#Election2026 - Midterm Coverage (New pinned post) Hello, all! Below is the plan for my personal coverage of the 2026 midterm elections. 🟨 Updates every 10 minutes on called House seats and a forecast of what's to come with the House. 🟨 Calls for ALL Senate seats (and updates on tossups/leans) 🟨 Calls for ALL Governor seats. See below for more info. Only 37 days until Election Day!

#NewPoll - Generic Ballot 2026 🟦 Democratic Party, 53% (+9) 🟥 Republican Party, 44% Focaldata

#NewPoll - Generic Ballot 2026 🟦 Democratic Party - 53% (+8) 🟥 Republican Party - 45% YouGov

NEWS: 🟦 Mary Peltola, the Democratic candidate for Alaska Senate, has sustained minor injuries in a car accident. She says she’s in good spirits and has rescheduled some campaign events.

#Election2026 - House Forecast Seat count: 🟦 236 🟥 199. My last update was on October 10; Republicans have gained 3 seats in my projection since then. That being said, the House is still heavily tilting towards Democrats. We are only 10 days away from the election!

#NewPoll - Oregon Governor 2026 🟦 Kotek, 46% (+2) 🟥 Drazan, 44% DHM

#NewPoll - Ohio Senate 2026 🟦 Brown, 47% (+3) 🟥 Husted, 44% InsiderAdvantage

#NewPoll - Michigan Senate 2026 🟦 El-Sayed, 47% (+1) 🟥 Rogers, 46% InsiderAdvantage

#NewPoll - Iowa Senate 2026 🟥 Hinson, 47% (+2) 🟦 Turek, 45% InsiderAdvantage

#NewPoll - Texas Governor 2026 🟥 Abbott, 51% (+3) 🟦 Hinojosa, 48% Slingshot

#NewPoll - Texas Senate 2026 🟦 Talarico, 51% (+4) 🟥 Paxton, 47% Slingshot

PERSONAL NOTE: SoCal Strategies has also been proven to be highly likely a “pollster” who fabricated data as well. I did not use any of these polls at any point. That makes 3 this cycle. Please take any poll you see with a grain of salt and only trust reputable firms. Any pollster that qualifies for my model has met the required scrutiny; if a firm I have used turns out to be illegitimate, it will immediately be removed. That has not happened yet, however. It’s a shame this is even happening.

NEWS: Trump admin sues in Alaska to block certification of a Democratic victory, citing that an investigation would be required before certification due to “confusion around there being multiple Dan Sullivans.”

#NewPoll - Maine Senate 2026 🟥 Collins, 49% (=) 🟦 Jackson, 49% (=) Beacon/FOX

#NewPoll - Generic Ballot 2026 🟦 Democratic Party, 52% (+9) 🟥 Republican Party, 43% YouGov

#NewPoll - New Hampshire Governor 2026 🟥 Ayotte, 50% (+8) 🟦 Warmington, 42% Saint Anselm

#NewPoll - New Hampshire Senate 2026 🟦 Pappas, 50% (+7) 🟥 Sununu, 43% Saint Anselm

#NewPoll - Nebraska Governor 2026 🟥 Pillen, 47% (+6) 🟦 Walz, 41% NPA

#NewPoll - Nebraska Senate 2026 🟥 Ricketts, 46% (+3) 🟪 Osborn, 43% NPA

#Election2026 - Senate Race Shifts from 2024 The shift of the 2024 presidential margin vs. the projected 2026 margin. Blue means the vote is more Democratic, and red means the vote is more Republican. It's looking like, nationwide, there will quite a few ruby-red states shifting sharply blue this cycle.

#NewPoll - South Dakota Governor 2026 🟥 Rhoden, 56% (+18) 🟦 Ahlers, 38% Emerson