Kasjan Krasinski (@TheChartWitcher) header
Kasjan Krasinski (@TheChartWitcher) profile picture

Kasjan Krasinski Author ex-CFO @cluborange

Joined September 2018
Photo by Kasjan Krasinski (@TheChartWitcher)Photo by Kasjan Krasinski (@TheChartWitcher)Photo by Kasjan Krasinski (@TheChartWitcher)Photo by Kasjan Krasinski (@TheChartWitcher)Photo by Kasjan Krasinski (@TheChartWitcher)Photo by Kasjan Krasinski (@TheChartWitcher)Photo by Kasjan Krasinski (@TheChartWitcher)Photo by Kasjan Krasinski (@TheChartWitcher)Photo by Kasjan Krasinski (@TheChartWitcher)Photo by Kasjan Krasinski (@TheChartWitcher)
Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
People still think Bitcoiners will eventually get tired of the volatility, come to their senses and return to the traditional financial system. Return to what, exactly? A system where you work 40 years to earn money that a handful of bureaucrats can create out of thin air, while some economist explains why your savings losing purchasing power is actually good for the economy? The psychological shift is irreversible. Once you understand how absurd the system is, even a brutal Bitcoin crash doesn’t make fiat look any less ridiculous. You can crash the price. Good luck making millions of people unsee the scam.
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
🚨Bitcoin Meetup in Da Nang🔥 This Sunday, 1st November from 16:00. This event is for people who share the Bitcoin ethos: honest money, long-term thinking, real community, and genuine value creation. If you're here to push altcoins, quick-profit schemes, or extractive "crypto" hustle culture, this is not your space. Show up in good faith, or don’t show up at all. Who’s in? Drop a ₿ below 👇☕🧡 Details & Map: bitcoindanang.com/en/pages/m…
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
BTC is affected by liquidity squeeze - > degens need to sell to cover margin calls.
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
Holy shit. See Ghalibaf’s April post. He was already thinking past the first shock. Burn inventories, keep the squeeze going, let prices stay nasty long enough, and eventually demand starts folding. 4 months later he’s back talking about what comes after that, inflation, and rates. This was clearly being thought through several moves downstream months ago. Genuinely impressive. #oott
Straits Taylor Rule: i = r* + π* + 1.5(π−π*) + 0.5(y−y*) + α(SOH−SOH*) + β(BEM−BEM*), α,β > 0 Let’s see if a hike could open SOH or produce a single barrel :) You can’t 25bp a chokepoint and r* isn’t neutral. It’s SOH risk premium, and We set it. Stay unanchored !
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
There is a critical vulnerability being actively exploited on BTCPay Server, which can result in the loss of funds. Please update your BTCPayServer to 2.4.2 by going to Admin Dashboard -> Server -> Maintenance -> Update & verify the 2.4.2 version string in the footer. If you are unable to update right away, turn off your BTCPay Server to prevent unauthorized access until you can update.
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The only silver lining here is that most of our friends and family never listened to us
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Podcasters and YouTubers please put out short 5-10 min emergency broadcast episodes today or tomorrow with a technical guest about the coldcard situation. That way we can reach all the people in the audience who aren’t too online twitter people. There are still bitcoiners who don’t know this is happening.
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
COLDCARD Mk3 Security Advisory If you generated a seed on a Mk3 after firmware 4.0.1, your funds may be at risk. Mk4, Q and Mk5 are not affected based on our early analysis. Read the advisory and migrate carefully: blog.coinkite.com/coldcard-m…
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
Epic
Free newsletter: The AI industry's $500bn in data center debt is the subprime mortgage crisis of the AI bubble. The dangerous financial instruments and SPVs funding the data center buildout pose a systemic risk on the level of the great financial crisis. wheresyoured.at/the-subprime…
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
A more European reply does not exist
Replying to @levelsio
Is this allowed? Curious because when I looked into doing this for making dinner reservations, it's very explicitly against TOS usually wouldn't care that much but Resy is owned by Amex so I didn't want a ban there to affect anything
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
They are already closed. Selling $MSTR would be massively dilutive for common shareholders. They should dump a solid portion of BTC to bring $STRC back to par and some $MSTR to signal confidence in their common equity.
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
1) always follow your own guidance 2) introduce mechanism to defend $STRC peg eg. Sell BTC buy STRC. (Let leverage flush, and buy back to par) 3) have courage to sell BTC buy $MSTR at steep discount to mNAV (like now).
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
Bessent just said on CNBC that the dollar invoicing of oil was a factor in Venezuela, Iran, and Ukraine/Russia policy decisions. Such wrongthink was previously considered solely the purview of “conspiracy theorists.” 🤔
.@SecScottBessent: "Dollar dominance is essential, and everything @POTUS is doing here — if you look, the new Venezuela... the dollar is going to be the centerpiece of their trade... We're seeing in the Iranian negotiations, the Iranians will be invoicing in dollars. Everything we are doing is pushing the dollar back... we're reinforcing it."
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
In fairness, temporary dilution doesn't matter. YTD BPS matters and it's still excellent. They should dilute decisively to get STRC back to par ASAP. This will cause a rotation STRC -> MSTR, helping the common.
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What a rotten deal we made with Iran. We get nothing (except laughter at our stupidity). They get everything, including delay and big cash!
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
Replying to @TrustlessState
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
...only two more weeks until @bitcoinfilmfest in Warsaw 🇵🇱 Even in the Southern Vietnamese 🇻🇳 beach town of Vũng Tàu, anticipation is rising 🐰
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
I am writing from FPC Morgantown prison in West Virginia. It has been about 5 months since I first surrendered myself in December, and I will be honest, the prospect of a Presidential pardon is very low. There was some hope during the Bitcoin 2026 conference, but that has now come and gone, and one must come to terms with the fact that I am simply a federal prisoner without money, power, or influence, and I will serve my full sentence. It will be years before I can even attempt to rebuild my life. Which is why I am now writing this appeal to you all now. Things are dire and we need your help. Lauren and I need your help desperately. More than ever before. We have over $2 Million of debt due to legal fees. We have a $250k fine the judge levied against us. Every day I get letters and calls from anxious lawyers looking to be paid. Or the DOJ demanding I start making payments on my fine. Perhaps it was denial or delusion, but I had hoped to do what I have always done and dig myself out of this hole myself - but with the reality of serving a full sentence that is not possible. I hate to ask for your help in this way but we are entirely out of options. We need to pay off these legal bills and other debts accrued attempting to defend myself. We desperately need your help. Now. For 10 years Bill and I built and published open source code and tools for Bitcoin users. Those same tools and code are what the government says were criminal. The tools and code still exist, they are out there right now and always will be. The creators however are locked away in Federal prison. The creators are the ones whose lives have been decimated. The creators are the ones who have been financially wiped out. The creators are the ones who desperately need you now. Please donate whatever you can to bc1qtjjcvn98wh7dfd55m8kxhjcfexanttwt8gtan8 . We have to get this albatross from around our neck. Samourai had well over 100,000 users. These users pushed over 2 billion dollars through our open source tools. We need those users and any bitcoiner who appreciates the work that we put into this industry for over a decade to help us now. Please donate whatever you can to bc1qtjjcvn98wh7dfd55m8kxhjcfexanttwt8gtan8 right now. If you require a private address please DM my wife @leamuirleyn and she will provide one. Please do not delay. Time is of the essence. Please help us. - Keonne
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
🚨 Introducing the all-new Club Orange Self-Custodial Wallet! 🚨 Same app, same experience, but now, your bitcoin is fully in your control. Here's what's new: ✅ YOUR KEYS, YOUR COINS: Export your 12-word seed phrase. ✅ NO LIMITS: Send, receive and hold as much as you want. ✅ FULLY PORTABLE: Import your wallet into any Spark-enabled app, or bring an existing Spark wallet into Club Orange ✅ SEND ANYWHERE: Send and receive to any Lightning address, invoice, wallet. Your keys. Your bitcoin. ⚡️
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Kasjan Krasinski retweeted
Happy Half-Halving 🥳🎉 ▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▮▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯▯
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