My personal trading journey & insights │ Not Financial Advice │ Using The AI Terminal to catch big regime shifts 👉 @AionAnalytics Code QUANT
Sign Up for Aion Terminal➡
Joined March 2023
- Tweets29.4K
- Following146
- Followers21.2K
- Likes55.8K
Pinned Tweet
$QQQ -7%
$SPY -2.5%
$VIX + 37%
$DRAM -25%
$SOXX -16%
We are getting close, hope my research was able to help a few of you.
The threads will be in the discord going forward due to the utter amount of criticism we received over the last few weeks.
Code QUANT 4 30% off
just some clarity post here for everyone
October expectation from my opinions & research is $SPY 5%ish drawdown and $QQQ 7-10% by end of oct around 18-22nd and put in the floor there for a choppy uptrend into eoy
Buying that dip with both hands
$SPY $730-$735 if it gets there
$QQQ $680-$690 (more volatile ik, maybe even $700)
These are my own rough estimates from what i am seeing so please take it with a grain of salt and DYOR.
Things can change and moves can extend due to panic and things unravel / accelerate.
Indices can visit near ATHs/make new AThs but i will be more risk off as i stated earlier this week, near interim tops high beta names can be explosive so i may play some things with small size. Weird market we have been in for a while.
I will take advantage of oct to sell puts on names i want along with taking some put debits when the time is right, if you're early it is useless.
Markets tend to extend both ways so if we get there, things accelerate the models wont flinch until it starts to see a flip, it is better to be patient than to be early
Looking for model consensus flips, extreme measures hitting, heatmaps starting to flip and macro regime to shift
These are some of the things i look for along with analogues/quant tab that has the built in indicators as well
Can eat my alive in the comments, but that is my thesis and i believe big in "avoid ruin at all costs", so when these bigger windows for pain open up i take them seriously.
Hope this helps and if you want to eat me alive in the comments that also works
Tradable Astronaut retweeted
Same people creaming their pants over Black Monday last weekend are already soaked on the overnight neocloud selloff.
The only question you should be asking is how much higher they’re closing this week. See yas on Friday.
Bottom or not?
Article 4 just went live inside AION and it is the most important read of the year you are not reading.
What is in it: the day the window closes, the two scenarios I am deploying into and exactly how, the one vol tell deciding both.
I put my opinion in writing, dated, so it can be graded either way. That is the difference between research and content.
Members are reading it right now. The rest of the timeline finds out after it resolves.
$SPY l $QQQ l $VIX
Tradable Astronaut retweeted
Your weekend reading is ready.
The Week Ahead: Leaving the Weak Behind.
Community Research tab in the terminal.
Time to set the record straight again.
September 24. Crash probability on the S&P had nearly quadrupled in three weeks. I said the crowd was looking at the wrong number and we’d grade it over 20 trading days.
October 2. Nasdaq at a new high. I said the smoke was thicker and the window closes October 22. See you then.
It’s October 22.
VIX up more than 30% in a day. Indices sold off. Semis unwound. The AI trade came apart again. All of it inside the window the models flagged while the index printed highs and the timeline told me they hate me.
Where there’s smoke there’s fire. We found it.
Most of what I see next goes to Aion research now. But I’ll give you three hints below. Somebody has to, and it clearly isn’t going to be the people calling for blue skies at the end of September. 🧵
Tradable Astronaut retweeted
Just wanted to give a quick plug to Tradeable Astronaut. For one, he's been laser right (granted I don't fully understand his model, but I'm trying to). But more importantly, he's a very nice guy and I've been grasping for straws on this market and it says a lot when someone is like, "yo Kook, yeah, here's my thinking."
Anyway...all bear markets or whatever this is can have silver linings. Hopefully we all live to tell about it, and if we do, I hope I've made some interesting new friends along the way. Tradeable Astronaut being one of them.
Bottom or not?
Article 4 just went live inside AION and it is the most important read of the year you are not reading.
What is in it: the day the window closes, the two scenarios I am deploying into and exactly how, the one vol tell deciding both.
I put my opinion in writing, dated, so it can be graded either way. That is the difference between research and content.
Members are reading it right now. The rest of the timeline finds out after it resolves.
$SPY l $QQQ l $VIX
Bottom or not?
Article 4 just went live inside AION and it is the most important read of the year you are not reading.
What is in it: the day the window closes, the two scenarios I am deploying into and exactly how, the one vol tell deciding both.
I put my opinion in writing, dated, so it can be graded either way. That is the difference between research and content.
Members are reading it right now. The rest of the timeline finds out after it resolves.
$SPY l $QQQ l $VIX
$QQQ remember all the name calling i got for weeks on end...?
Now go look in the mirror and say the same thing to yourselves.
Tradable Astronaut retweeted
just some clarity post here for everyone
October expectation from my opinions & research is $SPY 5%ish drawdown and $QQQ 7-10% by end of oct around 18-22nd and put in the floor there for a choppy uptrend into eoy
Buying that dip with both hands
$SPY $730-$735 if it gets there
$QQQ $680-$690 (more volatile ik, maybe even $700)
These are my own rough estimates from what i am seeing so please take it with a grain of salt and DYOR.
Things can change and moves can extend due to panic and things unravel / accelerate.
Indices can visit near ATHs/make new AThs but i will be more risk off as i stated earlier this week, near interim tops high beta names can be explosive so i may play some things with small size. Weird market we have been in for a while.
I will take advantage of oct to sell puts on names i want along with taking some put debits when the time is right, if you're early it is useless.
Markets tend to extend both ways so if we get there, things accelerate the models wont flinch until it starts to see a flip, it is better to be patient than to be early
Looking for model consensus flips, extreme measures hitting, heatmaps starting to flip and macro regime to shift
These are some of the things i look for along with analogues/quant tab that has the built in indicators as well
Can eat my alive in the comments, but that is my thesis and i believe big in "avoid ruin at all costs", so when these bigger windows for pain open up i take them seriously.
Hope this helps and if you want to eat me alive in the comments that also works
Tradable Astronaut retweeted
I tried to tell them… random put lottos in my Robinhood account up 1M $mrna
Tradable Astronaut retweeted
Before and After.
To be clear, I run circles around your furu.
So what does that look like on the indices?
Both $SPY and $QQQ are pressed against the top of their daily bands right now. The bars to the right of today are mine. That's my projection, and the shape isn't random.
Based on how the data sits today, I'm expecting something similar to last October. A little more upside, a fast flush that feels like the floor is gone, and then a recovery that's almost as quick.
Same month, similar setup going in. I don't need it to repeat bar for bar. I need the shape to rhyme.
