
Flight tracking; #Geolocation; ADS-B Feeder. Contributor at @GlobalnewsW (https://xitter.cf/t.co/YCUD5O7paH); volunteer with @GeoConfirmed. #OSINTUnited.
Joined March 2018
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redintelpanda retweeted
GeoConfirmed Iran.
Statement regarding our posts about the bombing of a girls’ elementary school reportedly resulting in the deaths of over 100 girls.
Because many readers still misunderstand our posts or how geolocation verification works, I will explain this as simply as possible.
1) The girls’ school was located next to a military base and according to multiple sources even within the perimeter of that base.
However, this does not make it a legitimate target under the Law of Armed Conflict, even if it was within the premises.
The school was not in Pakistan or Afghanistan, as some claims suggest. (because the location is GeoConfirmed)
The footage is not old.
In Iran, schools are open Saturday through Thursday. (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Workwe…).
Fact: The school, located in Minab, Hormozgan Province, Iran, was destroyed, based on the footage.
Geolocation of the school bombing: xitter.cf/GeoConfirmed/status/20…
-
2) The claim that the explosion was caused by a failed IRGC missile launch has no supporting evidence, at this time (!).
The widely circulated footage used to support this theory originates from a location approximately 1,300 km away from the school.
It is impossible that a missile failure visible there caused the bombing at such a distance.
At this moment, there is no proof that a failed missile launch caused the incident.
(See below or xitter.cf/GeoConfirmed/status/20…)
-
Using logic.
Given the school’s position, next to and possibly integrated into a military facility, the more logical explanation is that the school was mistakenly targeted during an attack on the base.
A thorough investigation is required to confirm this assessment, or additional verifiable evidence must emerge to support alternative claims.
When conducting analyses, always consider the principle of "Occam’s Razor" (en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Occam%…):
"When presented with competing hypotheses about the same prediction and both hypotheses have equal explanatory power, one should prefer the hypothesis that requires the fewest assumptions."
In this case, the only “evidence” for the failed IRGC missile launch claim has been proven false.
Therefore, there is currently no credible evidence supporting that theory.
Reminder:
OSINT, and reporting (journalism) in general, is based on the information available at the time an investigation is conducted. Therefore, analyses may change as new footage or evidence emerges.
GeoConfirmed IRN.
Disinformation.
"Footage shows whatever hit the school was a failed rocket launch from IRGC, it wasn't Israel or US."
This claim, with almost 11k likes, 5k retweets and 750.000+ views is WRONG based on GeoConfirmed geolocations.
(link of the claim: xitter.cf/Tarikh_Eran/status/202…)
Left picture is the school in Minab, Hormozgan Province, Iran
27.109834, 57.084748
(GeoLocation: xitter.cf/GeoConfirmed/status/20…)
Right picture is from a misfire in Zanjan, Zanjan Province, Iran
Point of view - 36.684951, 48.488164
"There is no possible way this could have hit the school, 1,300 kilometers in the opposite direction."
Great work by @Stinky915846091 and @talhagin.
redintelpanda retweeted
🧵Let’s break this down with more than just a claim:
Russia claims Ukraine targeted Putin’s residence in Novgorod region with 91 drones—during a critical stage of peace negotiations.
Putin’s residence is conveniently very close to other military targets, however. Let’s look:
redintelpanda retweeted
Russian media report that the Russians have rebuilt the drama theater in Mariupol and plan to open it before the New Year.
It is worth recalling that on March 16, 2022, approximately 600 civilians who were sheltering from the Russian army were killed there in a Russian airstrike. The word "Children" was written on the square in front of the theater, but this did not stop the attack.
redintelpanda retweeted
⚠️ Confirmed: Metrics show a disruption to internet connectivity in #Ukraine after a series of Russian missile and drone attacks targeting energy and transport infrastructure in multiple regions followed by emergency power shutdowns 🔌
redintelpanda retweeted
Replying to @RALee85
Location of the attack is at Шумаков Cords: 51°30'18.16" N 36°37'47.43" E, As expected its located near a trainline.
redintelpanda retweeted
We are saddened by the passing of Jim Lovell, commander of Apollo 13 and a four-time spaceflight veteran.
Lovell's life and work inspired millions. His courage under pressure helped forge our path to the Moon and beyond—a journey that continues today. go.nasa.gov/41tbrpq
redintelpanda retweeted
Who from Kremlin will meet Zelensky in Istanbul?
3%Prez
18%Double
78%Too scared to go
3,602 votes • Final results redintelpanda retweeted
Livestream of ongoing border clashes between India and Pakistan:
youtube.com/watch?v=ernpZlPu…
redintelpanda retweeted
🚨 I was able to geolocate and thus confirm that the photo of North Korean M-1978/1989 Koksan 170mm SPGs was taken in Russia.
📍56.069386, 92.920244
Krasnoyarsk, central Russia
google.com/maps/@56.0688219,…
Replying to @Archer83Able
Better photo of North Korean M-1978/1989 Koksan 170mm self-propelled howitzers being transported by rail, presumably somewhere on the territory of Russia.
redintelpanda retweeted
September is Suicide Prevention Month
If you're struggling and need someone to talk to, dial 988.
You are loved. You are cared for. You are worth it.
redintelpanda retweeted
If you feel like life's struggles are too much (and I sympathise, there is a real person behind the sarcastic autist) then please reach out to services that can help you- blog.opencounseling.com/suic…, or a loved one in your life.
For the rest of us, call your friends and family.
redintelpanda retweeted
Now that this is becoming more public, I would like to say RIP to @MENA_Conflict.
He was always kind and helpful to me, and I know to so many others. His family is in my prayers.
Life is precious.
redintelpanda retweeted
xitter.cf/SkyNews/status/1812300…
In this video, we can see where the shooter appears to have shot at trump and then was killed.
Aerial pictures appear to show a rifle next to a body on the roof of a building near the location of the Donald Trump rally.
It comes following reports in US media that the gunman fired from a nearby roof
Latest: trib.al/xl9iFin
📺 Sky 501
redintelpanda retweeted
I don’t always make geopolitical memes…
…but when I do:
#JoeBiden @TheDemocrats
redintelpanda retweeted
Minor URL note: The www. redirect no longer works, but uacontrolmap.com without it works fine
redintelpanda retweeted
Today is #MemorialDay.
To all those #Servicemembers who we have lost in service of the United States of America, we salute you.
Thank you for your service in defense of the Nation.
#HonortheFallen
redintelpanda retweeted
🇺🇦Daily SitRep: April 29, 2024.
Repost = appreciated.
#Ukraine #SlavaUkraini #NATO #AFU #Netaylove #Novooleksandrivka #Novomykhailivka #Neshtya
@RedIntelPanda
💥 Combat 💥
The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine reported: 131x combat clashes, 1x missile and 82x air strikes, and 108x MLRS attacks.
(facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua)
DeepState reported that Russian forces have advanced in Netaylove, near Novooleksandrivka and captured Novomykhailiva.
(deepstatemap.live/en)
ISW: Recent Russian advances forces Ukrainian troops to withdraw from tactical positions in the Avdiivka direction without leading to rapid Russian tactical gains, let alone operationally significant gains. Russian command must now choose whether to advance on Pokrovsk or conduct a complementary offensive operation to support efforts to seize Chasiv Yar.
(understandingwar.org/backgro…)
Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi reported that the Armed Forces of Ukraine have recaptured the Nestyha Island, in the Kherson River Delta, Kherson Oblast.
(newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/ukra…)
Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi announced that the withdrawal from Berdychi, Semenivka and Novomykhailivka was done to save soldiers’ lifes, RBC Ukraine reported.
Moreover, he said that the Russian Armed Forces are attempting to develop and offensive in the Avdiivka direction to break through to Pokrovsk and Kurakhove.
(newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/ukra…)
The Special Operations Forces destroyed a Russian caponier with ammo and three servicemen.
(facebook.com/watch/?v=240321…)
HUR reported that recently, two diesel locomotives were destroyed in Russia. One in Orenburg, another in Vladikavkaz, The Kyiv Independent wrote.
(kyivindependent.com/military…)
SBGS spokesperson, Andrii Demchenko, claimed that Russia currently does not possess enough strength to launch an offensive from the territory of the Russian Federation to achieve any strategic objective. However, there may be a diversionary maneuver.
He furthermore says that the recent increase of the SBGS by 15,000 personnel is due to the creation of new brigade-type units - capable of performing combat operations and armed with artillery.
(ukrinform.ua/rubric-ato/3857…)
HUR estimates that 18,000 Russian soldiers of the Russian Southern Military Command have deserted, of which most are mobilized conscripts.
(t.me/DIUkraine/3754)
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🇺🇦 Ukraine 🇺🇦
The number of civilian casualties has increased in March (604 killed or wounded) by 20% compared to February 2024.
(xitter.cf/DefenceHQ/status…)
Air Force spokesperson, Illia Yevlash, said that Poland could protect the Western Ukrainian air space but lacks political will.
(ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/385…)
According to the SBGS, the blockade along the entire Polish-Ukrainian border has effectively been lifted.
(dpsu.gov.ua/ua/news/U-punkti…)
In his evening address, Zelensky announced that Ukraine fulfills all conditions for the start of accession negotiations with the European Union.
(youtube.com/watch?v=8HndATHW…)
The Ukrainian Government has informed the Council of Europe secretariat on derogations from some obligations under the European Convention on Human Rights.
According to Ukrainska Pravda: “Ukraine informed the ECHR that the Ukrainian government's obligations to comply with Articles 8 (right to respect for private and family life), 10 (freedom of expression) and 11 (freedom of assembly and association), Article 2 of Protocol 4 (right to free movement of persons), as well as three articles from the first protocol – Article 1 (protection of private property), 2 (right to education) and 3 (right to freedom of elections), were no longer adhered to within Ukraine.”
(pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/…)
Ukraine and the UAE “signed a joint statement on the completion of negotiation on an intergovernmental agreement on a comprehensive economic partnership,” Ukrinform wrote, citing the Ministry of Economy press service.
(ukrinform.net/rubric-economy…)
The National Resistance Center reported that the Kremlin will undertake a personnel reshuffle in the TOT.
(sprotyv.mod.gov.ua/en/the-kr…)
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🇷🇺 Russia 🇷🇺
According to OSINTer @RedIntelPanda, Russia has been constructing a new airfield near Alexeyevka, Belgorod, over the past months.
(xitter.cf/RedIntelPanda/st…)
During an interview with the TV programme “Moscow. Kremlin. Putin”, Peskov claimed that: “It seems to me that Zelenskyy's fate is definitely sealed. And very soon there will come a time when many people, including in Ukraine, will question his legitimacy. In any case, even from a legal point of view, this will have to be done, and he will have to justify himself somehow. But for us, the main thing is that we have to continue the special military operation, protect ourselves, and carry out the tasks that were originally set."
(t.me/s/zarubinreporter/2441)
Authorities arrested multiple Russian journalists - working for the AP, Deutsche Welle, and Reuters - on charges of working for an “extremist organization” for their previous work with the Anti-Corruption Fund (founded by Navalny).
(understandingwar.org/backgro…)
Meduza reported that Russian citizens will start receiving electronic conscription notices using the Unified Military Registry, on November 1, 2024.
(meduza.io/news/2024/04/28/el…)
According to informnapalm.org, Russian Kaspersky Lab is involved in the development of weapons in Russia.
(informnapalm.org/ua/kaspersk…)
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📡 Other 📡
Seizing all frozen Russian assets held by Western states, worth $320bn, would allow Ukraine to finance the war throughout 2028.
(reuters.com/breakingviews/uk…)
During a joint press conference with Zelensky, Stoltenberg said that consensus among NATO members is that it is unlikely that Ukraine will receive an invitation to join NATO at the Washington summit in July.
Zelensky and Stoltenberg also discussed the NATO SecGen’s proposal of a special €100bn fund for Ukraine’s military.
(newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/stol…)
(pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/…)
The Guardian reported that Jens Stoltenberg told Ukrainians that NATO failed to live up to promises in regards to arms transfers and said that weapons influx would now increase.
(theguardian.com/world/live/2…)
Australia announced a $100m military aid package (short-range air defense missiles, UAVs, and high-priority equipment), according to the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense.
Canada pledges $2.2m (in USD) for the production of drones by the Ukrainian DIB.
(canada.ca/en/department-nati…)
Delfi Bizness reported that AS “Latvenergo” donated energy systems equipment (high-voltage transformers, 60t of oil, air compressor) to Ukraine.
(rus.delfi.lv/biznes/37448553…)
Canada to send the first 10 out of 50 promised ACSVs (Armored Combat Support Vehicles) by summer, but will likely not enter service until fall.
(cbc.ca/news/politics/ukraine…)
The Belgian Council of Ministers decided to transfer F-16s sooner than planned, so, until the end of 2024.
(mil.in.ua/en/news/belgium-to…)
The Financial Times estimates that the seven biggest Western banks that remain in Russia paid more than $850m in taxes to the Russian state.
This is four times more than before the full-scale invasion.
(ft.com/content/cd6c28e2-d327…)
Former UK Armed Forces minister, James Heappey, said that a Ukrainian defeat would cost the West $3trn in a new Cold War.
(telegraph.co.uk/politics/202…)
According to the Ukrainian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the two Ukrainian citizens who were killed in Murnau, Germany by a Russian citizen, were military personnel who were undergoing rehabilitation, Ukrinform reported.
(ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/385…)
Czech authorities conclude that Russian military intelligence (GRU) operatives were behind the deadly ammo depot explosion in Vrbětice, Czech Republic, in 2014.
(policie.cz/clanek/ukonceni-p…)
Lithuanian Foreign Minister Landsbergis on Russian GPS jamming: “Things in the Baltic region near Russian borders are now getting too dangerous to ignore.”
(ft.com/content/37776b16-0b92…)
The Financial Times reported that Türkiye is negotiating with ExxonMobil to reach a deal regarding LNG in order to reduce reliance on Russian natural gas.
(ft.com/content/37568778-0f17…)
redintelpanda retweeted
This encounter between Russian Su-25 and a Ukrainian drone took place 1.5km “ahead” or west of what I have logged and call #FPTianna, a Russian ground attack aircraft firing point.
The points I geolocated here were helicopters so this is the first Su-25 spotted.
@Archer83Able
Replying to @Archer83Able
Location: Zaitseve (Зайцеве) - the southern one -, Donetsk Oblast, Ukraine near 48.42844, 38.00307 google.com/maps/place/48%C2%… @UAControlMap #geoconfirmed @GeoConfirmed
Close call between a Russian Su-25 plane and a Ukrainian Mavic recon drone.





















































