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tradethematrix.net
Blog content on topic of trading, financial markets and macro.
Those stats make 0 sense. If you quantify with a lot more specifics the data would cristal clear show that 26 is way under any prior years, especially 3X under 25.
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My highest conviction trade for this year delivered on all fronts for #dollar long.
Notice how $EURUSD topped precisely when Iran conflict began and went south. Like i always say geopolitics is what moves currencies and to get a read on FX markets one has to be tuned in with geopol. Do you know how many forex trading courses cover the aspect of geopol and application to Fx trading? 0. Thats how many.
Funny how macro riggers and their paid outlets are trying to portray as if all this global protesting has to do with Palestine or Israel.
When you speak to common man on the street most people dont talk about Palestine for last two years, not once have I heard that word uttered. Not to be disrespectful because I know what happened down there was straight up genocide, but just saying this is clearly hijacked topic.
Brazils equity index plunged 15% yday.
I am at this point highly certain that we will see declines in global #stocks over next few months due to 4th turnings supply chain dislocation and unrest.
Never thought I would have to thank MMA fighter for opening my eyes to biggest rabbit hole there is out there years ago...but here we are.
Are you getting it by now that US/Taiwan/China is about to start?
**BREAKING: Pentagon Launches FORTRESS America Initiative**
The U.S. Pentagon’s new **FORTRESS America** initiative aims to strengthen military readiness and homeland security amid growing global tensions.
Under the plan, the Pentagon intends to maintain strategic reserves of ammunition, fuel, medicines, spare parts and other essential supplies to ensure U.S. forces can sustain operations during emergencies and prolonged conflicts.
Meet the El Nino gang helping family members: You know the regular guys doing random stuff at concentrated intervals globally.
❗️ EL NIÑO NO DA TREGUA: RÍO NEGRO SUFRE DESBORDES DE ARROYOS Y CERO RESPUESTA DE NACIÓN
El impacto devastador del fenómeno climático El Niño continúa extendiendo las inundaciones por todo el país y golpeó con crudeza a la provincia de Río Negro tras el desborde del arroyo Anecón Grande. La violenta crecida del cauce afectó de manera directa a las localidades de Comallo y Clemente Onelli, dejando zonas anegadas, pobladores aislados y serias complicaciones en los accesos de la Línea Sur rionegrina frente a la fuerza del caudal de agua.
La emergencia en territorio patagónico expone una postal que ya se repite en el Litoral y el norte del país: la Argentina se inunda bajo los efectos climáticos mientras el Gobierno nacional mantiene una ausencia total en el territorio. Con las partidas de asistencia de emergencia recortadas y sin operativos de contingencia articulados desde la Casa Rosada, los municipios afectados enfrentan el avance de las corrientes hídricas en absoluta soledad y sin recursos para dar respuesta a los vecinos damnificados.
diagonales.com
Cyber attacks are coming over next 12 months at rapid scale. Who knows what kind of capital safety in banks or trading brokerages there are going forward.
Perhaps its starting to get clearer my i named my last blog article "the blackout". You dont know but rig party inc has been planning this for many years to come into effect before 2030 (26-28) most fitting timeline.
FORTRESS: The Pentagon is preparing every major U.S. military base to survive 90 days without outside support — no civilian power grid, no global supply chains, no outside fuel or water.
The initiative, revealed in documents reviewed by Fox News Digital, envisions portable nuclear reactors, massive battery storage, and microgrids that can disconnect installations from civilian electricity entirely. Strategic reserves of munitions, fuel, critical minerals, and medical supplies would be stockpiled based on wartime consumption rates. Civilian factories are being pre-identified to shift to defense production during a crisis.
Pentagon chief spokesperson Sean Parnell put it bluntly: "Power is combat now. Without electricity, you lose communications, water, logistics, assembly lines and just basic military command structures."
Full story here foxnews.com/politics/inside-…
If you are still wondering for latest global protests to be rigged.
THE CIA & USAID PLAYBOOK FOR THE LA RIOTS. Classified documents have been uncovered that reveals how the CIA plans out and sets off riots to destabilize governments. As for civil unrest here in the US, Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem claimed on Monday that demonstrators in Los Angeles were being paid and that the ongoing riots were part of a professional operation.
'These are organized. These are people that are being paid to do this. You can follow how they behave, the signals they give to each other in these crowds and these protests to instigate violence,' - Kristi Noem
Noem claimed the Trump Administration now has evidence that the Los Angeles riots are an organized plot against the US government but did not reveal what they had found out.
These declassified documents were recently brought to light that protesters in Los Angeles were being paid thousands of dollars to riot against the Trump Administration.
In a 92-page 'playbook' written in 1983, officials mapped out how they would pay criminals and other 'agitators' to ramp up anger among ethnic minorities and students with the goal of having them riot in the streets.
The secret CIA dossier exposes its playbook for hiring professional protestors to start violent riots which are then used to topple and takeover governments. This is Operation Gladio, and it's been going on for decades.
USAID explicitly organized riots then blocked even the CIA's top analyst and Congress from asking questions because "people will die" if anyone found out. The "peaceful protest" facade is just a mask for a planned, and highly funded, color revolution on our own government.
The JFK files showed and exposed the secret CIA dossier and their playbook for hiring professional protestors to start violent riots. Mass propaganda, Political/Psychological warfare, Biological warfare, Global media control, Regime change, etc.
There's so many obvious connections from back then to now which expose exactly how they do it, while they continue doing it today. It's the same dog doing the same tricks, and the majority of it is from taxpayer dollars in the form of "humanitarian aid." This is why USAID and other programs were so important to them, to be exposed to show the people, and to shut off their money machine.
The CIA document, declassified in 2023, explained how agents would take control and organize mass gatherings and steer them towards violence against governments believed to be acting against the interests of the US intelligence community.
'The control of mass meetings in support of guerrilla warfare is carried out internally through a covert commando element, bodyguards, messengers, shock troops (incident initiators), poster carriers (also used to give signals), and slogan shouters, all under the control of the external commando element,' CIA officials wrote.
Intelligence officials broke down this plot into several steps, starting with a 'front organization.' Guerrillas infiltrate groups like labor unions or student organizations, secretly controlling them to push anti-government ideas.
Next, guerrillas used 'armed propaganda,' acting friendly, helping communities, and showing that their weapons protect the people, not control them, in order to gain their trust.
Slogans and speeches would then provide simple, emotional sayings to excite crowds and focus their anger on the government.
The manual then suggested using small groups of trained agitators to stir up crowds at protests, making it look like a big, spontaneous movement. This could also involve paying criminals to march along with normal protesters.
These instigators would provoke violence and create 'martyrs' in the crowd to turn people against the government the CIA was hoping to bring down.
The CIA guide entitled 'Psychological Operations' served as a manual for starting antigovernment movements in other countries. In the 1980s, the goal of this plot was to weaken the Nicaragua's Sandinista government by turning the public against it.
By winning people's hearts and minds using these tactics, the CIA hoped to create chaos through protests that undermined government control.
The guerrillas would then aim to overthrow the regime and replace it with a government friendly to US instead of the Russians.
The CIA rioting manual was aimed at the general population, especially peasants, workers, and students, pushing them to rally them against the government while avoiding being seen as terrorists.
However, the CIA's plans failed in Nicaragua. The CIA-backed Contra rebels were never able to achieve a decisive victory, despite significant funding from the US government.
The agency tried to paint the Sandinista government as an oppressive and foreign-controlled regime, but the plan to set off riots and support the rebel movement never paid off. The Sandinista government was eventually voted out of office in 1990.
The 1983 document was kept a secret for nearly 40 years, before it was eventually released into the CIA's archives.
While the plan failed in Nicaragua, it gave the agency a guidebook for how to justify violent uprisings around the world for decades.
'When the cadres are placed in or recruited from organizations such as labor unions, youth groups, agricultural organizations or professional associations, they will begin to manipulate the groups' objectives,' the document detailed.
'The psychological apparatus of our movement, by means of these internal cadres, will prepare a mental attitude which, at the crucial moment, could become involved in a fury of justified violence,' the CIA stated.
Previous CIA plots to undermine or discredit communism around the world included the killing of more than 110 civilians throughout Italy between the 1960s and 1980s as part of the false-flag operation.
This wasn't the first uncovered CIA plot that used public violence to influence people around the world.
Host of The Why Files, AJ Gentile, revealed during a May 27 episode of the Joe Rogan Experience podcast that US intelligence agents worked to frame the Soviet Union for a series of deadly car bomb attacks after World War II.
The information, which Gentile said he feared to make public, was all part of a plot called OPERATION GLADIO.
Gladio is believed to have begun shortly after the end of the war in 1947 or 1948, but the operation allegedly kept going until at least 1990, when the Italian government revealed its existence to the world.
According to Gentile, approximately 110 civilians throughout Italy were killed between the 1960s and 1980s in a scheme designed to create opposition against communist Russia in case they ever invaded Europe.
There are no coincidences. and there are many layers to this entire operation and the amount of things going on and being shut down and raided while the "protests" are being cleaned up. Stay out of big cities and away from large gatherings. It's not over yet. but they will not succeed. They've already lost. They just don't know it yet.
$XOM since the post
Looks like $AIOK is going the inverse route of that. They are actually selling the tanker 😅 Talking about seeing tree instead of forest.
Been swing trading $OXY since late July and that has turned out decent, high conviction due to geopol thesis. Also am still long XOM and Brent oil.
#oil getting very hot now, possible run on $STAK coming. Pretty good chance that soon we get another strong cycle of oil #smallcaps but perhaps once Brent oil breaches macro high after next week.
$SOXL down 70% from highs is confirmation of bubble bursting (dotCom type of stuff). Hot sector bubble bursts are often accompanied by general bear markets in other sectors too.
I have been tracking 4th turning cycle development since 2014s when Maidan uprising in Ukraine.
Since then we had some years with general uptick of escalatory signs (2020 and 2022) but both of those years are pale with comparison of what we have now in 2026. Or specifically... what has been going on just past 30 days.
Last 30 days marks by far most intensive uptick of escalatory conditions from multiple directions (going back decades):
-destruction of Saudi and other MidEast refineries (biggest one month supply dislocation recorded)
-Riots across many countries globally at once, attacking government buildings or/and leading to martial law in some countries
-Fuel shortages (France, Italy, Indonesia) appearing in multiple countries along with food shortages in some (Italy)
-Highly destructive weather events happening globally in many countries at once, recording flooding or storms disrupting supply chains. South America, Asia, North EU...
-Russia starting to position vehicles and personal near NATO borders with EU politicans openly discussing that Russian invasion is "only a matter of time".
-China increasing military exercises this year significantly more vs prior years for Taiwan. As well US and Taiwan co-op exercises upticking.
-All major powers are culling embassy staff in MidEast signaling large conflict expansion is around thr corner.
-Global inflation is upticking as per latest CPI reports. Global stock markets are broadly heading into most red numbers since 2022 and will likely to surpass that by mid of next year.
-Many governments are openly calling citizens to start stacking up emergency supplies expecting escalatory hybrid cyber and drone attacks on civilian infrastructure
Mind that most of those things happened just in last 30 days. Never before has such fast uptick been seen since I started tracking this.
What you are looking at is major storm developing.
Will be ramping more shorts on stock indexes of Japan/US/EU in coming days, I assume smallcaps will remain dry with global indexes going south so it only makes sense to shift focus into primary cause.
Will be more careful on $SPY since US situation for now is still significantly better than elsewhere. But my thinking for decline to happen in US is that a lot of corporative profits of US are tied to foreign trade. So if China/Japan/Germany goes south in corporative revenues its unlikely for SPY to just ignore that.
I assume we also see real estate markets following the same path.





















