
ALT MarchMetrix opening-night college basketball graphic on a near-black background with ink-white typography and red brand accents. Each team column is centered on one axis: large gold AP rank, school logo, primary team name, and mascot line. No. 1 Florida faces No. 14 Miami in Tampa at 6 PM Eastern on ESPN2. The graphic says college basketball is back and every result builds a March résumé.

ALT MarchMetrix Playoff Machine chart for Texas at Tennessee on September 26. Game probability: Texas 50.2% and Tennessee 49.8%. Texas has a 74.0% CFP chance with a win and 44.6% with a loss, a 29.4-point swing. Tennessee has a 44.7% CFP chance with a win and 17.4% with a loss, a 27.3-point swing. September 25 model, 10,000 simulations. Conditional season outcomes, not a prediction of the game winner.

ALT MarchMetrix Playoff Machine graphic titled “The loss hit hard. The forecast barely moved.” Ohio State is No. 4 nationally with an 81.9% chance to make the College Football Playoff. The top five are Indiana 95.7%, Notre Dame 92.2%, Miami 85.0%, Ohio State 81.9%, and Texas Tech 77.1%, based on 10,000 simulations from the Sep. 16, 2026 model update.

















