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📈 FT Independent Trader & Investor | Quantitative Methods | Founder of Algo Succession concepts.

The Moon
Joined August 2022
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This is the weekend you chart everything that interests you, so that when the time comes, all you do is execute the seasonal buy. If you’re not doing this already, you will experience paralysis from fear and miss the opportunity. Tune out FinX drama, and get to work.
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Brb with the Dragon Dagger
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Now that opex and vixperation is over, the next part of the cycle is a lot like Brittany Spears running around her house in lingerie with knives.
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Volatility 📈 Market 📉 X drama 📈 Ports 📉 This observation remains undefeated
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I am bullish on FinX drama and discord promotions
I am bullish equities right now
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Dagger retweeted
Funny 2018 Playbook.... Repeat It's a Mid Term Election Year. Always talk down your game plans to appear in line with concerns but in the Long Run it Always Always Always Gets Built! After November 3rd, back to Your Regularly Scheduled AI Programs. @DarioAmodei @elonmusk @sama The last major U.S. midterm election year where Technology created significant pushback was 2018, during the initial rollout of 5G. The primary controversy centered on the Federal Communications Commission's 2018 order that fast-tracked the installation of hundreds of thousands of "small cell" antennas close to residential areas. Local municipalities argued the rule stripped away their zoning authority, while opposition groups raised health concerns over radiofrequency radiation and property value drops. This resistance created real roadblocks to tech growth: * Municipal Bans: Dozens of U.S. cities, including Mill Valley and Petaluma in California, enacted emergency moratoriums or strict setback limits to block 5G equipment. * Litigation Delays: Over 20 cities and local governments sued the FCC, tying up infrastructure deployment in federal court for years. * Bipartisan Political Pushback: Both congressional leaders and local politicians campaigned on Halting the fast-tracked rollout until further safety and environmental impact reviews could be conducted. 🤣🤣🤣 Silly Rabbit... Tricks Are For Kids. $XLK In the fourth quarter of 2018 (October 1 through December 31), the XLK ETF dropped significantly, declining around 17% to 18%. * Start (Oct 1, 2018): Closed at $37.85 per share. * End (Dec 31, 2018): Closed at $30.99 per share. * Low Point: Hit a quarterly low on December 24, closing at $28.81 during a broad market sell-off. The decline was driven by broader tech sector volatility, rising interest rates, and trade tension concerns that dragged markets down into late December. I've built, designed and deployed 2G, 3G, 4G and 5G Networks as well as AI Driven Data Centers. I sit on the 6G Team with NVDA Developers. Trust me, they'll do this Every Single Mid Term Election. In 2030 They Will Push Back on 6G Wireless AI Enhanced Deployments but Guess What? It Will still Launch as we Compete Globally with China on EVERYTHING!!!
We Must Pace the Frontier: I’ve written a new essay on why the AI industry should slow down, with a three-part plan for doing so. Anthropic is unilaterally committing to the first of these steps. We’ll provide third-party evaluators with permanent, employee-level access to our systems, so that they can verify adherence to our safety measures, report on incidents, and assess models’ alignment during training. You can read the full post here: darioamodei.com/post/we-must…
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Quantitative Exhaustion confirmed 10/12/26
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Quantitative Exhaustion confirmed 10/12/26
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Final Update (see image) Status: Cycle 1 ✅ Cycle 2 ✅ Cycle 3 - in progress * 5 cycles have triggered. 2 have completed. 2 have invalidated (the ones that took us to 731). Now we have 1 active cycle (see below).
Quantitative Exhaustion confirmed 08/07/2026
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Bitcoin's rally above $72K is a fakeout, not a breakout. The Treasury buyback announcement caught markets by surprise. Bitcoin investors have long believed a return to easy money would be the catalyst for gold and Bitcoin to soar. They are only half right. Sell Bitcoin, buy gold.
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Dagger retweeted
The more you know. SPY 759 is VIX 17 as a 10:1 % ratio on this move. Meaning we either 1. Repeat the pattern from last 4 weeks, or, 2. We break the pattern and explode.
The past 4 Mondays, VIX has gapped up 3.5%-5.7%, and formed a higher high week over week on a Tuesday/Wednesday before reversing to form a lower low week over week (all Fridays formed lower lows except for 8/21/26…but it still gapped up 5% on Monday). SPY’s impact Monday was negligible. The real move was the follow-through to Tuesday/Wednesday.
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Dagger retweeted
You’ll know you’re in the middle of Cycle 2 when: 1. FURU’s will begin FinX drama (cuz that’s what broke people do during corrections) 2. Discord sales and giveaways
We now have 2 overlapping quantitative exhaustion cycles for $SPY $SPX If we invalidate one of them, image 1 should be the outcome. If we don't invalidate either of them, image 2 should be the outcome.
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Worst case 57k
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Short term I think SPY will stay within 2-3% off highs, and likely form new ATH’s. By early March, I’m looking for a ~7% correction off ATH, short term bounce, then a larger correction bottoming sometime in early-mid April. By the time SPY bottoms, I expect BTC bottom ~58-57k
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Replying to @poster11577965
57k or lower would be a great buy
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Replying to @Jeebs5522
I have 57k first, then 160k
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Replying to @ChaseMacTrades
It’s the same setup as the previous super cycle, which lead to a 713% run. An equivalent run off 58-57k support would put it at 469k. Nice 😎
Question: Does history repeat? $BTCUSD
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$SPY $VIX 1. Mask the vol bid during VIXperation. 2. Pin the first vol move into OPEX…760 3. Drive up high beta one last time into NVDA ER…773 4. Pull the plug after NVDA ER…731 That’s how I would do it, if I was a clever girl…
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