Sometimes you gotta talk about L's...
WATCH: @StuDoesAmerica reacts to @brentone post-midterm Substack analysis, and Brent joins the show to discuss his takeaways from the election.
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Brenton Evans retweeted
Awesome.
Mammoth Rock ‘n’ Bowl is a restaurant and bowling alley in Mammoth, California, one of the top ski towns in America.
Like the hotels, rentals, and shops around it, the business runs on winter tourism. A bad snow year hits revenue hard. Rock ‘n’ Bowl is especially exposed since they also sponsor a youth snowboarding team.
So rather than wait and see, co-owner Ashley Marks asked Kalshi for a market on Mammoth Mountain December snowfall. We built it, and she’s trading $5,000 for a $31,250 payout if there’s weak snow.
"We created the snow market with Kalshi because like other mom and pop businesses, we live with seasonal snow risk and wanted to give the community a way to offset some of that uncertainty." - Ashley
If the snow comes, business runs like any other winter, and she loses the $5,000 trade.
If it doesn’t, the Kalshi position pays out, giving Ashley $26,250 to help offset lost tourist revenue.
Either way, Ashley's business is protected.
Going live with @StuDoesAmerica on @PredictableShow. I'm generally the comedic relief in these moments, especially when comparing my prediction market strategy and results to Stu's.
We are launching a $1 million grant program for up to 50 research projects on midterm prediction markets.
Bring your best ideas. We’ll provide any publicly available Kalshi data you need.
To enter, quote tweet this post with your research idea and apply on the website.
Great article on prediction markets from @StuDoesAmerica
Wrote a piece for Fox News about prediction markets and what we learned from the midterms. Check it out. foxnews.com/opinion/stu-burg…
Ben Shapiro and Sydney Sweeney are sparking prediction market conversations, each in their own special way.
I’m glad everyone seems to be interested in prediction markets thanks to @benshapiro. Lots of points being made that have been discussed for a long time but are probably new to many. Worth discussion once we get past this election! If you see anything you’d like answered or have a question yourself, send them my way!
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Brenton Evans retweeted
Stu: Looking at prediction markets “makes your information diet better … It is cutting through media nonsense, partisan nonsense. All of these things that have been the enemy of the information diet of the average citizen.”
Watch @StuDoesAmerica ’s clip here. It’s really good
WATCH: @StuDoesAmerica defends prediction markets and explains why they can provide valuable insight into political outcomes.
Most underrated golf brilliance of 2025. Can’t wait for the new Invitational. Bravo to all who brought it back for the second year.
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Texas should stick to their Republican guns at the end of the day. Especially with Abbot being the favorite on the governor side and rural voters will go straight ticket. The only caveat is all of the people who flooded into Texas from democratic states these past five years.
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Had a wonderful time at the @nextpredictio conference. They definitely raised the bar for PM conferences moving forward. Kudos to the entire team.
Day 2 hit different.
Thursday’s new names turned into Friday’s meetings. And the Main Stage kept delivering, from a live market debate on the Senate to polls vs models vs markets on the midterms.
Packed sessions, a buzzing lounge and a networking night to close it out. That’s NEXTPredict Summit New York, Day 2.
Thank you to every attendee, speaker, journalist and partner who made these two days what they were.
How was your Day 2? Tell us below.
Brenton Evans retweeted
Did a brief informal survey of several Republicans I know in Ohio re. the infamous Ramaswami Acton's mom ad. They all said they were disappointed in the ad but would still vote for him. One was skeptical he could win and said she thought some R's would stay home. So my hunch is it moves the needle against him slightly. If one out of 20 R's change their vote in a close race that's enough to make a difference. Risky, do your own DD! Anyone know some more Republicans in Ohio?
I’ll be in NYC this Wednesday through Friday for the NEXT Predict Summit.
Prediction markets have skyrocketed in a short period of time, and a lot of the people who made that happen will be at this event. Looking forward to catching up with friends, meeting some people I’ve only talked to online, and hearing what everyone is working on.
If you’re going, send me a message. I’d love to connect.
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Brenton Evans retweeted
WATCH: @StuDoesAmerica and @PredMTrader discuss Kalshi’s newly introduced election market combos.
Brenton Evans retweeted
Predictable w/ Stu is now available in 25 million homes nationwide across DIRECTV, AT&T U-verse, Samsung TV Plus, FuboTV, BlazeTV, and The First TV.
Brenton Evans retweeted
WATCH: @StuDoesAmerica answers a viewer question about the Texas Railroad Commissioner race.
Brenton Evans retweeted
“It was kind of dead out there.”
Wyndham Clark calls out the fans at Medinah today for not being rowdy enough 👀
Do you agree?
Brenton Evans retweeted
Prediction Markets panel in Austin, TX @CapitalFactory hosted by @FiftyOneAlpha!





















