I am a research analyst focusing on jihadism, Afghanistan, and Pakistan. |Consultant| |MSc @lunduniversity| |Rt/Like≠endorsement|
Joined October 2017
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I am glad to share my latest article with @ToreRHamming for @CTCWP a deep dive into Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan’s (TTP) growing strength over the past two years. It assesses the TTP’s potential future trajectory & outlines its recent & more localized focus. ctc.westpoint.edu/the-tehrik…
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
I joined Phil Gurski @borealissaves, a 30-year Canadian intelligence veteran, on his Intelligence Eh podcast to discuss why al-Qaeda and ISIS have struggled to achieve their global ambitions, while more locally focused Islamist groups have managed to gain power.
We also explored a question I've been following closely through my work BBC Monitoring: are some jihadist groups genuinely changing their goals, or simply becoming more pragmatic about how to achieve them?
Our conversation drew on my analyses for BBC Monitoring, some of which I've previously shared here: teapawt.net/Minalami/status/210304…
teapawt.net/Minalami/status/209805…
A big thanks to Phil for the invitation and the engaging conversation.
Listen here: lnkd.in/efuA39uE
🧵My analysis for BBC Monitoring on 9/11 anniversary: monitoring.bbc.co.uk/product…
1/ Twenty-five years after 9/11, has global jihadism failed?
There's a strong case it has, at least as a political project. Neither al-Qaeda nor Islamic State (IS) - nor any other transnational jihadist group - has succeeded in taking control of an entire country. IS came closest, but ultimately lost its territorial “caliphate”.
Yet two Islamist groups have succeeded in taking power: the Taliban in Afghanistan and, more strikingly, HTS in Syria. Neither followed the transnational model championed by al-Qaeda and IS.
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
Airstrikes are tactical gambits that may reinforce the optics of deterrence, but they are no substitute for a coherent, sustainable long-term strategy.
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
At least 13 police personnel have lost their lives and almost a dozen injured in twin attacks in two separate districts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province. Two police vehicles were first targeted and then set on fire in the Kohat district to the South of the Province, while another police van was targeted in Swabi district.
The group behind the attacks, TTP has claimed responsibility and announced a new organisational structure of the banned outfit.
A former Nangarhar MP has drawn similar criticism from pro- and anti-Taliban voices on social media over his attendance at a wedding abroad.
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
More than 2,000 years of Afghanistan’s history are being unearthed at Kabul’s historic Bala Hissar fortress, where archaeologists have discovered ancient artefacts, Buddhist remains and Mughal palaces. The Aga Khan Trust for Culture is leading an ambitious restoration project to transform the centuries-old citadel into a public archaeological park, preserving Afghanistan’s rich cultural heritage for future generations.
abcnews.com/International/wi…
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
Some thoughts on how #PakistanArmy (and Field Marshal #AsimMunir in particular) is gambling on four separate but connected fronts and how that has created a widening set of vulnerabilities that Washington should not ignore.
wilsoncenter.org/article/pak…
An insightful piece by @AmirRana: "When the Taliban took over Kabul, Maulana and the PTI were bitter rivals, yet they agreed on one key point: negotiations with the Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan. The PTI had borrowed this position from the military establishment of the time. Maulana, for his part, had his own channels to the Afghan Taliban and believed he was better placed than anyone else to bring the TTP to the table. In a sense, both were competing to own the same policy".
Was Imran Khan a victim of a great power play in the region? And what is Maulana’s real bet? Whose anger is he reflecting? Why are mine owners and small contractors relying on Maulana? muhammadamirrana.substack.co…
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
My latest interview for @SyriaDirect with @Anand_Gopal_ on his latest book Days of Love and Rage @PlutoPress read here: syriadirect.org/what-syrias-…
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
A world war is closer than we like to think, and that should terrify us. Gideon Rachman's new book makes the case compellingly. An important read
@gideonrachman
Afghan Taliban intelligence chief Abdul Haq Wasiq identified TikTok and Telegram as key platforms for ISKP recruitment, mobilisation and fundraising at the First SCO Plus Expert Dialogue on Security Issues (Samarkand, 5–6 November 2026), highlighting the growing role of social messaging platforms in the group’s activities.
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
د محبت د ګلستان خبرې نه کوی څوک
خلق هوښیار شو د تاوان خبرې نه کوی څوک
هر چا د خپلو پرهرونو ژبې وتړلې
د سرو ګلونو د باران خبرې نه کوی څوک
زما د ښار د محتسب دعا قبوله شوله
زما په ښار کې د ایمان خبرې نه کوی څوک
صاحب شاه صابر
Pashto Poetry
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
What was considered organisational intent ‘chatter’ in February 2026, is now a reality in November. The FPV drones in Balochistan used by BLA show that the supply chain for such infrastructure is not only intact but delivering . If it has appeared in one province, it’s only a matter of time for it to appear in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. This wider technological proliferation means raising the cost of a volatile security landscape and more propaganda intended to hurt investors. The innovation in the aerial dimension also reinvigorates the notion in the medium term of reduced human involvement but more deterrence value in the short to medium term.
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
اجمل به مریض وي خو ستا نشه ترې تلي نه ده
ده ځان سره به ګډ کړي درته غرونه راشه ته
(اجمل بابا )
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
A US federal judge has temporarily blocked plans to deport dozens of Afghans after lawmakers and human rights groups warned that sending them back to Afghanistan or the neighboring Pakistan could put their lives in danger.
By @DaudKhattak1
rferl.org/a/us-court-tempora…
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
In-Depth Analysis: Al-Qaeda Leverages flydubai Attack to Call for Additional Strikes on Israel and the West - by @LucasADWebber and @G88Daniele
militantwire.com/p/in-depth-…
وہ رائیگاں بھی اگر تھی تو رائیگاں نہ کہو
کہ روز و شب مرے اس جستجو میں اچھے تھے
اگرچہ وہ بھی نہ تھے حسب آرزو لیکن
وہ دن کٹے جو تری آرزو میں اچھے تھے
ہوا ہوئی ہے موافق ہمیں وہیں لے چل
سفینہ راں ہم اسی آب جو میں اچھے تھے
خورشید رضوی
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
One of the big impacts of the midterm results could be on US immigration and visa policies. Trump’s policies have hurt US-India ties. Changes in them could give a boost to bilateral relations and especially people-to-people ties-a longstanding hallmark of US-India partnership.
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
As many as 291 teachers, who have been providing education to Afghan children under the auspices of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (@Refugees) for the past 35 to 40 years, have been laid off without prior notice or any financial relief.
dawn.com/news/2041914/teache…
Abd. Sayed ترمذی سادات retweeted
#Pakistan is supporting armed groups fighting the Taliban in #Afghanistan with training, weapons & medical care. The question is why? lynneodonnell.substack.com/p…
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Why Pakistan Foreign Office Is Silent Over This 👇
Taliban Concerned Amid Reports Of US Deportation Of Afghans Via Pakistan*
rferl.org/a/afghanistan-tali…
