We engineer ASYMMETRY®— defined downside risk and adaptive upside— for business owners, physicians, and families with meaningful capital at stake. @MikeWShell
United States
Joined October 2017
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You've already created the wealth. Now the objective changes from making it to keeping it—and compounding it without exposing your life's work to losses you can't afford to repeat.
Shell | Asymmetry® retweeted
If CTA trend following was sold to you as crash protection, the first week of November showed why that’s the wrong test.
shell-capital.com/cta-trend-…
Shell | Asymmetry® retweeted
Huge news for veterans looking to acquire a business 👀
Big news for veterans who want to buy a business.
The SBA has announced that, starting November 11, eligible veteran buyers can fund their entire required 10% acquisition equity contribution through permitted outside sources.
On a transaction with $1 million in total project costs, that is $100,000 that could come from qualifying investor capital or seller standby financing, subject to the applicable rules and lender approval.
That could help a veteran buy an established business while keeping personal savings available for the transition.
The 10% contribution still has to be funded. Underwriting and applicable personal guarantees still apply.
The policy begins November 11, 2026, and is scheduled to run through fiscal year 2027, ending September 30, 2027.
Veterans considering a business acquisition: talk with your lender and acquisition counsel early about how this could affect your financing.
SMB Law Group helps buyers navigate acquisitions from LOI through closing.
Talk with our team: smblaw.group/contact
Shell | Asymmetry® retweeted
A crisis may create the trend, accelerate an existing trend or violently reverse one. The trend follower doesn't need to know which in advance.
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Asymmetry isn't a static document — it’s a self-evolving operating system. It continually adapts as information quality, systemic volatility, and market dynamics shift.
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A founder/owner spends a lifetime actively allocating capital based on price, timing, risk and opportunity.
Why should those disciplines disappear the moment the capital becomes liquid?
Shell | Asymmetry® retweeted
Most wealthy families don’t have an adviser problem. They have a coordination problem.
They may have excellent attorneys, CPAs, insurance professionals, bankers, investment managers, and other specialists. Each can give perfectly good advice within their lane and the family can still get a bad overall result because nobody owns the intersections between those decisions.
Busy surgeons and founders don't buy portfolio management because of market predictions; they buy time, risk reduction, and peace of mind.
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Good decisions compound. Bad decisions compound, too. And the longer they accumulate, the greater the difference in outcomes can become.
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Market-cap indexing creates a hidden negative asymmetry: you get muted upside because 490+ stocks are lagging, yet you absorb maximum downside impact when a concentrated 37% tech weighting breaks down.
shell-capital.com/owning-500…
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The asymmetric opportunity comes when buying or selling pressure is becoming exhausted and the balance of supply and demand begins to shift: assess the potential payoff against the risk defined by the exit.
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~20% of US households are on GLP-1s, creating a massive secular demand surge for protein to prevent muscle loss.
shell-capital.com/glp-1-seco…
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An investor can own 500 stocks and still have too much riding on one part of the market.
shell-capital.com/owning-500…
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On Wednesday, diversification was working: one sector fell and the market absorbed it. On Thursday, everything moved together.
shell-capital.com/diversific…
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Nasdaq is now about ~ 13% below its high, while the S&P 500 is ~ 5% below its high.
After a waterfall decline like this, I expect a countertrend move.
Having tactically traded through the 1998 Russian crisis and LTCM collapse, the dot-com bubble and crash, the 2007–09 financial crisis, the COVID shock, and everything since, I’ve seen this battle between supply and demand repeat again and again.
The bounce isn’t the signal, what happens during the bounce is.
Shell | Asymmetry® retweeted
(November 5, 2026 | 8:25 a.m. CT): The Tennessee State Emergency Operations Center has been activated to a Level 4 due to the flooding that has occurred in Polk County.
At this time, the flooding is expected to remain through this evening. Please avoid flooded roads and follow all local official guidance.
Shell | Asymmetry® retweeted
Kentucky is really good this year, but they've never walked into a stadium like this.
Walking into this stadium looks absolutely terrifying.
