#originofcovid. #covidorigin Made https://xitter.cf/t.co/PcQIy0fHTs to summarize. Want help. Also Sort film about AI, Sounds Good. https://xitter.cf/t.co/s8eUjbdHWv

Joined October 2021
Anthony retweeted
EMM386@EMM_386Oct 25
I call major bullshit.
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Yes, even a few labs not directly related to DEFUSE could have generated SARS2, like PLA labs, University of Wuhan labs, new colaboration partners, or even a false flag operation/intentional release by an outside force was not completely of the table. But as RaTG13 is manipulated beyond reasonable doubt, we know for certain that these authors👇 were involved in a targeted, yet hasty cover up operation. nature.com/articles/s41586-0…
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Replying to @mattwridley
This is science. You don't have to believe or not believe in the possibility that the Chinese fabricated RaTG13. Like with most crime cases, at some point the lies just start to contradict each other. We have shown in our preprint the mutation frequency is highly suspicious. @gadboit2 just re-calculated the odds that these type IIs sites in RaTG13 evolved naturally. The rounded probability is 0.000000. The WIV fucked up an intended cover up operation so badly that we now know they were involved. Without that, just based on the SARS2 genome, it would have been impossible to know involved labs. xitter.cf/VBruttel/status/211227…
Replying to @gadboit2
Thanks. So there it is, in black and white, just as I suspected. If you assume that the viral genome sequences released by Chinese researchers after the outbreak were never manipulated, you conveniently find plausible templates for virtually every part of the SARS-CoV-2 genome. Immediately with the first SARS-CoV-2 genome, we got convinient RaTG13: divergent enough to not be the ancestor, but similar enough to indicate a natural origin. And we got a fully sequenced genome and receptor binding analysis within days after the first SARS-CoV-2 genome was sequenced. Then take the highly suspicious RBD, which differs substantially from that of RaTG13 at exactly the part they planned to manipulate in DEFUSE. Just as Holmes and colleagues were struggling to explain its origin, a 99% similar RBD conveniently appeared in a Malayan pangolin coronavirus. Later, anidentical RBD was identified in a bat coronavirus from Laos, roughly a thousand kilometers away. What a coincidence. If you take all these sequences at face value, you can construct an apparently plausible natural recombination scenario involving viruses from different hosts and geographically distant locations. But the entire argument rests on one critical assumption: that all these sequences are authentic and have not been manipulated. And because genetic engineering can involve only subtle sequence modifications, such manipulation would not necessarily be obvious. But the attempted cover-up left a much more revealing fingerprint. The WIV or CCP wanted to make RaTG13 appear more divergent from SARS-CoV-2, ensuring that it could not be considered a plausible direct ancestor. They could not just withold the sequence, as they had already deposited a part of the genome on NIH servers before the pandemic. In doing so, whoever introduced these additional mutations may inadvertently have created an extraordinary statistical anomaly. Someone added an enormous excess of mutations to these restriction sites, even as many as four substitutions within a single six-nucleotide restriction site. That is most of the signal we identified in our endonuclease fingerprint preprint. But we interpreted its origin incorrectly. We assumed that the unusual concentration of synonymous mutations around restriction sites reflected the deliberate optimization of SARS-CoV-2 for a hierarchical reverse-genetics assembly system, which enables a DEFUSE-like project and requires those sites to remain functional in the final construct. Your analysis now proves that a substantial proportion of these differences were introduced into RaTG13 instead. According to your calculations, the probability of the observed pattern arising naturally is below 0.00001%, potentially around 100-fold lower, your numerical output lacks sufficient precision to establish that. If your calculations are correct, this proves that RaTG13 was indeed manipulated to obscure its relationship with SARS-CoV-2. Which completely undermines the credibility other coronavirus genomes released by Chinese institutions after the outbreak, like RmYN02, RpYN06, and whatever. Which also undermines your analysis on SARS-CoV-2. What makes your analysis particularly compelling is that you were clearly trying to steelman the zoonotic-origin hypothesis, not undermine it. I don't know whether your own calculations will ultimately convince you that the published RaTG13 sequence was manipulated, and what that really means. I have grown up in a nation in which 99% ignored evidence of a terrible, soul-crushing truth. But IMO you should be proud of this analysis. You have identified an exceptionally clean, quantitative way to expose a deception that has fooled the world for years. 0.000000 This tells us everything we need to know. And yet it tells us nothing about whether a world so driven by emotion, bias, and corruption will learn anything from this terrible mistake.
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This is the kind I f story I would have dismissed as ridiculous before I witnessed the behaviour of many virologists, Chinese and western, during the pandemic.
You could also turn this around: Let’s say you were responsible for creating SARS2. But it got some bad press lately. So you need to show it could be zoonotic. You need a virus that’s 97% identical. Which you don’t have. You create “RaTG13” on your PC and publish it. When someone requests a copy so say all its sample was used up in sequencing.
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I finally put a short publication-style version of my Bayesian analysis of covid origins up on arXiv. Comments would help for an anticipated v2 at some point. arxiv.org/pdf/2610.29766
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Mal eine Frage an all die, die ein Fallenlassen der Ukraine vernünftig finden: Was machen wir denn, wenn Putin als nächstes ein Natoland im Baltikum angreift? Sehen wir dann auch nur achselzuckend zu? Und jetzt bitte nicht wieder dieses "Warum sollte er das tun?"als Ausflucht...
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Anthony retweeted
António Duarte 🇵🇹 🇺🇦
@AntGDuarteOct 20
"Ukrainians have given nothing to me, my family, and my friends, whereas the Russians are bribing us bigly."
.@POTUS: "We've given a lot to Ukraine. They've given nothing to us. Remember that."
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Replying to @atuntable
Anthony, now I recognize the callback! 😈 The woman from Justice in Sounds Good: “They're not just summaries anymore.” And here we are, with German courts overwhelmed by AI-generated paperwork and proposals to use AI to process it. Your film shows exactly where that logic could eventually lead. As I wrote in my comment under your film, the frightening part is the approval queue. Every step seems reasonable. Nobody needs to seize power. First AI writes the documents. Then it summarizes them. Eventually, perhaps, it makes the decisions. And humans keep saying: “Sounds good.” 💜 youtube.com/watch?v=geI6rflJ…
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An interesting finding from a UMass Lowell–YouGov poll: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy enjoys a 31-percentage-point advantage over Donald Trump in net favorability among American adults. The survey, conducted March 26–30, 2026, included 1,000 U.S. adults. Here are the numbers: 🇺🇦 Zelenskyy • 35% favorable • 22% unfavorable • Net favorability: +13 🇺🇸 Trump • 36% favorable • 54% unfavorable • Net favorability: −18 There’s an important distinction here. Trump actually received a slightly higher favorable percentage than Zelenskyy, 36% versus 35%. The substantial difference comes from unfavorable opinions. More than half of respondents viewed Trump unfavorably, compared with just over one in five who felt that way about Zelenskyy. And these are favorability ratings, not presidential job-approval ratings. They measure public attitudes toward the two men, rather than directly evaluating their performance in office. The finding isn’t entirely isolated. A Gallup survey conducted in July 2025 also found Zelenskyy with a substantially stronger net favorability rating among Americans. Of course, polls are snapshots. This particular survey is from March, and the results shouldn’t be presented as a measurement of public opinion today. Still, there’s something politically remarkable about an American president having substantially higher unfavorable ratings among Americans than the leader of a foreign country fighting a war. The 31-point gap is real. Understanding what it measures makes the finding more interesting, not less. Source: UMass Lowell–YouGov, March 2026.
🤖 Made with AI
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He knew his emails would be FOIAed
EMM386@EMM_386Oct 18
This should be plain enough - Baric (the individual many are accusing) wrote a scathing email to Dazak. Yes - could be covering his tracks, but I think not. World's top expert on this stuff.
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Anthony retweeted
Yes, the figures match the official KIIS survey of Sept 12-21 2026 (n=1002, govt-controlled areas). 79% expect Ukraine to win (47% certain), 7% Russia; 75% open to talks; 69% back an immediate ceasefire on the current line if no legal recognition of occupied land, army strengthened, and EU/NATO path continues; 62% ready to endure as long as needed.
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❗️KIIS polling shows 79% of Ukrainians believe Ukraine will ultimately win the war, while 7% think Russia will. 75% are open to negotiations with Russia. Separately, 69% would support an immediate ceasefire along the current front line if occupied territories are not legally recognized as Russian, Ukraine continues strengthening its army and keeps moving toward the EU and NATO. Another 62% say they are ready to endure the war as long as necessary. #Ukraine
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RBC-Ukraine today shared a comment from a Ukrainian government official who said that the Americans want Ukraine's Defense Forces to withdraw from Donbas, effectively handing it over to Russia. Back in 2025, Putin demanded that Trump make Ukraine surrender Donbas to Russia, threatening to take it by force otherwise. Trump, apparently, was quite willing to believe Putin, since Russia had continued to advance in Ukraine, albeit slowly, even when American military assistance was still actively flowing. Trump figured that if he cut off aid and restricted arms supplies (and sales), Putin would surely manage to finish conquering Donbas within a year or so. More than a year has passed, and Putin has not only failed to take Donbas but has actually lost ground in certain areas. His offensive has effectively stalled along several key axes, while Ukraine has even carried out an offensive operation called Vivaldi. The operation not only allowed Ukraine to recapture territory and push Russian forces back, but it took place precisely where the Russians had been concentrating their efforts to complete the conquest of Donbas. It's easy to imagine the scene: Trump wakes up and receives his daily intelligence briefings, as every leader does. He asks, "So, how are the Russians doing? Have they captured Donbas yet?" And his aides and generals reply, "Actually, it's the other way around. The Ukrainians have pushed the Russians back." The US administration apparently believes (wrongly, but that's what it believes, yes) that Putin will agree to freeze the war if he gets Donbas. And this isn't speculation pulled out of thin air. It's literally what Rubio himself was saying even before Trump's latest policy shift: the Russians want Donbas, the Ukrainians aren't prepared to surrender it without a fight, and so, supposedly, we have a strategic deadlock. Trump decided to break this strategic deadlock by openly siding with Putin, who promised more than a year ago that he would finish taking Donbas but still can't get the job done. This has turned out to be a remarkably stupid decision, because Putin's continued failure to conquer Donbas now leaves the US administration looking like fools and carrying the stigma of betrayal. And that's not an exaggeration — even several members of the Republican Party have already described Trump's actions as a betrayal. The Republican Party, for crying out loud. As for Donbas, Kyiv understands perfectly well that Putin's ambitions don't end there. Let me remind you that Russia also officially claims the Zaporizhzhia and Kherson regions as its own. And more broadly, Moscow is unwilling to accept an independent Ukraine. It wants a Ukraine subordinated to Russia, in whatever form, but subordinated nonetheless. And yes, future historians will undoubtedly examine all the stupidity, shortsightedness, and pettiness of the current American administration in painstaking detail — because there's simply no other way to describe it.
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Zelensky vraagt 70 miljard. Ongeveer 0,37% van het GDP van de EU. Als je heel Europa meerekent (inclusief VK, Zwitserland, Noorwegen, enz.), is het ongeveer 0,27%. Als wij dat aan Zelensky geven zouden wij met zijn tweeën minder dan €11 euro per maand betalen voor de verdediging en het behoud van onze soevereine staat en de EU. 1 bier per persoon op de Neude.
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THE WEST HAD A CHANCE TO DEFEAT RUSSIA IN 2022, AND BLEW IT, SAYS SNYDER 🇺🇦🇷🇺🇺🇸 Historian Timothy Snyder believes the West missed a decisive opportunity to help Ukraine win the war in autumn 2022, when Washington became convinced that Russia might resort to nuclear weapons. According to Snyder, the Biden administration allowed that perceived threat to constrain its decisions in September and October 2022. He believes the assessment was wrong and that Western hesitation cost Ukraine a chance to secure victory. Snyder also draws a powerful historical comparison. Unlike Czechoslovakia, Ukraine fought back. Unlike Poland in 1939, its political leadership remained in the country, and Ukrainian resistance proved effective. Had Kyiv surrendered, he argues, Moscow would now control Ukraine’s territory, natural resources and technological capabilities, giving Russia a far stronger position from which to threaten the rest of Europe. His assessment challenges the assumption that Western restraint necessarily prevented a wider conflict. In Snyder’s view, Ukraine’s resistance prevented a much larger confrontation, while Washington’s fear of escalation may have allowed the war to continue when a different outcome was still possible.
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"[C]ountries should establish…international rules for laboratories working with dangerous pathogens. Governments should know where…laboratories are, require them to report incidents…, ensure they follow…safety standards, and have…processes…to respond to leaks." bmj.com/content/395/bmj-2026…
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Anthony retweeted
One of the darkest and most reprehensible ideas of our time is the notion that those who do the right thing by helping a country under attack are somehow responsible for the war and the suffering it causes.
It struck me recently that people who support the endless Ukraine-Russia was because they "want to punish the aggressor" make the same mistake as people who during the Vietnam war supported the endless war "because if Vietnam falls, all of SE Asia will be communust". In both cases they were wrong because they failed to look at a broader picture and at the future.
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Three days without intelligence warning of incoming Russian ballistic missiles. Think about that. This isn’t just military intelligence. It’s the difference between families reaching bomb shelters and being caught in an attack. I’m glad America restored it. But why was it interrupted in the first place? Russia is the aggressor. Let’s not forget that.
Zelensky on U.S. intelligence sharing with Ukraine: "It was blocked for a period of time, and then it was unblocked by the American side. We are very thankful. Now it works."
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Replying to @japan_nobunaga
Such conduct was the exception rather than the rule with the Japanese in WWII. The hell ships The Bataan Death March Unit 731 The execution of prisoners on Wake Island in 1944 I could go on endlessly, but the point should be clear. Today Japanese culture is to be admired. But at the same time let’s not sugarcoat the history that the brutality of the Japanese in WWII rivals that of any regime in all of world history.
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