a large role in this offense in a game where the patriots kind of need to win to avoid falling to 4-4.
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THIS REFEREE JUST HANDED TOM NOLAN THE WIN BY STANDING HIM UP WHEN MOICANO HAD HIM IN A FULL BODY TRIANGLE. THIS REF IS HORRIBLE.
#UFCVegas123 #UFC
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24 hours left! ⏰
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Obi Toppin "O" 11.5 points ✅
Cash the + money prop on the collab w/ @tkbpicks 🤝
Got real sweaty for no reason he had 10 points at half and got 12 with less than 2 minutes in the 4th.
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NBA POTD #1 | (10/28) 🏀
Obi Toppin "O" 11.5 points (+100) | @Fanatics
#YesCers
Collab w/ @tkbpicks ✍️
- His median across his last ten is 15 points, and this line is 11.5. The log reads 14, 16, 13, 20, 21, 7, 26, 14, 21, 11, eight of ten over, and every one of those games is with Indiana, so there is no team change muddying it.
- Ivica Zubac is out Wednesday with a left ankle sprain, Jay Huff keeps starting, and Toppin is expected to help fill in at center. He is already averaging 15.8 points on 55% shooting through four games.
- The Pacers are thin everywhere else too. Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring) and Andrew Nembhard (neck) are both questionable and T.J. McConnell is out, so there are shots and minutes to go around. He has scored 13 or more in all 4 games this season, which puts this line 1.5 below his floor.
Being straight with you: it is only 4 games this season, and the other 6 in that ten are from last April. He is playing through a sprained left hand, his shooting hand, and he is listed probable. His minutes have sat at 20 to 25, so a cold shooting night caps this.
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THE SLIM REAPER STRIKES
NBA POTD #2 | (10/28) 🏀
Kevin Durant "O" 36.5 PRA (-109) | @courtsideapp
#AllFire
Collab w/ @coleyscashes 📲
Loving this spot for KD to rack up PRA with Alpren Sengun sitting. Since joining the Rockets he has cleared this line 7/9 times when Sengun is out. A 18.3% usage rate for the game has been cleared up with that loss and
Kevin Durant will be one of the main beneficiaries from that. His projected Adj usage is a 44.8%.
The Rockets face the bucks, a favorable matchup as they allow:
32.2 PPG to PF's - 29th worst
13.2 RPG to PF's - 26th worst
4.2 Assists to PF's - 17th worst
There's a clear indicator that favors the over against this bucks defense. Since Alpren Sengun and Steven Adams are still hurt they'll be down to reserve center Clint Capela, I just don't think he will play that much. I think this bucks team will be better matchup against their small ball lineup which would shift Jabari smith Jr to the 5 and KD to the 4. Rockets HC Ime Udoka is not afraid to go small ball as he's done this before.
The good thing about Kevin Durant is that he's a versatile scorer and isn't centered around one move.
29% of his shots are C&S - Bucks rank 27th
24% are <10 FT from the basket - Bucks rank 18th
47% from his mid range pull up - Bucks rank 17th
Durant has been rebounding the ball well to start the season off while Sengun has been playing averaging 6.5 with 11.25 potential rebounds. With an easy matchup that allows 13.2 per game I expect Durant to keep this rebounding trend for another game.
With a favorable matchup and injuries favoring our way there is a clear pathway for KD to get 37+ PRA
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🏀 NBA HUMP DAY BEST PLAY:
collab w/ @QuicksProps ⚡️
Kevin Durant “O” 36.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists (-115)
Played: Onyx | Bet: 1u
• Loving this spot for KD to rack up PRA with Alpren Sengun sitting. Since joining the Rockets he has cleared this line 7/9 times when Sengun is out. A 18.3% usage rate for the game has been cleared up with that loss and Kevin Durant will be one of the main beneficiaries from that. His projected Adj usage is a 44.8%.
• The Rockets face the bucks, a favorable matchup as they allow:
32.2 PPG to PF's - 29th worst
13.2 RPG to PF's - 26th worst
4.2 Assists to PF's - 17th worst
• There's a clear indicator that favors the over against this bucks defense. Since Alpren Sengun and Steven Adams are still hurt they'll be down to reserve center Clint Capela, I just don't think he will play that much. I think this bucks team will be better matchup against their small ball lineup which would shift Jabari smith Jr to the 5 and KD to the 4\. Rockets HC Ime Udoka is not afraid to go small ball as he's done this before.
• The good thing about Kevin Durant is that he's a versatile scorer and isn't centered around one move.
29% of his shots are C&S - Bucks rank 27th
24% are <10 FT from the basket - Bucks rank 18th
47% from his mid range pull up - Bucks rank 17th
• Durant has been rebounding the ball well to start the season off while Sengun has been playing averaging 6.5 with 11.25 potential rebounds. With an easy matchup that allows 13.2 per game I expect Durant to keep this rebounding trend for another game.
• With a favorable matchup and injuries favoring our way there is a clear pathway for KD to get 37+ PRA tonight!
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NBA POTD #1 | (10/28) 🏀
Obi Toppin "O" 11.5 points (+100) | @Fanatics
#YesCers
Collab w/ @tkbpicks ✍️
- His median across his last ten is 15 points, and this line is 11.5. The log reads 14, 16, 13, 20, 21, 7, 26, 14, 21, 11, eight of ten over, and every one of those games is with Indiana, so there is no team change muddying it.
- Ivica Zubac is out Wednesday with a left ankle sprain, Jay Huff keeps starting, and Toppin is expected to help fill in at center. He is already averaging 15.8 points on 55% shooting through four games.
- The Pacers are thin everywhere else too. Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring) and Andrew Nembhard (neck) are both questionable and T.J. McConnell is out, so there are shots and minutes to go around. He has scored 13 or more in all 4 games this season, which puts this line 1.5 below his floor.
Being straight with you: it is only 4 games this season, and the other 6 in that ten are from last April. He is playing through a sprained left hand, his shooting hand, and he is listed probable. His minutes have sat at 20 to 25, so a cold shooting night caps this.
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🏀 nba potd #1 w/ @QuicksProps
🎯 Obi Toppin OVER 11.5 Points (-120) 1u
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Jordan Walsh “O” 4.5 Points ✅
“O” 6.5 Points ✅
10+ Points ✅
#DifferentHere
FULL LADDER 🪜CASH I KNOW YALL TAILED LET ME SEE THEM SLIPS
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THE BEST LADDER ON THE BOARD 🪜
NBA POTD #1 | (10/27) 🏀
Jordan Walsh "O" 4.5 Points (+108) | @Novig
"O" 6.5 (+200) | @FanaticsSports
10+ points (+680) | @FanDuel
#DifferentHere
I think this is the best ladder spot on the board today, gotta go with my gut feeling as yesterday I said Mara DD was calling my name and didn't play it. Can't miss out on this one.
Jordan Walsh signed a 3 year long extension as he was the Celtics project player coming out of Arkansas. He has developed into a great defender for them as he is now in the starting lineup.
The Celtics are playing on a back to back tonight and against the nets with a spread of 11.5. My thought here is that Paul George is going to sit which will increase minutes for the young wings on the team.
If Paul george sits, this line will not be available and the ladder will also not have the same value.
Even if he doesn't sit this matchup is very favorable.
The Brooklyn Nets rank 25th this season in points per game to SF's averaging 26.0, and 30th in 3PM averaging 4.5 per game. 45% of Walsh's shot's come from the 3 point line, and the rest basically make up of the restricted area 48% where brooklyn defends at the 23rd spot in the NBA.
45% shots from Walsh are C&S - Nets ranks 29th
55% shots are < 10 ft - Nets rank 26th
It's clear and obvious that there are multiple scoring pathways for Walsh to get 5+ points at least, and with the expected blowout we will probably see an uptick in his minutes played.
When playing 17+ minutes (his proj.) he is over this line in his last 7/10
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Jordan Walsh "O" 6.5 points ✅ ( +200)
CASH THE FIRST LEG OF THE LADDER LETS GET THE LAST ONE 1 MORE POINTS FOR FULL LADDER CASH
SHOW SOME MF LOVE
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THE BEST LADDER ON THE BOARD 🪜
NBA POTD #1 | (10/27) 🏀
Jordan Walsh "O" 4.5 Points (+108) | @Novig
"O" 6.5 (+200) | @FanaticsSports
10+ points (+680) | @FanDuel
#DifferentHere
I think this is the best ladder spot on the board today, gotta go with my gut feeling as yesterday I said Mara DD was calling my name and didn't play it. Can't miss out on this one.
Jordan Walsh signed a 3 year long extension as he was the Celtics project player coming out of Arkansas. He has developed into a great defender for them as he is now in the starting lineup.
The Celtics are playing on a back to back tonight and against the nets with a spread of 11.5. My thought here is that Paul George is going to sit which will increase minutes for the young wings on the team.
If Paul george sits, this line will not be available and the ladder will also not have the same value.
Even if he doesn't sit this matchup is very favorable.
The Brooklyn Nets rank 25th this season in points per game to SF's averaging 26.0, and 30th in 3PM averaging 4.5 per game. 45% of Walsh's shot's come from the 3 point line, and the rest basically make up of the restricted area 48% where brooklyn defends at the 23rd spot in the NBA.
45% shots from Walsh are C&S - Nets ranks 29th
55% shots are < 10 ft - Nets rank 26th
It's clear and obvious that there are multiple scoring pathways for Walsh to get 5+ points at least, and with the expected blowout we will probably see an uptick in his minutes played.
When playing 17+ minutes (his proj.) he is over this line in his last 7/10
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