FO / HF, L/S securities, real estate, private equity. Behavioral finance. Joyologist. Eastern Shore. Mortimer is greedy. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ #BillsMafia Buffalo native

Joined October 2019
"Federal government is too big!" Oh yeah, how do you know? What's your quantitative routine in analyzing that? It's been getting more efficient since the 1950s. And what kind of systems theory perspective do you have on this question? Do you have a position on how big the
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Randolph Duke ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ retweeted
Bleecker Street Is Short Roblox $RBLX. Please see our full trading disclaimer below as well as on our report. Report Link: bleeckerstreetresearch.com/rโ€ฆ
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The Obama Library is not the White House. Different aesthetic principles entirely. And a former Soros fund manager who owns a 9,000 sq ft pink mansion on the Battery in Charleston throwing shade at "the elites" is pretty funny.
๐ŸšจTreasury Secretary Scott Bessent on President Obama mocking the Cheesecake Factory: โ€œThis is the man who built the museum and it looks like Darth Vaderโ€™s tomb.โ€ Bessent also told @FoxBusiness' @FBNNicoleMac he frequents the Cheesecake Factory and always orders the French dip cheeseburger โ€” and suggested the โ€œMarthaโ€™s Vineyard setโ€ should โ€œgive it a try.โ€
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Randolph Duke ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ retweeted
preparing for the josh vs. lamar discourse this week
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ANT provides zero KPIs on tokens, its basic revenue unit, and has zero mentions of any derivation of the word "watt." Really helpful.
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"Unit costs don't matter."
Replying to @aaronburnett
Accounting depreciation is irrelevant (true depreciation s not). Delivering on projected cash flow is what matters.
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Capital markets theory indicates Ke is most correlated with the marginal cost of unsecured debt.
Goldman buy thesis on $CRWV
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Consensus currently has SPCX "SI" revenue of $133B in 2027, with ending compute capacity of 8.7 GW, implying (after "X") revenue per MW of $23.5M. It's not just the bears who doubt SPCX's "SI" outlook. It's the sellside.
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few years was 13-15 GW annually before these pronouncements from SPCX. If SPCX "SI" doesn't replicate the frontier LLMs' business, that capacity is going to swamp short-term GPU rental rates.
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Not sure how one could be bullish OAI and Ant if SPCX's LLM consumer + enterprise business implications come to pass.
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Not sure why it is so exciting for SPCX to enter mobile telecom into a crowded market where T and VZ generate 6% ROIC.
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About 75% of the way through TSLA's Q3 call and it is a lot of nonsense.
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Gonna be interesting seeing what happens to short-term GPU rental pricing when SPCX pours 2-5 GW per quarter into the spot market.
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Building their own turbines is pretty smart for SPCX. That's definitely an advantage if they can pull it off at 3-5 GW per quarter (a big if).
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So, great for SPCX and Elon. But he kills any esteem I might have for him and SPCX with turning off Starlink on Ukraine.
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Pods chickening out on airlines into earnings on GE print (like airlines are gonna cancel deliveries). Meanwhile, jet fuel going nuts just off the highs (and way above consensus for Q2 2026 into 2027 and 2028.
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Given CRWV's $21B of H2 2026 cash burn, I wonder if the junior bond selloff is senior creditors hedging.\ It's also clear they were very late last quarter bringing on the 500 MW incremental and consensus only has them bringing on 231 MW this quarter. Their execution is flagging.
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Which if true would mean this is more informed / educated selling.
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