Developing Investors with @fink_money | “Anything can happen and it probably will” | Everything’s Gambling | Risk Ain’t a Dirty Word

Spain
Joined July 2016
$ORCL | Mizuho 𝗿𝗲𝗶𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀 𝗢𝘂𝘁𝗽𝗲𝗿𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺 on 𝗢𝗿𝗮𝗰𝗹𝗲 𝗖𝗼𝗿𝗽𝗼𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻, PT $𝟯𝟮𝟬 Analyst sees greater funding, FCF and OCI disclosure at Investor Day as potentially materially de-risking Oracle’s story.
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Tim retweeted
Someone asked me the other day why I chose to write a book instead of putting together a digital course. Funny enough, a course was my first and easiest option. I already had over nine hours of recorded material sitting in the vault from an earlier course I built years ago. It wouldn't have taken much effort to chop out what no longer fit my current thinking, record a few new modules, and package a solid eighteen to twenty hours of video. Charge a couple of grand for portal access. That's the standard industry playbook. I deliberately chose not to do that. There are plenty of exceptional video courses out there, but for this work, my priorities were accessibility and affordability. A physical book demands ruthless compression. Committing the frameworks to paper forces the tradecraft to stand on its own. You can't hide behind lighting, slides, or charm when someone's looking at naked text. The models either work under scrutiny, or they don't. Plenty of very capable people don't have the time or the inclination to sit through twenty hours of video, and they certainly don't want to hire a coach. I don't blame them. I don't think most people realise the courage it takes to trust an effective stranger with the raw mechanics of your life. It demands a level of exposure that many operators are simply too private to entertain. But that doesn't mean they can't benefit from the frameworks. For the self-directed operator, a field manual functions as a starter pack. In a way, it's coaching-lite. It hands over core frameworks and strategic models at a fraction of the cost of one hour with me, without forcing you into the personal exposure of a live engagement. It isn't the same as sitting across from me, and it certainly doesn't contain everything I do, but it's immediately accessible and gives you the foundational tools to work through at your own pace. And for the rare person who does eventually want to work together, it means they already have a solid reference point for how I operate before we even sit down. No motivational cheer squad. No padding. No fluff. And a lot of potential discomfort. But you don't go through this to be comfortable, now do you? The book's available on Amazon in Kindle, paperback and hardcover formats.
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When you realise your stake in a $2 trillion IPO would be worth over one hundred billion dollars but you went to prison for 25 years instead
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Tim retweeted
Another perspective from @P_Remarks Lots of ways to see $ORCL being re-rated from here as assumptions and priors are revisited
In the last 6 months ORCL is -35% vs IGV +25%, WCLD +60%, SAP +40% / WDAY +60% It’s trading below the value of just the s/w business despite highest gross retention in s/w Split up OCI pre AI, AI opco, AI devco & it’s an obvious long Val’n / fundies don’t matter during panics
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I think I'm becoming an Oracle bull $ORCL Once a market starts pricing the fat tails, a narrower distribution starts to look a lot more like 'quality' If markets believe that more AI infrastructure will DEFINITELY be needed... But pricing variance & leverage could kill neoclouds like $NBIS & $CRWV before that future becomes reality... $ORCL suddenly looks sexy 👇👇👇
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Incremental positive
$ORCL ANNOUNCES NEW AI PLATFORM THAT LETS CHATGPT EXECUTE ENTERPRISE WORKFLOWS Oracle introduced Fusion Companion and Fusion Agentic Home at Oracle AI World, allowing employees to manage business operations through AI tools like ChatGPT. Instead of navigating multiple applications, users can describe what they want done, and the system identifies and coordinates the necessary transactions, workflows, approvals, and AI agents. The technology works across Oracle's Fusion applications, including finance, HR, supply chain, sales, and customer service, while maintaining enterprise security and permissions.
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Another perspective from @P_Remarks Lots of ways to see $ORCL being re-rated from here as assumptions and priors are revisited
In the last 6 months ORCL is -35% vs IGV +25%, WCLD +60%, SAP +40% / WDAY +60% It’s trading below the value of just the s/w business despite highest gross retention in s/w Split up OCI pre AI, AI opco, AI devco & it’s an obvious long Val’n / fundies don’t matter during panics
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$ORCL ANNOUNCES NEW AI PLATFORM THAT LETS CHATGPT EXECUTE ENTERPRISE WORKFLOWS Oracle introduced Fusion Companion and Fusion Agentic Home at Oracle AI World, allowing employees to manage business operations through AI tools like ChatGPT. Instead of navigating multiple applications, users can describe what they want done, and the system identifies and coordinates the necessary transactions, workflows, approvals, and AI agents. The technology works across Oracle's Fusion applications, including finance, HR, supply chain, sales, and customer service, while maintaining enterprise security and permissions.
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$SPCX will be a HUGE winner over the next few years
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I've been closely monitoring the Brazilian elections for many more minutes now In my expert opinion, those same stocks will be under pressure because Bolsonaro didn't win
I've been closely monitoring the Brazilian elections for many minutes now In my expert opinion, Bolsonaro will be good for stocks such as $NU $MELI & $XP AMA!
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👀
I think I'm becoming an Oracle bull $ORCL Once a market starts pricing the fat tails, a narrower distribution starts to look a lot more like 'quality' If markets believe that more AI infrastructure will DEFINITELY be needed... But pricing variance & leverage could kill neoclouds like $NBIS & $CRWV before that future becomes reality... $ORCL suddenly looks sexy 👇👇👇
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Watching a few accounts greedily buying every dip in beaten down low quality AI names I’m sure it’ll work out fantastically for them
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If Grok crashes today, it's my fault. Gave it two paragraphs of a McElligott note with instructions to "simplify this"
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😂😂😂 “in the absence of risk” 😂😂😂 I’m crying
Replying to @PorcherThomas
D'ailleurs, la taille du spread franco-allemand à long terme pourrait même devenir un problème pour l'Allemagne pour financer sa dette car, en l'absence de risque, les prêteurs prêtent aux pays avec des meilleurs taux.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Le spread franco-allemand s'est élargi en raison de ventes massives d'obligations françaises et d'achats de Bunds allemands comme valeur refuge, avec des rendements allemands en baisse et aucune baisse de demande constatée pour les titres allemands. reuters.com/world/europe/f… boersen-zeitung.de/kapitalmaerkte… aft.gouv.fr/en/dernieres-a… deutsche-finanzagentur.de/en/federal-sec…
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I think that with all the doomerism going around, today's the perfect day to introduce everyone to 'Kevin' from chapter 19. H/t to @VolaTim for suggesting the character 🫡
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Unbothered. Moisturised. Happy. In My Lane. Following The System. Focused. Flourishing.
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"The AI bank run could trigger a financial crisis" 326k views, 1 day
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