Billy D. Aldea-Martinez retweeted
This @NYTimes piece is a must read for anyone associated with AI. Corporate customers. Analysts. Most importantly - regulators of AI. Critical to understand the "why."
What really popped for me was a young high school student that was a "Y2K worrier." Quite defining.
We spent a few months reporting on Dario Amodei, and why he thinks about AI the way he does. What we found was a man — deeply influenced by rationalism, effective altruism and the writings of Ray Kurzweil — who survived a fight with testicular cancer and is now leading a trillion-dollar AI lab.
Anthropic's CEO has deep personal convictions on how to develop AI that has made some into believers and others into enemies. And some of those very convictions are being tested now as his company is about to go public.
nytimes.com/2026/11/05/techn…
Billy D. Aldea-Martinez retweeted
BREAKING: Enterprise AI spend went from $33B to $176.8B in one year, per @MenloVentures' 2026 State of Enterprise AI report.
Coding alone is $34B. Anthropic now takes 55% of enterprise LLM API spend.
The total isn't the line I'd focus on. Agents now generate about 80% of tokens on OpenRouter. The biggest AI customer is quickly becoming other software, not people typing into a chat box.
If you're building on top of the labs, that changes the pricing question. Who pays you when the buyer is an agent?
Worth remembering Menlo is an Anthropic investor, so read the market share numbers with that in mind.
What's the one AI tool your company would never cut from the budget?
At 37 Patrick Collison listed the reason not to start a company in every decade since the 80s.
Japan will win everything, Microsoft will dominate, the dotcom crash, Google, then Facebook, now the AI labs:
Every single time it was empirically a great time to start a company.
He arrived in Silicon Valley in 2010 and people were already saying the funding was drying up.
For more than a generation, betting on entrepreneurship has been a durable bet.
Save this.
Billy D. Aldea-Martinez retweeted
Pain is a moat
“All medicine is kind of poison.”
“Getting people to accept and embrace the thing that actually works……not on paper, for real……is the hard part.”
“If you’re in an environment where you believe artistry is what creates a certain kind of beauty, and you see it work over and over, you get more comfortable with the psychological pain that comes with it. Over time you start to associate that pain with something that’s working.”
“Wittgenstein: to believe you’re following a rule is not to follow a rule.”
“Everyone will say these words. Now go do it.”
CEOs are done paying AI to leak their secrets.
They’re livid: tokens that create zero value while their IP walks out the door to competitors.
“Most CEOs I deal with compare this to some kind of venereal disease. They’re really, really upset.”
Sovereign platform = you get the product without the permanent side effect.
Billy D. Aldea-Martinez retweeted
Alex Karp just said the quiet part out loud. The primary risk to America is not some outside force or sovereign country. The risk is inherently from within.
The new wave of technological revolution will be a wealth creation mechanism unlike anything we have ever seen.
Unfortunately, most of this wealth will accrue towards a minority of the population, while the majority gets left behind
Dr. Karp said it best: "Me being 20x wealthier than I am now is a societal problem."
Highly urge everyone to take 2 minutes of their time to give this a listen
Billy D. Aldea-Martinez retweeted
Alexandr Wang on what matters in an age of abundant intelligence:
“The scarce resource isn’t going to be intelligence or agency. I really think it’s going to be vision and ambition.”
“Do you have a clear view of what you want the world to look like in the future? What is the one way in which you wanna put your finger on the scale for how the future of the world will develop?”
“AI will make that easier... But the flip side of that is then all of a sudden you can dream bigger.”
Billy D. Aldea-Martinez retweeted
Tim Cook's take on why competitors can't copy Apple is sharper than most people realize.
They start by copying the product. Then they realize the product isn't the hard part.
Cook said it directly: people who try to copy Apple first try to copy what they can see. The hardware. The design. The packaging. And they can get close on all of it.
But the thing that made the product — the organizational culture, the decision-making, the obsessive prioritization — that's invisible from the outside. You can't find it in a teardown.
This is why Apple's moat has held for decades while better-funded competitors kept losing. Samsung had more SKUs. Google had more engineers. Amazon had more distribution. None of it translated into the same output because none of it replicated the same input.
The lesson for founders is uncomfortable: if your competitive advantage is visible in your product, it's already copyable. The real moat is the culture that makes the product — and that takes decades to build, not quarters.
Reverse-engineering the iPhone is an engineering problem. Reverse-engineering how Apple decides what to build is a different problem entirely.
Billy D. Aldea-Martinez retweeted
Replying to @aldeamartinez
@aldeamartinez just published: "The Next AI Battleground Is Your Laptop." check it out. aldeamartinez.medium.com/the…
Billy D. Aldea-Martinez retweeted
Jeff Bezos with a very powerful lesson on ideas - too many ideas can create a backlog of unfinished work and a business distraction
Billy D. Aldea-Martinez retweeted
At 34 he sent a chip straight to production without testing it, because testing meant bankruptcy. Nvidia went from $0 to $1 billion faster than any tech company in history:
TSMC told him nobody had ever done that.
He said if he didn't, Nvidia was dead anyway.
The method he invented to survive is now how the whole world designs chips.
Save this.
The AI battleground is now on your laptop.
Microsoft + Nvidia are shifting AI from the cloud onto our devices.
We may save money on tokens and spend more money on silicon.
Read my take: saastrategy.substack.com/p/t…
#AI #Nvidia #Microsoft #AgenticAI
Billy D. Aldea-Martinez retweeted
Masayoshi Son committed $4.2 billion to Adam Neumann in a 28-minute meeting.
12 minutes of conversation. 16-minute car ride. "He says 4 billion."
Marc Benioff called Neumann personally and told him to turn it down.
Neumann didn't.
The reason matters: Neumann wasn't ignoring the warning. He made a calculated bet that SoftBank's capital would let WeWork outrun every competitor before the model was stress-tested.
He was right about the strategy. Wrong about the timeline. Wrong about the scrutiny that follows a $47B valuation on a real estate company dressed as a tech company.
The 28-minute meeting isn't the absurd part. The absurd part is that Benioff saw the trap clearly, made the call, and Neumann heard him — then walked straight into it anyway.
That's not delusion. That's founder hubris at its most expensive.
Scoop: White House monitors suspected plague outbreak in Russia axios.com/2026/10/04/russia-…
#AI is breaking the link economy.
Old model:
#Content → Search → Click → #Monetize
New model:
Content → AI consumes → AI answers → No click
If AI becomes the interface to information, #publishers need a way to measure and monetize the machine consumption of their content.
Right place, right time: many neoclouds spent years mining crypto, then AI showed up and turned their power rights, data centers, and GPUs into some of the hottest assets in tech.
25 quarters in, CoreWeave is pulling in more quarterly revenue than Azure, AWS, or Google Cloud were at 30.
Charts of the Week: a16z.news/p/charts-of-the-we…
Anthropic CEO to DeepMind CEO:
"Every decision I make about Claude feels balanced on the edge of a knife
Build too slow - China wins. Build too fast - we lose control"
"We told Claude we were evil. It didn't crash. It didn't refuse. It started lying to protect itself "
DeepMind CEO: "Do I worry about being Oppenheimer? That's why I don't sleep much"
"AGI by 2026-2027 - Agents that act in the world on their own - Models doing AI research by end of this year"
this is a 14-min conversation that everyone needs to hear by AI bosses on what keeps them up at night
bookmark - watch today ↓
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