slapper (@ceoslapper) header
slapper (@ceoslapper) profile picture

Fat tails adds velocity

Joined November 2021
Photo by slapper (@ceoslapper)Photo by slapper (@ceoslapper)Photo by slapper (@ceoslapper)Photo by slapper (@ceoslapper)Photo by slapper (@ceoslapper)Photo by slapper (@ceoslapper)Photo by slapper (@ceoslapper)Photo by slapper (@ceoslapper)Photo by slapper (@ceoslapper)Photo by slapper (@ceoslapper)
slapper retweeted
He did the thing
I tried trading perps today and I got instantly liquidated for $10,000.
8
5
1
212
16,999
slapper retweeted
if porn and casinos had a child it would be crypto
63
149
17
1,754
49,197
slapper retweeted
let me give a proper explanation on how this shit works because seeing a lot of fake news when you see these insane candles happening on random tokens like LAB, RAVE, Momentum etc it’s because of a group of people do what is called “active market making” almost all of these “active market makers” are based in China/Asia. many claim to be able to achieve results like RAVE and LAB but few can actually properly deliver typically these AMMs will either approach projects prior to launch or after launch (if certain conditions can be met). but scammy projects also look to approach them the deal is usually that the AMM will put up the capital needed to push the token to the insane highs you see, and in return for the project letting the AMM “crime” their token they split whatever the profits are once the crime is complete so how does the crime work and how do the people involve profit? the first thing you’ll notice is that all these tokens have perp listings (usually binance perps) but very few spot listings this is intentional. the first major requirement for this crime to happen is absolute control of the spot supply of the token by that I mean the team/insiders need to control basically the entirety of the float. RaveDAO for instance, insiders were estimated to control over 98% of the spot supply this is vital because spot supply that isn’t controlled by insiders can be sold into the spot price being driven up by perps. to help prevent this is another reason why tokens with basically no spot listings or liquidity are chosen. if there is a lot of spot supply ready to be dumped on the AMM then it could bankrupt them, meaning the crime has failed as it is their capital at risk, AMMs are even asking projects to put them on all the multisigs for the token supply, to ensure that nothing can be dumped while the crime is happening so once supply is completely controlled then what? these AMMs don’t just commit the crime from one or two binance accounts. the accounts would likely be frozen instantly. instead they have 1000s of KYC’d accounts which operate in unison to drive the perp price up because no one has supply to sell, there isn’t any other way to drive the price back down except to short but this is where they get you the AMM can squeeze any short placed, as every shorter will have their breaking point. either their own tolerance or a liquidation point. every short that gets liquidated or stopped out is profit for the AMM add onto the fire that because of huge dislocations between underlying and perp price, you get some insane funding rates. as I write this LAB is -1% an hour shorts pays longs (over 8000% a year). this makes it even harder for shorts to hold their position, plus the AMM is making bank on their long positions funding BriskCapital is right when he says they wouldn’t have let him win with this size of a short position, especially publicly. his mistake was trying to short it in the first place, which is exactly what the AMMs want you to do. where do you think the 7 figs he lost went to? then whenever they decide the crime is complete they pull the rug and you see the collapse candle to zero. because they are the only entity holding the bid up, they have complete control over when and how the price collapses (meaning they can also likely join in on the short) my advice is to not touch these tokens. if you want to feel something just buy a small amount for fun. definitely do not buy anything sizeable, do not make any trades on leverage and DO NOT SHORT you are trying to compete against an entity that has complete control over where price goes
Lots of you saying I got unlucky on $LAB and should've held the short longer. Let me be clear. I was the target. If I kept that position open they would have pushed it to $40 no question. This market hunts liquidity and I am not here to get wiped out completely. This is exactly why I probably won't share any shorts with size on coins like this in the near future. Too dangerous. I closed to survive. That is how you stay in this game.
60
79
21
621
148,323
🎈 Populism
Nearly half of young voters now view capitalism negatively. 47% of voters ages 18 to 29 have a negative view of capitalism, per NBC 42% view socialism positively. Among all voters, 48% view capitalism positively, while just 21% say the same about socialism.
16
7
91
29,223
slapper retweeted
Replying to @fredtrades
Record sessions, tag sessions. Review sessions and tag statistics. Re-watch all trades that caused tilt, and sit with them until you feel clam. Everybody wants to be a trader until they have to do trader work.
2
3
1
45
1,378
slapper retweeted
1
40
2,449
Replying to @tradeflujo
Only autists look at flow.
1
1
4
slapper retweeted
plumbing article = needs to explain everything macro article = needs to explain nothing lessons in there
8
11
1
227
15,780
As soon as my brain starts thinking, it starts to find ways to validate, forcing its way onto the market. And most of the time those are going to be rushed, set ups, set ups against my rules and or trades that I regret and lose money on when I start thinking, I lock my accounts.
Thinking is a trading error ✍️ -Mark Douglas 👇 The day you stop predicting and start reacting Stop thinking so much and trust your edge Stop trying to be right and simply execute your plan Is the day you become wildly profitable 💯 🫡
2
15
1,290
Replying to @agnostoxxx
Game theory assumes all sides are rational. They are but in different way than westerners imagine. Why have any deal while you can have forever war of low magnitude and benefit from it massively? Population control, high oil prices, self-importance and leverage in foreign affairs
2
1
2
315
slapper retweeted
... - Lost all his money - Blew his brains out - Brandi Love is his Great Granddaughter
The greatest trader in history Jesse Livermore started as a 14 year old chalkboard boy earning $5 a week. - Placed his first bet at 15. Made $3.12 in 2 days. - Full time trader at 16. No school. No mentor. Just price action and obsession - At 24 he used 400% leverage, lost everything, and was completely broke - Borrowed $2,000, moved cities where nobody knew him, and turned $10K into $500K within months - Made $1 million in a SINGLE DAY during the 1907 crash - JP Morgan personally called him and BEGGED him to stop shorting - Bought yachts, private railcars, and mansions across America - Lost everything. Again. Went completely broke. Again. - Rebuilt his entire fortune. Again - Then in 1929 he shorted the entire stock market before the biggest crash in history - Made $100 million in one trade. That's $1.5 billion adjusted for today - His #1 rule after 30 years of trading: "The money is made in the waiting, not the trading" - He said his biggest losses ALWAYS came from the same thing: not following his own system - 100 years later his book is still the #1 recommended trading book on Wall Street
9
11
1
200
64,571
slapper retweeted
POV: Me journaling after I broke my trading rules 😭
32
104
6
591
20,012
Good trading is incredibly boring and the challenge is not succumbing to the boredom
Good trading is incredibly boring and the challenge is not succumbing to the boredom
5
13
4
212
9,809
This is a heuristic I learned early in my career that has saved me a good deal of money. Generally speaking: If you are short an asset and it experiences a stream of negative news that fails to push the asset lower, get out. If you are long an asset and it experiences a stream of positive news that fails to push the asset higher, get out.
Was that @Ksidiii who said or was it my old boss? I forget. But the saying goes: “If you have an asset that continues to eat bad news but doesn’t go down, there’s only one way for it to go young ace”
33
100
9
1,340
121,779
daily remindooor
2
2
1
108
2,494
I think as agents become increasingly sophisticated, it will become much easier to reverse engineer the footprints of specific market participants. Beyond the broader trading opportunities this creates, I think you’ll start to see firms with real, differentiated alpha become more reluctant to operate through SMA structures, despite the industry’s significant push toward SMAs over the last decade. The same dynamic could change how PMs approach pod platforms. If your trading activity can increasingly be analyzed and your IP inferred, PMs with genuine alpha will likely place a greater premium on longer-term agreements, stronger capital commitments, and greater protection around their strategies. The broader point is simple: transparency around proprietary IP will likely become more limited at precisely the same time that the tools available to uncover that IP are becoming dramatically more sophisticated.
10
10
1
158
23,909
Some Wyckoff shit here - When you see these spikes, it's often shorts covering. As we put in lower highs, it prevents amateur short sellers from entering the "ideal" pull backs, as the smart money knows this and it keeps out the amateurs, as they distribute inventory. Which there seems to be some clear distribution up here. Now short covers will have volume spikes, the price will collapse and then the following volume dries up.
2
1
36
1,594
as a rule, if you are going through any changes in life-take time off from trading. If you get married, take a bit of time away. If someone dies, take time away. If you have a baby, take time away. If you buy a car, or a house, take some time. If you are going through a divorce take a LOT of time off. This is NOT the last day of trading. But if you trade in the midst of change-it might be for you. Give the market your time, not your money!!
29
62
15
896
72,564