just chill out chat. it's not that hard.
Joined July 2024
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You should feel very safe that Votehub is showing an R advantage early vote in FL as a potential 56.6% Nixon victory.
Zach is betting against all of this, and if he isn't, then he's a willful propagandist. Indys must be d+ infinity in their modeling.
Everyone needs to buckle up and lock in. Yes, Brazil is not the USA. What you're seeing though is brazen, blatant interference with the outcome of an election.
The entire world is going to be on edge.
I suspect we will see something in a little place I like to call, Israel.
New Insider Advantage toplines:
🟥 Husted - 44.4
🟦 Brown - 46.7
🟥 Hinson - 47
🟦 Turek - 45.5
🟥 Rogers - 46.0
🟦 El-Sayed - 47.2
Pretty unsurprising numbers. Field date runs up to the 22nd.
R+13 states will still vote for the R guy btw. Go talk to your average person. They do not care about any of this at all.
Andy Ogles being a petty rat. Shocker!
SCOOP: Some House Freedom Caucus members have privately discussed kicking Rep. Brandon Gill out of the group
"He's not really in the Freedom Caucus. He's just using it for conservative bonafides," one HFC member told @axios
Gill's bid to chair Oversight is fueling resentment beyond HFC, with Republicans questioning whether viral hearing moments qualify him to lead the committee
But Gill also has powerful defenders, including Whip Tom Emmer, who called him "the future of our party."
axios.com/2026/10/22/texas-b…
People just want their GTA VI and Ocarina of Time remakes. (This is a sign that the economy is fine)
Young Connington retweeted
NEW RET POLLING GENERIC CONGRESSIONAL BALLOT
(Dedicated to the dysfunctional polling industry.)
Our latest national survey of likely voters finds Democrats holding a narrow lead on the generic congressional ballot.
📊 U.S. Congressional Ballot
🔵 Democrats: 49%
🔴 Republicans: 46%
⚪️ Other: 3%
–– Democrats +3
––––––––––––––––––––––––––
Generic Crosstabs (Illustrative)
📊 Gender
Women: D +6
Men: R +2
📊 Age
18–29: D +22
30–44: D +9
45–64: R +4
65+: R +7
📊 Party ID
Democrats: 94% for Democratic candidate
Republicans: 91% for Republican candidate
Independents: D +4
📊 Geography
Urban: D +28
Suburban: Tied
Rural: R +18
October 15–18, 2026 • 1,247 LV • MoE ±2.8
Methodology Below.
Young Connington retweeted
NEW RET POLLING BATTLEGROUND ROUNDUP | Late October 2026
(Dedicated to the dysfunctional polling industry.)
Fresh RET Polling surveys of likely voters across key 2026 midterm races show Republicans holding narrow-to-comfortable leads in several high-profile contests, with a few Democratic edges elsewhere.
📊 Ohio U.S. Senate
🔴 Husted (R): 51.5%
🔵 Brown (D): 48.5%
–– Husted +3
n = 784 | Oct. 18–24
📊 Ohio Governor
🔴 Ramaswamy (R): 51%
🔵 Acton (D): 49%
–– Ramaswamy +2
n = 762 | Oct. 17–23
📊 Texas U.S. Senate
🔴 Paxton (R): 53%
🔵 Talarico (D): 47%
–– Paxton +6
n = 812 | Oct. 18–24
📊 Texas Governor
🔴 Abbott (R): 54.5%
🔵 Hinojosa (D): 45.5%
–– Abbott +9
n = 836 | Oct. 17–23
📊 Michigan U.S. Senate
🔴 Rogers (R): 50.5%
🔵 El-Sayed (D): 49.5%
–– Rogers +1
n = 791 | Oct. 18–24
📊 New Hampshire U.S. Senate
🔵 Pappas (D): 51%
🔴 Sununu (R): 49%
–– Pappas +2
n = 782 | Oct. 18–24
📊 New Hampshire Governor
🔴 Ayotte (R): 54%
🔵 Warmington (D): 46%
–– Ayotte +8
n = 768 | Oct. 17–23
📊 Maine U.S. Senate
🔴 Collins (R): 51.5%
🔵 Jackson (D): 48.5%
–– Collins +3
n = 804 | Oct. 18–24
📊 Maine Governor
🔵 Pingree (D): 50.7%
🔴 Charles (R): 39.7%
🟨 Bennett (I): 9.6%
–– Pingree +11
n = 836 | Oct. 17–23
📊 North Carolina U.S. Senate
🔵 Cooper (D): 51%
🔴 Whatley (R): 49%
–– Cooper +2
n = 814 | Oct. 17–23
📊 Georgia U.S. Senate
🔵 Ossoff (D): 51.5%
🔴 Collins (R): 48.5%
–– Ossoff +3
n = 876 | Oct. 18–24
📊 Georgia Governor
🔴 Jackson (R): 51.5%
🔵 Lance Bottoms (D): 48.5%
–– Jackson +3
n = 801 | Oct. 17–23
📊 Nevada Governor
🔴 Lombardo (R): 53%
🔵 Ford (D): 47%
–– Lombardo +6
n = 763 | Oct. 18–24
––––––––––––––––––––––––––
Generic Crosstabs (Illustrative)
📊 Gender
Women: D +4 to +9 across most Senate races
Men: R +7 to +14
📊 Age
18–29: D +18 to +32
30–44: D +6 to +14
45–64: R +2 to +8
65+: R +6 to +12
📊 Party ID
Republicans: 85–92% for the GOP nominee
Democrats: 90–96% for the Dem nominee
Independents: Split or slight D lean in Midwest/Northeast; slight R lean in Sun Belt
📊 Geography
Urban: D +20 to +35
Suburban: Near even to R +4
Rural: R +15 to +30
📊 Race/Ethnicity
White: R +8 to +25
Black: D +60 to +80
Hispanic: Competitive to slight D
Most races remain tight, with several inside or near the margin of error. Full crosstabs and methodology from the source.
I swear, if a shitty Vivek Ramaswarmy ad costs me my parlay with Husted I'll eat a hat.
(It will not cost Husted the race)
Young Connington retweeted
A suspicious envelope was delivered to my Milwaukee office today at 2:38 p.m. CT.
The return address matched the description of letters sent to other congressional and state offices across the nation.
My staff immediately isolated the envelope, cleared all staff members, and called 911 and the Sergeant at Arms.
The first responders confiscated the letter, and thankfully, everyone is safe. Our office operations have now resumed as normal.
I'm grateful to local law enforcement and first responders for their quick response.
One day.
The first day.
Compared to all the days.
I am smart and have "univeristy" in my username.
