Podcast for Risk Takers. Sports Betting, AP , Trading.
Brasil
Joined May 2023
- Tweets473
- Following925
- Followers1.2K
- Likes799
SharpCast retweeted
Will Public Opinion define the Future of Prediction Markets?
Novo ep SharpCast desta vez com @4caster20 fundador da 4casters, uma das exchanges em maior crescimento a nivel internacional
youtu.be/mXBgA_h7s3E?is=bl72…
SharpCast retweeted
Big thanks to my friends at @Sharpcast_ for having me on the podcast :)
Had a great conversation, especially timely given Brazil’s recent ban on online sports betting.
Novo ep SharpCast desta vez com @4caster20 fundador da 4casters, uma das exchanges em maior crescimento a nivel internacional
youtu.be/mXBgA_h7s3E?is=bl72…
SharpCast retweeted
🔥sure thing! Always happy to help out my Brazilian brothers. P.s. I recently appeared on the @Sharpcast_ pod. You can check it out here: youtu.be/8SAMGvgpP7g?is=25PG…
SharpCast retweeted
Good originator/modeler
Access to info
Access to outs
Speed
Ability to scale
Critical thinker
Just a few important things
SharpCast retweeted
Decided to make a substack to get some random thoughts out. Probably my only post:
flupnolide.substack.com/p/sc…
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Here's something the great Stanford Wong once said to me:
"If you're smart enough to make money gambling, you're probably smart enough to make money in anything you do."
SharpCast retweeted
Charlie Munger: "I won't play in a game where the other people are wise and I'm stupid. I look for a place where I'm wise and they're stupid. And, believe me, it works better."
"God bless our stupid competitors. They make us rich."
SharpCast retweeted
Thanks to the suggestion from @halfkelly @RufusPeabody and I have @KrisAbdelmessih on the latest episode of @BetTheProcess and talk lots of nerdy trading stuff youtu.be/JSqEo9SAG-Y
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Enjoyed chatting with @ethanrkho.
Bright cat in quant trading getting his MFE at Columbia right now:
youtu.be/VdY_bvYphts
SharpCast retweeted
I created a Substack for casual gamblers & advantage players.
AP topics will include:
loss plays 💰
holecarding tips 👀
buying seats 🪑
reacting to heat 🥵
The stuff you will not find in books.
The top 2 posts are with the advantage player in mind!🕵️
open.substack.com/pub/advant…
SharpCast retweeted
Excited to be a part of this awesome event!
Hope to see many of you there.
🚨 Thursday’s Workshop agenda is LIVE!
Join us on July 3rd at Chelsea FC for hands-on betting insights with @BetDEXLabs, @WinnerOdds_Eng + more.
Hosted by @bookiebashnet @SBCinfo & @TeamMatchbook
📍 See the full schedule👇
SharpCast retweeted
Was listening to @CirclesOffHQ’s Circle Back on laying massive favorites and had a few thoughts:
1. Sportsbooks love taking longshots. That 8-leg SGP paying 200/1 or a 300/1 golf outrights? They're laying the "no." Exchanges let sharp bettors be the house and get real prices laying those longshots.
SharpCast retweeted
New episode where @spanky interviews Pinnacle cofounder George Molsbarger
open.spotify.com/show/09TrmP…
SharpCast retweeted
Smart Bash 2025 - Save The Date!
SBC are very happy to announce that Smart Bash is returning in 2025 and will take place on Friday the 4th July at Chelsea FC.
Once again this is being put on by SBC alongside @TeamMatchbook and @bookiebashnet and we have plans to make it even bigger and better this year!
Alongside the full day event of seminars, panels and networking on the 4th July, there will also be an additional workshop event on the Thursday 3rd July offering in-depth discussions and hands-on learning opportunities.
Ticket information will be announced soon but for now if interested in attending Smart Bash 2025, be sure to save the date!
SharpCast retweeted
60% is high fwiw.
And we have to stop speaking in absolutes. Straights can be bad and parlays can be bad or they can both be good. It is all dependent on price, your fair, and the subsequent edge you do or don’t have.
Will most people lose betting parlays - sure. But for the right people they can be a great tool for edge stacking and circumventing limits and a good way to increase your bankroll (variance). For the wrong person parlays are bad and compound your edge in a negative direction. But if people just enjoy betting parlays it is okay to have fun. Having fun in sportsbetting is fine and helps all of the sharp guys long term.
This fascination and elitist attitude that we all have to tweet about how disgusting, despicable, and awful parlays are is funny to me. Much like anything they can have some good and plenty of bad. Peel back the layers and think a bit more critically people.
SharpCast retweeted
Your opponent is the consensus.
Through the aggregate wisdom of the crowd, the consensus is difficult to beat. But - the consensus has a weakness. Baked into every consensus is sentiment. Sentiment is capable of being irrational.
This makes the consensus prone to mistakes. Not big mistakes. Small ones. Here and there, with some degree of repeatability.
That’s where you look, to find the little mistakes. You don’t have to know the “correct” answer, and you certainly don’t have to predict the future. The value you’re after is relative not absolute.
It’s a fun game once you understand what game you’re actually playing.