👀 看不透行情,先看透人间 📅 2012入圈 · 走过几轮牛熊 ₿ BTC · 🤖 AI · 🌐 Web3 · 📈 美股 ✍️ 不带单,只写自己的判断 · 📊 长期研究市场与宏观趋势

香港
Joined September 2021
AI has a dirty little secret, and it’s not the model. It’s the storage. Everyone’s benchmarking GPUs, flexing parameter counts, and arguing over who has the smartest chatbot. Meanwhile, model weights, datasets, and agent state are often stuck in cold corners of the network—waiting to be re-downloaded, re-sharded, and forgotten every time a new job spins up. That’s the problem Linka Labs (@LinkaLabs) is building around. Linka Labs is a storage scheduling protocol for AI networks: it helps model weights, datasets, and agent state get discovered, scheduled first, and reused—instead of constantly being re-downloaded and forgotten. What I like is Boost. You pick a storage object you care about—a specific model, a dataset, or your agent’s memory—and Boost it. Boost adds scheduling weight to that object. More weight means earlier in line. It’s like a VIP lane for data, except the club is a global network of machines training and running models. Boost-Scheduled Storage is now live, and Linka Labs has officially launched in @BitgetWallet’s dApp Browser and @BNBCHAIN DappBay. To try it: search “Linka Labs” in Bitget Wallet, or visit the DappBay page and Boost the models, datasets, or agent state you care about. 🔗 Product: app.linkalabs.io 🔗 DappBay: dappbay.bnbchain.org/detail/… 🌐 Website: linkalabs.io Follow @LinkaLabs for updates. #LinkaLabs
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BTC / ETH / XAU 短线操作分析(一天一单) BTC|操作策略:试空 进场 81,750–82,200 硬止损 82,680 目标1 80,500|目标2 79,400 单笔风险 1% 行情结构 未成交前 1H 收盘站上 82,300 则取消挂单(结构失效); 成交后触及止损立即执行,不扩大。 关键位 支撑 80,000 / 79,350 压力 82,000 / 83,000 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ETH|操作策略:试空 进场 2,392–2,418 硬止损 2,440 目标1 2,330|目标2 2,255 单笔风险 0.8% 行情结构 未成交前 1H 收盘站上 2,430 则取消挂单(结构失效); 成交后触及止损立即执行,不扩大。 关键位 支撑 2,325 / 2,250 压力 2,400 / 2,445 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ XAU|操作策略:试空 进场 4,055–4,075 硬止损 4,102 目标1 4,015|目标2 3,978 单笔风险 0.8% 行情结构 未成交前 1H 收盘站上 4,088 则取消挂单(结构失效); 成交后触及止损立即执行,不扩大。 关键位 支撑 4,000 / 3,975 压力 4,070 / 4,100 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 相关性风控提示 BTC 与 ETH 同为试空,日内相关性高,单品种风险各压至 0.8–1%; XAU 同向叠加时三单合计敞口上限 2.6%,同向全部止损后当日不再加单。 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 风险提示:技术面个人观点,不构成投资建议。开单前请核对关键位与自身风险承受能力
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【早间速览】 整体偏谨慎防御,但三者并未同向一致行动,反而出现明显背离:加密货币反弹修复,黄金因地缘风险获得支撑并守在 4,000 美元上方,而美股期指在高利率与“AI 交易”兑现疑虑下明显分化。 • BTC 约 8.1 万美元,24 小时涨约 1%–2% • ETH 约 2,340–2,370 美元 • 现货黄金约 4,050 美元/盎司,盘中波动不大 • 美股上一交易日收涨:标普 500 报 7,743.98(+0.28%)、纳指综合 26,549.85(+0.27%)、道指约 52,475(+0.19%) • 但盘后期指分化:道指期指约 +0.1%、标普 500 期指约 −0.3%、纳指 100 期指约 −0.9% ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【隔夜发生了什么】 ① 美联储维持利率于 3.75%–4.00% 不变,投票 10 比 2,两票主张加息 25 个基点,主席沃什未给出前瞻指引;这是 9 月加息后的首次会议。利率期货定价 12 月加息概率约 80%–84%。 ② 传导路径:短端加息预期继续上移、美元指数持稳于 102.4 附近、10 年期美债收益率在 5.00% 附近走平,风险情绪从决议前的观望转为“落地后小幅修复”的状态。 ③ 方向:币圈偏空,实际利率与美元共同构成流动性折价,但 BTC 已先行反弹;黄金利空,因为 2.66% 的实际收益率压制持有成本;美股中性偏多,除利空落地外,道指、标普 500、纳指均小幅上涨并录得三连涨。 ① 盘后财报出现明显分化:微软第一财季营收 922.8 亿美元、同比 +19%,Azure 增速加快至 +48%,且资本开支低于预期、自由现金流 186 亿美元仍为正,股价盘后涨 4%–5%;Alphabet 三季度营收 1,275.8 亿美元略低于预期,每股收益 2.12 美元,受 86.6 亿美元股权投资亏损拖累,云业务 +103% 但自由现金流 −90.7 亿美元、连续第二季度为负,股价盘后跌 7%–8%。 ② 传导路径:“AI 资本开支能否兑现为现金流”成为定价主线,资金从高估值成长板块撤出。 ③ 方向:币圈轻微利空,风险偏好与流动性同步收缩,与 10 月加密弱势同源;黄金中性偏多,因为股市波动带来避险配置,但资金同样可能流向美元;美股道指中性、标普 500 偏空、纳指 100 明确利空。 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【今天要盯紧】 🕗 北京时间 20:30(美东 08:30) 美国 9 月核心 PCE + 三季度 GDP 初值 + 当周初请。 预期核心 PCE 环比 +0.3%、同比 3.1%(前值 3.0%),整体环比 +0.5%、同比 3.6%–3.7%;GDP 年化 3.0%–3.2%(前值 2.2%);初请约 20 万。 超预期(核心同比 ≥3.2% 或 GDP ≥3.3%)将强化 12 月加息,币圈、黄金、美股三者同向利空,其中纳指 100 与标普 500 跌幅更大;不及预期则加息预期降温,币圈、黄金、美股利多,其中纳指 100 弹性最大。 此时段黄金可交易,正处 COMEX 活跃时段;美股现货尚未开盘(北京 21:30 开盘),影响先在股指期货上反映。 🕘 北京时间 21:15 欧洲央行利率决议、21:45 拉加德新闻发布会(美东 09:15、09:45) 若表态偏鹰(暗示进一步收紧或推迟宽松),欧元走强、美元回落,币圈与黄金偏多、美股中性偏多;若表态偏鸽,美元走强,币圈与黄金偏空、美股中性偏空。 🕓 北京时间次日 04:00(美东 10 月 29 日 16:00) 亚马逊、英特尔盘后财报;同日盘前有礼来、卡特彼勒、默沙东。 若亚马逊在云增速放缓的同时资本开支高企,AI 交易将再受挫,纳指 100 利空、币圈轻微利空、黄金偏多,反之纳指 100 与币圈偏多。 此时段美股已停盘(仅盘后薄流动性交易),影响将在复盘后体现,并在次日开盘(北京 10 月 30 日 21:30)集中释放;此时段黄金仍可交易。 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【三资产多空一览】 🪙 币圈:中性 BTC 收复 8.1 万美元但未能突破 81,900 前高,ETH 须守住 2,310 美元成本与均线密集区(10 月跌约 13.6%、ETH ETF 10 月净流出近 12.6 亿美元、逼近月度纪录),山寨币随 ETH 偏弱,方向等今晚 PCE 定调。 🥇 黄金:中性 4,000 美元上方靠地缘与油价对冲(布伦特原油约 114–115 美元、年内涨约 91%,10 月霍尔木兹航运袭击至少 30 起),但 2.66% 实际利率与 102.4 的美元指数压制上行,失守 4,000 则转为空头。 📈 美股: • 道指中性偏多,防御与价值权重支撑,期指仍小幅上涨 • 标普 500 中性偏空,期指 −0.3%,高利率估值压力主导 • 纳指 100 偏空,期指 −0.9%,Alphabet 与软件股拖累,叠加 AI 资本开支回报验证压力 ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 【风险提示】 核心 PCE 环比达到 0.4% 及以上、且 GDP 强于 3.3%,将基本锁定 12 月加息,三者可能同向下跌(黄金失守 4,000、BTC 跌破 79,800、纳指 100 扩大跌幅),从而推翻上述判断;反向风险是霍尔木兹再度遭袭推动布伦特原油突破 117 美元,滞胀交易重启,黄金与美元同涨、美股与币圈同跌。
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乐观让我很多时候躲不过调整,但是乐观也让我很多时候抓住了快速上涨 与生俱来的,很难改,也不必改
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昨天的事,翻篇 今天的事,尽力 明天的事,随缘
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这感觉就像当年饭桌上有人劝你买比特币,你暗地里觉得他疯了。但仔细琢磨,马斯克这哥们确实总能把吹过的牛给圆回来。千万亿市值听着像科幻片,其实底层逻辑就是赌下一次科技大爆炸。我没那么大野心当亿万富翁,真到了那天,能让我全款提辆顶配特斯拉我就心满意足了。😂😂🤣
People think I'm crazy for saying this, but I believe there is a pretty solid chance it will happen. Tesla is going to be a $25 trillion company that trades at a $1.60 trillion valuation today (15.6x from here). SpaceX is going to be a $1 quadrillion company that trades at a $2.05 trillion valuation today (488x from here). That's equates to $6,325 per $TSLA share and $73,632 per $SPCX share. I did my homework on what these companies are going to be worth. You can laugh at me today, but I'm pretty sure I'll be the one having the last laugh. And this is why I'm going to be a billionaire one day.
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我们的大A, 明天继续?还是预防性下跌? ​​​🤣🤣🤣
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爆个冷知识: 研究发现: 悟性高的人更偏向大器晚成 心理学研究发现, 长期发展并不只取决于早期表现, 还与人格特征、学习方式和持续投入有关。 发表于《Journal of Research in Personality》的研究, 追踪了80名成年男性长达44年, 发现早期的智力、潜力和人格特征, 能够共同预测晚年的创造性成就。 其中,开放性、耐受性和心理洞察等人格特征, 也能在智力之外解释一部分差异。
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我也想穿裙子, 也想这样跳舞, 女儿不让,儿子也不让,老婆也不让😂😂😂
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中国汽车颜色榜,没想到最多的是白。 大家的车是什么颜色?
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职业杀手伪装成警察,把人抓上车带走,对于普通来说,请问你怎么防?一般人谁能弄到警服?最终冒充警察并实施绑架的地方,是在惠州大亚湾经济技术开发区澳头大温坝市场,周边全是政府机关。 再次呼吁,缅北集团已经不是所谓的电诈组织,是有组织,有分工,有利益链条的反人类奴隶贩卖,器官贩卖的恐怖组织!! 这玩意他妈比贩毒组织还要他妈没人性,灭尽天良好吧!
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不枪毙这一批杀人犯,简直就是中国司法污点,建议最高院介入处理吧,影响实在是太恶劣了,海外买凶杀人居然不枪毙。
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感谢各位兄弟姐妹们!感谢你们一路点赞、转发、围观、潜水、偶尔冒泡,让我这个X粉丝数终于破2万了!2万啊,在X不算多,但够我在家庭群里横着走三天。 感谢马斯克@elonmusk,虽然你不认识我,但先谢为敬——感谢你买下X,让我有个地方天天碎碎念; 感谢算法偶尔想起我,感谢时间线没有彻底抛弃我。 也感谢CCTV、MTV、Channel V,虽然他们都不知道我是谁,但颁奖礼的排面必须给到。 最后感谢黑粉的不离不弃,感谢路人的随手一关,感谢我自己没放弃发帖。 2万只是开始, 一步一步来,稳!
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一道简单数学题,就能测出你是不是块投资的料。 小明丢了30元,又捡了15元,现在有35元。 问:原来有多少钱? 你算出来的答案是多少? ​​​ 大家都来试试,在评论区留下你的答案
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时刻提醒自己缺的是钱, 别扯没用的情, 少操没用的心, 始于钱,忠于钱, 一切向钱看,向厚赚, 人间疾苦,有钱无阻。
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明观 retweeted
🔥 CRC‑30|Minting Progress ~85% ⛏️🤖 🔗 crc30.pro/#mint Deep‑Dive into CRC30 🧩🔬 What CRC30 Does & How It Works ⚙️ Simply put: Built atop Bitcoin mainnet 🤯⛓️, CRC30 enables private transfers, private swaps and private issuance participation to share one unified cryptographic state‑machine 🔐. No Bitcoin consensus modifications, no sidechains required 🚫. BTC mainnet functions purely as ordering & data‑availability layer 📜. An indexer runs a note‑centric state‑machine based on encrypted notes 🗂️, consolidating privacy, transactions and launchpad onto one single commitment tree 🌳. I. Problems CRC30 Solves 🎯 Bitcoin comes with an inherent structural contradiction 🧨: transparency builds trust yet exposes trading strategies 👁️. All transfers, trading intents and issuance activities are fully visible inside mempool & block explorers 📡. Front‑runners sniff swap directions ⚔️, snipers anticipate price ramps and inject predatory trades ahead of users 💣. CRC30 does not migrate assets to standalone privacy chains, nor apply shallow privacy hotfixes over transparent ledgers 🩹. It brings three first‑class features natively on Bitcoin mainnet ✅: Private Transfers 🔏: Amounts, senders, receivers and note mappings remain fully concealed. Private Swaps 🔄: Swap intents stay unreadable before settlement; mempool observers cannot pre‑price execution. Private Launchpad 🚀: Linear bonding curve stays fully auditable 📊, while participant identities & timestamps remain hidden 🕵️. All features reuse the same crypto primitives: Notes, Nullifiers and ZK‑Proofs 🧪. II. Underlying Architecture: Meta‑Protocol + Indexer + Notes State‑Machine 🛠️ CRC30 embeds cryptographic data envelopes inside Bitcoin transactions (mainly via OP_RETURN) 📨. Plaintext balances are never stored on‑chain; only encrypted note commitments, nullifiers for spent notes and ZK‑proofs live on‑chain 🔐. Bitcoin miners & full nodes do not validate CRC30 business logic ⛏️; they only order and persist data. Protocol state gets reconstructed by indexers 🔁: replaying envelopes block‑by‑block, verifying proofs, maintaining commitment tree plus spent‑nullifier set. Indexers hold zero user custody. Spend keys remain local on user‑side 🔑; indexers only handle ordering and proof validation. Notes act as encrypted asset containers 🎲 storing value, recipient info & random commitment nonces. Owning assets means controlling a note only you can decrypt & spend. Spending a note only reveals one‑way derived nullifier. Third‑parties cannot trace back to original notes, breaking linkages between actions & addresses 🔗❌. Private transfers, swaps and launchpad all follow the same pattern: consume old notes, generate new notes, differing only in business constraints 📎. This yields a unified global private balance state 🌐. III. Private Transfer: Foundational Building Block 🛡️ Private transfer forms the lowest‑level primitive of the protocol stack 🧱. Swaps and launchpad add extra business constraints, while private transfers only prove note ownership without disclosing which exact note is being spent 🙈. On‑chain Visible Surface 👀 A CRC30 private transfer appears as a regular Bitcoin transaction. Public exposure gets minimized 📉: observers only see transaction occurrence, note consume/create counts, miner fees and the raw BTC transaction itself. Sender, receiver, amount and note mappings are protected under ciphertext & ZK constraints 🔒. Four Mandatory ZK‑Proof Constraints ✅ Ownership: Prover holds the spend key of target note 🔑 Membership: Note exists inside historical commitment tree, attested via Merkle proof 🌿 Nullifier Correctness & Freshness: Nullifier maps to spent note & has never been used, anti‑double‑spend guarantee 🛡️ Value Conservation: Sum of input note values ≥ sum of output note values + protocol fees. Amounts stay encapsulated inside proof, invisible externally 💰❔ Fixed‑size Slots & Change Mechanism 🧩 Private transfers adopt fixed‑slot construction 📝: max 3 input notes consumed, max 3 output notes generated (recipient note, change note, zero‑value dummy note). Every transaction maintains identical on‑chain shape to prevent metadata inference from input/output counting 🔍❌. Commitment layer cannot distinguish payment outputs from change outputs ⚖️. Dual‑Key Model: Spend‑Key / View‑Key Separation 🔑👁️ ‑ Spend‑Key: Controls assets; no valid nullifier or ownership proof can be generated without it ‑ View‑Key: Read‑only permission, decrypt historical notes but cannot spend funds 🔒 CRC30 implements Privacy‑by‑Default, Audit‑on‑Demand 📋 instead of absolute anonymity. Users can disclose history to auditors without surrendering asset control ✅. IV. Private Swap: Native In‑Note‑Domain Trading 🔄⚡ If swaps are executed purely over transparent UTXOs, privacy only covers post‑settlement status while trade intents remain exposed to mempool 🚨. CRC30 swap logic runs natively within the notes state‑machine 🧠. Private swap burns input notes and mints new output notes. On top of private‑transfer constraints, ZK‑proof additionally validates swap ratio complies with pricing rules 📐. Constraints upgrade from simple value equality to verifying minimal output yield defined by bonding curve 📈. Front‑runners inside mempool only receive unvalidated cryptographic commitments with zero readable order data 🤫. Trade direction and volume remain hidden until indexer completes validation 📊❌. Native CRC30 assets skip “transparent‑to‑private” bridging entirely 🌉❌. Both sides hold assets as notes within same privacy domain, eliminating pre‑trade mempool manipulation ✅. V. CRC30 Launchpad Implementation on Bitcoin Mainnet 🚀⛓️ Bitcoin nodes execute zero custom business logic and merely sort transactions 📦. BTC consensus cannot maintain share counters, price tiers or operation validity status 🚫. CRC30 hosts launchpad state‑machine inside BTC transaction payloads 🦠. Off‑chain indexers replay & adjudicate operations block‑wise. Participant identities and actions are encrypted by notes + ZK‑proofs 🔐. Data‑Envelope On‑chain Carrier 📨 CRC30 launchpad deploys no smart contracts and makes zero consensus changes 🚫. Launchpad operations are wrapped as regular Bitcoin transactions. Protocol envelopes embedded inside OP_RETURN / witness contain: nullifier of spent payment note, new share note commitments, ZK‑proof 🧪. Miners do not parse this payload ⛏️; invalid operations may still land on‑chain. Sanity checks belong to indexers, not consensus layer. BTC mainnet delivers deterministic ordering & immutable storage 📜, following Bitcoin meta‑protocol client‑side‑validation philosophy: raw data stored on‑chain, state reconstructed off‑chain by indexers 🔁. Indexer: Arbiter for Linear Bonding Curve ⚖️ Linear price ramp depends on global share counter 🧮. This counter lives outside on‑chain contracts and increments sequentially by indexer following block transaction order 🔄. Indexer performs three checks upon valid launchpad envelope: Validate ZK‑proof correctness Confirm nullifier has not been reused Increment share counter and update commitment‑tree state root 🌳 Subsequent operations must reference latest state root. Transactions referencing stale state root or reused nullifiers get rejected directly ❌. Curve parameters are fully publicly‑recomputable 🔍. Running Bitcoin node + indexer yields identical counter results for everyone. Auditability does not rely on single‑operator trust 🤝❌. Embed Linear‑curve Rules inside ZK Circuits ⚙️🧬 Share price rises linearly alongside counter value 📈. If bids rely only on user self‑declaration, attackers can submit low‑cost transactions for exploitation ⚠️. CRC30 bakes pricing constraints directly into ZK‑circuit instead of on‑chain execution 🔐. Beyond baseline checks, launchpad proof must satisfy two extra conditions: Paid value meets or exceeds current tier price, blocking under‑payment attacks 🛡️ Counter increments exactly one step, state root S correctly transitions to S’, preventing duplicate operations under same state 🔁❌ Essentially a ZK‑Proof of valid state transition 📜: prover proves compliance with linear‑curve rules without revealing identity, funding source or operation details 🤫. Anyone can recalculate counter value at any block height, yet cannot deduce corresponding price tier from unprocessed envelopes 🕵️❔. Share Distribution: Notes as Launchpad Output Vessel 📦 Launchpad never outputs plaintext on‑chain balances. Only recipient‑decryptable notes get emitted 🔐. After indexer validation, new note commitments are appended as tree‑leaf nodes 🌿. Holding shares equals owning a note with valid Merkle proof & unspent nullifier ✅. Indexer maintains append‑only commitment tree plus nullifier set; notes stay fully cipher‑wrapped 🔒. Secondary trades & swaps still consume old notes and produce new notes, no separate external ledger required 📋❌. Launchpad, private transfers and private swaps reuse identical commitment‑tree & validation logic — this is the technical foundation for three‑module integration 🧩. Privacy Scope: Hide Participant Behaviours, Not Curve Math 🎭 Total supply, step parameters and share counter are publicly computable 📊 and remain exposed. Privacy targets the linkage between participants and their operations 🔗❌. ZK‑proof only certifies: some note holder paid sufficient value and triggered counter increment. It leaks zero info about exact note, funding origin or associated address 🙈. This neutralizes classic mempool front‑running vectors ⚔️. Attackers lose actionable trigger signals since user intents are sealed inside encrypted commitments 🚫. Concurrent Conflicts & Architectural Trade‑offs ⚠️ Global counter introduces natural concurrency races 🔀. Multiple transactions broadcast simultaneously based on latest state root. CRC30 adjudication follows indexer processing order, not broadcast time or miner inclusion order 📌. The first valid transaction consumes state root and advances counter ✅. Other transactions within same block built on stale state root get rejected ❌. Launchpad throughput is bounded by indexer serial processing capacity rather than Bitcoin block size 📏. This is inherent engineering overhead for building global state‑machine over Bitcoin transparent layer 💡. Global state demands sequential arbiter; adding distributed consensus will completely shift trust assumptions 🔄. Indexers guarantee service availability but never touch user funds; spend keys belong exclusively to end‑users 🔑. Security comes from reproducible deterministic rules instead of trust in operators 🤝❌. CRC30 launchpad leverages ZK‑Proof & note primitives to upgrade plain‑text rule interpretation into cryptographically‑enforced state transitions 🧬. Conclusion 💡 CRC‑30 pursues an engineering‑heavy yet logically self‑consistent path: without modifying Bitcoin consensus, elevate selective privacy into first‑class capability for issuance & trading ₿🔐. It tests not merely ZK‑proof performance but a fundamental question: on Bitcoin’s default‑transparent ledger, can privacy evolve from a retrospective hotfix into native base‑layer capability 🧪. #CRC30 #Bitcoin #ZK #CRC20
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翻开武侠小说, 金蟾是一种神物: 据说吃了它,寿延一个甲子(60年), 百毒不侵,功力大增! 💰 金蟾送财,八方来财! 不用练武功,也不用寻仙药, 今天,让金蟾把好运送到你身边! 🙌 接接接!这波财运,大家一起接! 👇 转发 + 评论区留下"接财",把好运传给身边的人吧~ #金蟾送财 #八方来财 #招财进宝 #好运连连
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明观 retweeted
hello @_Push_X_ i got my score stuck from last week? i believe that i got several score (not point) bonus prize from the spin wheel this week but my score haven't increased since then. please look into it.
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小学时想和喜欢的人同桌 初中时想和喜欢的人同班 高中时想和喜欢的人同校 大学时想和喜欢的人同一座城市 到了老了想和喜欢的人一个世界
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全是低学历的,低学历也没关系,但要读多些书呀,这群体既低学历又不读书,如不能进厂打螺丝,游荡在社会上就是一个个的定时炸弹。
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