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20 | ✝️ | Central Alabama Weather | National Wx: @weathertrackus

Alabama
Joined September 2016
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Indeed early elevated storms did produce very large hail earlier this afternoon...
Replying to @StarInBoxWx
Probably wouldn't hurt to have either a 15% hail or CIG1 for the initial activity if moisture arrival trends a little bit later. I think the 5# tornado risk makes sense today, despite it being very conditional. Going to be an interesting 'under-the-radar' type setup today...
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This is why we can't have nice things...
This feels like a poor use of time and resources. Is your forecast confidence really increasing that much to make changes from the morning to the afternoon in that far of a range?
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I personally don't understand why some (especially some, albeit a small minority) meteorologists are upset about this update. We've advanced enough in forecasting to be able to have such changes, and somehow that's a problem?
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Not to mention, likely within the next couple of years, especially when we see the full implementation of the MPAS-RRFS, we'll have a standalone Day 4 Outlook, and all hazards Day 3 Outlook. These incremental advancements should not be frowned upon.
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NEW: The Storm Prediction Center, on or about November 16, 2026 will begin issuing afternoon Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlooks, at 2130 UTC (4:30 PM CDT/3:30 PM CST). The content and format of the outlooks will not change; only the addition of afternoon issuances.
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Wind profiles will undoubtedtly be supportive for SigTors this afternoon, the main question lies in thermos. Will moisture arrive in time before storms grow upscale? I think initially storms will be elevated, with primarily a hail risk, before the tornado threat ramps up...
A couple of tornadoes are possible across parts of Minnesota and Wisconsin, including the Minneapolis-St. Paul metro today. There is also a conditional risk for a strong (EF2+) tornado. Main timing is from 2-7pm CDT. Remain weather aware!
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Probably wouldn't hurt to have either a 15% hail or CIG1 for the initial activity if moisture arrival trends a little bit later. I think the 5# tornado risk makes sense today, despite it being very conditional. Going to be an interesting 'under-the-radar' type setup today...
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I also UNDOUBTEDLY can't spell this morning... forgive me, it's early.
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Since July 20, I’ve uploaded 20 videos to the channel, experimenting with different formats and styles little by little. Winter might be fun…👀🤫
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Upper-70s expected this weekend and into early next week, with rain returning on Sun/Mon, and again on Thu. Some isolated areas in Central AL could briefly touch 80 between Fri & Mon. Temperatures return to seasonal averages late next week, with 60s for highs.
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A few strong-severe storms can't entirely be ruled out across the state on Sunday or Monday, with some instability, and a strong storm system moving in. Specific details are unavailable, and lots of uncertainty exists, but I wouldn't rule out a marginal severe event next week.
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Mild days and cool nights will continue for the rest of the week, with a warming trend next week, with clouds and rain back in the forecast, as early as ~Nov 1. Upper 70s and isolated 80 degree spots likely first week of Nov, before cool temps return the following week.
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Most locations will be in the upper-70s early next week, but a couple of areas could briefly reach 80 at peak heating. It's possible that a lot of the guidance is still running a bit too warm right now for many locations.
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Upper 70s possible next week, with rain coming back in the picture around Nov 1-3. Some areas in the Deep South could touch 80 in early November, but mostly upper-70s expected for Birmingham and North Alabama. Some signal for a cool down coming the 2nd week of November.
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America wins when Tennessee loses
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Thank you beam blockage
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We thought this was going to be the largest outbreak that second season
October 24, 2021: An outbreak of 17 tornadoes impacted Kansas, Missouri, and Illinois. Four were significant (EF2+), three of which were spawned by a cluster of supercells south of St Louis. EF3s at Farmington & Fredericktown leveled structures and injured 2 people. #wxhistory
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I love my state
A really high dude at Whataburger just gave me $300 in cash??? "Go get you a nice shirt and a good haircut, and go get you some tail my boy" ALRIGHTY THEN
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Unless we have some very dry/clear days in early November, it will not be in the 80s in Birmingham. Regardless, a mild/wet pattern is still in store after Halloween, and through early November. Can't entirely rule out the potential for a few strong storms in the broader region.
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