$IWM
Its been a while since this chart became relevant for me. Target 2 was tagged and so did a correction down. Now, I think we could be seeing the first semplace of some kind of new structure form where I figures a bottom would form, with a possible inverted H&S reversal in the making. Confluence with Santa rally in cryptos if it forms and triggers
$RTY
Russell 2000 steaming towards next longer term target just above $3k. Not sure where it goes from there, likely correction down before more structure builds and a new target emerges
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Imagine if the market just needed the chaos gone. Trump wasnt playing 4D chess like wall street was trying to model and occams razor reality is just that unpredictable executive blunders were actively destabilizing the plumbing of the global financial system and pouring gasoline on an already dumpster fire of a treasury bond market
Now hes pretty much a lame duck, gridlock is locked in, and the erratic policy shocks can cease
AI trade can continue but with an ankle bracelet on and it loses its regulatory favouritism along with BTC, allowing some more healthy sustained rotations to occur in this market, which is what you would expect for a rotational market cycle top to occur
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We are one step big closer to broad based wealth re-distribution policies in 2028 and beyond, after todays blue sweep
From part 1 of my 3 part thesis: Families managing dynastic capital — the kind of capital that has been built over two or three generations and is intended to last two or three more — face a genuine engineering problem. How do you transfer real wealth across time in an environment where every traditional mechanism for doing so is increasingly visible, increasingly targeted, and increasingly fragile?
Look, you can be pesimistic over the short term path and sentiment that this turn of events will cause
But market cycles just swallow political news at the end of the day. Look on the bright side, as the Duck said - the state of affairs in crypto has been completely disgusting since 2025. Maybe than begins to change here and now
>"Crypto bearish if Republicans lose"
>Republicans lose
>Daily green
Idk man, the more the Democrats win the less grifting is gonna be allowed
And I think that's a good thing, shit got disgusting over the last two years
Even the President launched a bunch of rugpulls
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Were going to return to prices last seen in 1800 in a straight line down acording to some of the bears now
Were probably close to a reversal at now anon. Bit more pain, couple more down days, couple more doomer headlines
Then back up
We’re just getting started. This is my base case, but it could be worse depending on the interplay of exogenous and endogenous variables, nonlinear feedback loops, and second-order path-dependent contingencies that drive the terminal distribution of outcomes but the realized outcome remains subject to downside convexity, contingent upon the stochastic confluence of multivariate causal inputs, their covariance structure, and the regime-dependent sensitivity of the underlying system to tail-risk perturbations. Don't say you weren't warned.
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Time to start reaccumulating silver at least for a tradeable local low I think. Wouldnt expect it to shoot to new highs, maybe a 50% correction up before possibility of a final macro low around $35-40
Sold some physical silver today. Felt like smeagol for a moment and wanted to walk out with the precious. Risk to reward isn't what it was back at $22 an ounce though
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That being said, most of the better bearish arguements for crypto revolve around the equity market nuking 10% from here. But this kind of PA on SP500 and Nasdaq isnt indicative so far of an SP500 or Nasdaq that are going to nuke another 10% lower from here
Man all the crypto weekly closes are pretty revolting. Want to see some early week capitulation wick, rip the bandaid off, then up strong. Otherwise you just gotta expect some more sloppy chop and shitty PA. Ill be buying the dip again for the first time since August if I see enough doom and panic on the TL
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Man all the crypto weekly closes are pretty revolting. Want to see some early week capitulation wick, rip the bandaid off, then up strong. Otherwise you just gotta expect some more sloppy chop and shitty PA. Ill be buying the dip again for the first time since August if I see enough doom and panic on the TL
Re the massive emergence and normalization of bundling, astroturfed industry plants everywhere you look herding dumb money into a casino where the house has a 99% edge as opposed to maybe a 10% edge in a normal cassino - You need to protect your life force, vital energy, and your capital, from the increasingly in-your-face rage baiting being psonsored by the extractors. If it annoys you to the point where its affecting you, you simply MUST block it out at all costs in this game. The more of your life force and vital energy that you dedicate to being rage baited by their show, the more you feed them
Everyone complaining about the Kimichi stuff.
Have you considered that you are just old and that kind of content, whether you like it or not, is what resonates with super young people.
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I would largely agree with this. I dont know how high BTC goes from here in terms of from macro bottom to top, my overall bias is that crypto total top isnt in yet though
I think the biggest problem BTC faces is that we basically saw no new buyers at $100k, it was basically just Saylor providing exit liq for a bunch of OG whales
If we get near $100k and you start seeing BTC dominance drop while OG whales unload again, I think you temper your expectations on BTC and get ready to think about selling the alts you have instead of over rotating into new shit
Pearl is one of those things I'm probably just gonna fade because I'm fully allocated and cannot chase all the new kids on the block.
However I think the interest in it proves a larger point: disaffection with bitcoin is the key driver this cycle.
Basically the only things pumping are (1) onchain companies which have clear profits that justify buying them and (2) coins attempting to succeed where bitcoin has failed.
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Genuine S-Tier gaslighting larpery man
Calling people sociopaths. Preaching love not hate
Bet that within 24 hours of posting this he was dumping some bundled scam on a bunch of 18 year old followers with zero remorse like a sociopath
Never realized until today how many people on here are genuinely sociopaths
It is unfortunate that the algorithm rewards this behavior and pushes hate instead of love
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Mostly agree with Jacks point. But at the same time, play stupid games, win stupid prizes.
Words of wisdom right here though fwiw: its never been a more -EV time to be a doxxed rug dealer. Its especially never been a more -EV time to be a doxxed rug dealer that actively antagonizes that belittles their hoards of down bad casino gambler followers
after seeing an unsettling amount of people on this app quoting Realist's tweet saying he deserved to get robbed at knife point because he "drills coins too much", i am now even more convinced that ct is a dinosaur due for extinction
this app is filled with nothing but poor, miserable, mud hut dwelling, 4chan school shooter, sub 50 iq monkeys who will live out the rest of their lives contributing nothing to this world and nothing to their families or personal lives
once ct dies, this space can then truly expand 1,000x from here
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