sonnet is crazy... almost all the tasks can be handled very well by Sonnet, without using massive tokens with Opus
I just searched today and it shows many many tech firms # employees stalls since 2021-2022 with few exceptions like $NVDA
Ozark retweeted
Last 48 hour issuance announcements
- meta $95bn equity
- ant via private credit $avgo 65bn debt
- spcx via nvda 45bn debt
That’s 200 billy capital for likely 400bn xpu purchases
Think semis are gunna be ok
Anyway, built a good ibovespa position that i think i'm gonna be fine sleeping on:
1. the index just fully retraced the bolsonaro rally, but just like the first rally was absurd in magnitude compared to the news, this dump was equally absurd
2. despite what the chart may tell you for today, Lula was never bad for the Brazilian market
3. the congress is still a right wing congress that Lula will have to deal with
One day will come for Indonesia as well, but the next election there is still more than 2y away and Prabowo is seemingly not worried about his approval rates going down in flames, at least not enough to bend the knee (yet).
Chart attached, although you can also easily argue that these returns have NOTHING to do with Lula (global run up to GFC + recovery and then commodities cycle this time around). What I want to say is that Lula is not actively BAD for the index.
Agree on healthcare and food from big picture but hard disagree in housing
Construction tech or labor have never been major issue driving housing problem
cancer and most modern disease will be cured in a decade and healthcare costs will drop 99%
building a house will become automated and drop costs 90% and the other 10% will be paid with the AI tax
farming and shipping/logistics will remove humans from 90% of the supply chain and food will be free for all


















