the more I learn… the more I realize how much I don’t know - Einstein. Partner of @aionanalytics
Joined January 2025
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Time to set the record straight again.
September 24. Crash probability on the S&P had nearly quadrupled in three weeks. I said the crowd was looking at the wrong number and we’d grade it over 20 trading days.
October 2. Nasdaq at a new high. I said the smoke was thicker and the window closes October 22. See you then.
It’s October 22.
VIX up more than 30% in a day. Indices sold off. Semis unwound. The AI trade came apart again. All of it inside the window the models flagged while the index printed highs and the timeline told me they hate me.
Where there’s smoke there’s fire. We found it.
Most of what I see next goes to Aion research now. But I’ll give you three hints below. Somebody has to, and it clearly isn’t going to be the people calling for blue skies at the end of September. 🧵
Deep Inference retweeted
$SOXL +22% in 3 days since
Just a crumb of what was in that article...
Code QUANT dies on Oct 31st, You don't want to miss out on the data
Bottom or not?
Article 4 just went live inside AION and it is the most important read of the year you are not reading.
What is in it: the day the window closes, the two scenarios I am deploying into and exactly how, the one vol tell deciding both.
I put my opinion in writing, dated, so it can be graded either way. That is the difference between research and content.
Members are reading it right now. The rest of the timeline finds out after it resolves.
$SPY l $QQQ l $VIX
Deep Inference retweeted
That's it.
Right now, weeks before Anthropic IPOs, we are officially out of money.
It's all gone, folks.
Deep Inference retweeted
More than a few similarities to the 3/31 low right now
I would be lost without the data @AionAnalytics
Did Ken just take VARA AI out back?
Feels like Kenny’s not done clearing out all the virgin 20-year-olds who just discovered margin.
Deep Inference retweeted
I'm not going to lie October was probably an absolute bitch to trade. If you're in the green to close out the month, that's really something.
If you were red, don't get down. You're absolutely in the majority.
Full time return looms.
Deep Inference retweeted
Before and After.
To be clear, I run circles around your furu.
So what does that look like on the indices?
Both $SPY and $QQQ are pressed against the top of their daily bands right now. The bars to the right of today are mine. That's my projection, and the shape isn't random.
Based on how the data sits today, I'm expecting something similar to last October. A little more upside, a fast flush that feels like the floor is gone, and then a recovery that's almost as quick.
Same month, similar setup going in. I don't need it to repeat bar for bar. I need the shape to rhyme.
Deep Inference retweeted
Imagine believing funding has dried up for neoclouds, while $NBIS just secured finding like 72 hours ago.
That autistic bastard could tell you micro dosing bleach is a good supplement to your diet and MFs would be chugging that shit.
Deep Inference retweeted
It is wild that $ANT Anthropic used their @AionAnalytics subscription to time their IPO filing.
Same people creaming their pants over Black Monday last weekend are already soaked on the overnight neocloud selloff.
The only question you should be asking is how much higher they’re closing this week. See yas on Friday.
