Lean UI/UX Design & Concept • AI • Automation • spam & bot followers will be reported • Latest App: https://teapawt.net/t.co/QCuyaAjczw • https://teapawt.net/t.co/CHv2BO3THd
Amsterdam
Joined October 2008
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davidvb retweeted
American Morality
jonathanpie.com/londonlive/
davidvb retweeted
.@jonstewart unpacks AI’s dubious promise of a better future, from the fate of our jobs to an "age of abundance"
davidvb retweeted
People keep saying Trump term II is the most corrupt administration ever, so I built a model to find out if it was true.
I took the UN's definition of corruption, turned it into eight criteria and 100 points, and scored the leaders history remembers for looting their countries: Marcos, Suharto, Mobutu, Abacha, Obiang, Putin.
Then I put every president since Eisenhower on the same scale, both parties, with every exoneration counted right alongside the convictions.
Nixon scored 41 and no other American President scored over a 25.
Trump's second term scored a 91, which ties him with Suharto and Mobutu and puts him above Marcos and Abacha.
So he is not only the most corrupt president in American history. At this pace he finishes his term level with the most corrupt rulers of the last hundred years.
PSA: don't come in my comments arguing about the results if you haven't read the full article, because ignorance is a choice.
Full article is up now on my Substack (link in bio) and it's free.
davidvb retweeted
A day after saying AI could kill us all, Dario Amodei sat down for his first interview:
"I would rather they make fun of me than to wake up one day and discover that someone used our model Claude to kill a bunch of people."
He doubled down on everything, AI is on an exponential and we're at the bend where it gets steep, so we need to slow down, not stop.
He wants third-party inspectors inside every AI lab, he confirmed Elon and Sam are on board, and he says the US and China need arms-control style talks like the nuclear era.
Personally, I don't think this is all being done just to set up a favorable IPO, too many independent voices and direct competitors have backed him on it.
Unfortunately we don't have access to the information Dario, Sam or Elon do, so for now we just have to take their word for it.
What do you think about all this?
Ok this is starting to feel like a f*cking disaster.
The CEO of Anthropic just published an article admitting AI is already building the next generation of AI by itself.
He says within 6 to 12 months a rogue swarm could take over the entire internet and cause hundreds of billions of dollars in damage.
And what makes it scarier, Elon Musk just backed up everything Dario said.
All of this dropping just days after Jacob Coxon went viral with his warning about AI and the extinction of humanity.
Tell me this timing isn't strange.
davidvb retweeted
This guy also worked at Anthropic and quit. Excellent video warning about AI. Fantastic watch. 🤖
m.youtube.com/watch?v=gYORRh…
davidvb retweeted
I resigned from Anthropic today. I spent the last three years doing pretraining research at both OpenAI and Anthropic. Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives. More thoughts below.
davidvb retweeted
Step 1: Remove filters in Reflecting Pool because Obama put them in.
Step 2: Give your criminal neighbor who runs "Greenwater Services" a $20 million no-bid contract to paint the pool.
Step 3: Fill the pool with water from the Potomac River, the phosphates from which cause algae blooms.
Step 4: Freshly sealed pool and extreme heat result in a super scum event
Step 5: Direct National Park Service to dump hydrogen peroxide into the pool which causes the paint to peel.
Step 5: Deploy US National Guard to stop people from taking photos of the swamp as a perfect metaphor for the administration.
Step 6: Blame someone else.
davidvb retweeted
You have noticed it. ChatGPT feels dumber than it used to. Your prompts that worked six months ago produce worse results now. The writing sounds flatter. The ideas sound safer. The internet itself feels like it is shrinking. Every article reads the same. Every email sounds the same. Every answer sounds like it was written by the same voice.
You thought it was you. It is not you.
Researchers at Oxford and Cambridge published a paper in Nature proving what is happening. They call it Model Collapse.
Here is the mechanism in one sentence. AI trained on AI-generated data gets dumber every generation until it forgets what real human data looked like.
The internet is filling with AI-generated content. Blog posts. Articles. Reviews. Comments. Social media. AI companies scrape the internet to train the next generation of models. Which means the next generation of AI is being trained on the output of the current generation.
Each cycle loses information. Not randomly. It loses the rarest, most unusual, most creative parts first. The researchers call these the "tails of the distribution." The weird ideas. The unexpected perspectives. The things that made the internet feel human. Those disappear first.
What remains is the average. The safe. The expected. The bland.
Then the next generation trains on that. And loses more. And the next generation trains on that. And loses more. The researchers proved this is not a slow decline. Major degradation happens within just a few iterations. Even when some of the original human data is preserved.
They tested it on large language models. On image generators. On statistical models. The pattern was the same every time. The output converges toward a narrow, flattened version of reality that looks nothing like the original data.
The lead researcher put it plainly. "Large language models are like fire. A useful tool. But one that pollutes the environment."
The pollution is invisible. You cannot see which sentence on the internet was written by a human and which was written by AI. Neither can the AI that is about to train on it. And once the tails are gone, they do not come back. The damage is irreversible.
This is not a prediction anymore. It is a diagnosis.
The internet you grew up on was built by humans writing things no algorithm would have written. Strange, personal, imperfect, alive. That internet is being diluted. One generation of AI at a time. And the models trained on what remains are learning a smaller and smaller version of the world.
Model Collapse is not a technical problem. It is a cultural one. The thing that made the internet worth reading is the thing that disappears first.
davidvb retweeted
“AND YOU STILL DARE TO OPEN YOUR MOUTH…”
Sasha Legerman: This is too accurate not to share.
This Australian’s response to Trump’s rant that “NATO does nothing for America” is absolutely devastating:
“Mate. You run a country where 600,000 homeless people will sleep on the streets tonight.
A country where 40% of adults can’t cover a $400 emergency without borrowing money.
A country where insulin costs more than a car payment, and people ration it just to stay alive.
A country where medical debt is the number one cause of bankruptcy.
A country where women die in hospital parking lots because doctors are too afraid of abortion laws to treat miscarriages.
You imprison more of your own citizens than any country on Earth.
More than China. More than Russia. More than North Korea.
In the land of the free, 2 million people sit in cages, and a quarter of them haven’t even been convicted of anything.
They’re simply too poor to afford bail.
Your life expectancy is declining. You’re the only developed nation where that’s happening.
Your infant mortality rate is worse than Cuba’s.
Your children practice active shooter drills between math and English classes while you sell defense stocks to your friends.
Your minimum wage hasn’t changed in 15 years.
Your teachers work two jobs, your veterans sleep under bridges, and you just spent a trillion dollars flattening a country that never attacked you.
And now a convicted criminal — found liable for sexual abuse, defending a pedophile, sleeping with a porn star, and running the biggest dumpster-fire campaign since the Taliban — is thanking you for yet another disaster.
And you call Greenland badly governed?
Greenland has universal healthcare. Free education. One of the lowest incarceration rates in the world.
Nobody there goes bankrupt because they got sick. Nobody dies in a waiting room because insurance refused treatment.
‘NATO wasn’t there when we needed them.’
When exactly was that, champ?
September 11?
Because NATO invoked Article 5 for the first and only time in history FOR YOU.
Soldiers from dozens of countries deployed, fought, bled, and died in Afghanistan FOR YOU.
Australia wasn’t even in NATO, and we still showed up. For twenty years.
And then you left at 2 a.m. without telling anyone and left everybody else to clean up the mess.
You don’t care that a great nation is being terrorized by your friend, and you haven’t shown it a single ounce of sympathy.
So maybe before calling other countries badly governed, take a look at your own backyard, you aluminum siding salesman with a spray tan.
The only thing badly managed in this picture is your damn mouth.
And you still dare to lecture the rest of the world?”
davidvb retweeted
Microsoft just banned its own engineers from using AI.
The tool was literally costing MORE than the humans it was supposed to replace.
They lied to you about AI adoption and now the whole narrative is blowing up:
Microsoft gave thousands of engineers access to Claude Code six months ago and encouraged them to use it.
Engineers loved it and adoption exploded. But then the invoices arrived.
Token-based pricing means every query, every code review, every debugging session costs money. At scale across 100,000 engineers, the numbers became so large that Microsoft issued an internal order to cancel nearly all Claude Code licenses by end of June and force everyone onto their own cheaper tool instead.
The company that invested $5 billion in Anthropic just told its own people to stop using Anthropic's product because it costs too much.
Uber's story is even worse...
Their CTO Praveen Neppalli Naga told The Information that the budget he planned for the full year was "blown away already" by April.
Uber had rolled out Claude Code in December 2025. By March, 84% of their 5,000 engineers were using it with 70% of all committed code coming from AI systems.
Heavy users were burning $500 to $2,000 per month each. Naga himself spent $1,200 in a single two-hour demo session.
The company had even built internal leaderboards ranking engineers by how much AI they used. They literally gamified the spending and then ran out of money.
Now look at what Nvidia's own VP of applied deep learning Bryan Catanzaro said to Axios last month. Direct quote:
"For my team, the cost of compute is far beyond the costs of the employees."
This is a VP at the company that SELLS the chips saying that using AI is more expensive than paying humans.
Think about what this means for the entire AI narrative.
Every CEO on every earnings call for the past two years has said the same thing:
AI will make us more efficient, reduce headcount, and cut costs.
The stock market rewarded every company that said it.
Fired workers, stock goes up. Announced AI adoption, stock goes up.
But the actual companies deploying AI at scale are discovering the math doesn't work. The MORE employees use AI, the HIGHER the bill.
Goldman Sachs forecasts a 24x increase in token consumption by 2030 as companies adopt AI agents. Gartner just published a report showing that even though individual token prices will drop 90% by 2030, total enterprise AI costs will go UP because agents consume exponentially more tokens per task than basic tools.
Meta built an internal dashboard called "Claudeonomics" to track which employees use the most AI. Amazon started pushing engineers to "tokenmaxx," their internal term for consuming as many AI tokens as possible.
Both companies are spending hundreds of billions on AI infrastructure this year alone.
And Microsoft, the company that bet its entire future on AI, just told 100,000 engineers to stop using the tool they liked best because the per-token bills got out of control.
The companies building AI are telling investors it saves money. The companies using AI are finding out it costs more than the humans it was supposed to replace. And even the company that makes the chips just admitted it through its own VP.
This is the gap nobody on Wall Street is pricing in.
$725 billion in AI infrastructure spending this year across Big Tech. And the first companies to actually deploy these tools at scale are already pulling back because the economics don't work.
What do you think?
davidvb retweeted
⚠️ DIE KOMPLETTE TRUMP-LISTE - HIER SIND DIE MILLIARDEN, DIE WIRKLICH GEFLOSSEN SIND!
Ich habe zwei Tage gebraucht, um sie zusammenzutragen, weil die Beträge an zwanzig verschiedenen Stellen versteckt sind. Nebeneinander gelegt versteht ihr, warum das Weiße Haus auf jede Frage mit Schweigen antwortet.
Die Quellen sind SEC-Filings, Blockchain-Daten, BBC-Recherchen, Reuters und Bloomberg. Jede einzelne Zahl ist öffentlich nachlesbar.
⚠️ 17. Januar 2025. Drei Tage vor der Amtseinführung launcht Trump seinen eigenen Memecoin. Zwei Entitäten der Familie (CIC Digital LLC und Fight Fight Fight LLC) halten 80 Prozent der Token. Am zweiten Handelstag steht die Market Cap bei 14,5 Milliarden Dollar. Allein in den ersten zwei Wochen fließen laut Blockchain-Analyse über 350 Millionen Dollar an Trading-Fees an die Trump-Entitäten. Retail sitzt heute auf über 85 Prozent Verlust. Die Familie behält die Fees.
⚠️ 19. Januar. Zwei Tage später kommt der Melania-Token. Peak 13 Dollar, heute 15 Cent. 99 Prozent Crash. Insider, die vor dem Launch positioniert waren, haben zweistellige Millionenbeträge abgezogen. Wer das war, weiß wieder mal niemand.
⚠️ World Liberty Financial. Das DeFi-Projekt der Trump-Familie. 550 Millionen Dollar im Token-Sale eingesammelt, rund 300 Millionen davon aus dem Ausland. Die Familie kassiert 75 Prozent der Revenues. Justin Sun investiert 75 Millionen und kurz darauf pausiert die SEC die Untersuchung gegen ihn. Eric Trump sagt wörtlich in einem Interview: WLFI hat hunderte Millionen für die Familie generiert.
⚠️ März 2025. WLFI launcht den USD1 Stablecoin. Innerhalb weniger Wochen springt die Marktkapitalisierung auf 2,2 Milliarden Dollar. MGX aus Abu Dhabi wickelt ein 2-Milliarden-Dollar-Investment in Binance über USD1 ab. Zufall natürlich. Die Zinsen auf die hinterlegten Tresauries fließen an, richtig, die Trump-Familie.
⚠️ Eric und Don Jr. gründen American Bitcoin, eine Mining-Firma. Über SPAC an die Börse gebracht, Bewertung im Milliardenbereich. Parallel unterschreibt Trump eine Executive Order für die Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. Mining-Aktien rallen sofort. #Bitcoin läuft auf neue Allzeithochs. Die Familie hält Mining-Bestände, Treasury-Positionen und Policy-Hebel gleichzeitig.
⚠️ Trump Media & Technology. Trump hält 53 Prozent. Im Herbst 2025 verkündet DJT eine Krypto-Strategie über 2 Milliarden Dollar Bitcoin-Treasury. $BTC steht über 100.000 Dollar, die Aktie pumpt um zweistellige Prozent, Trumps Papier-Vermögen springt um hunderte Millionen nach oben. Niemand außer der Familie wusste vor der Ankündigung Bescheid.
⚠️ Die BBC hat fünf Pre-Announcement-Patterns dokumentiert. Öl-Futures 580 Millionen vor der Iran-Pause. S&P-Futures 1,5 Milliarden vor dem Iran-Post. Ceasefire-Trades 950 Millionen. Hormuz-Öffnung 760 Millionen. Tariff-Pause im April über 900 Millionen an Vortages-Wetten. Aufaddiert sind das über 4 Milliarden Dollar an Positionen, die Minuten vor Trump-Tweets platziert wurden. 100 Prozent Trefferquote.
⚠️ Don Jr. sitzt im Advisory Board von Polymarket. Gleichzeitig strategischer Berater bei Kalshi. Die zwei Plattformen, auf denen die anomalen Wetten laufen. Die Familie verdient an den Plattform-Gebühren, während Wallets zehn von zehn Treffer landen.
⚠️ SEC stoppt die Binance-Klage, kurz danach nutzt Binance USD1. Der Genius Act legalisiert Stablecoin-Yields, direkt zugunsten von USD1. Die Crypto Task Force wird von David Sacks geführt, einem Trump-Donor. Jede Policy-Entscheidung seit Januar 2025 landet als Cashflow irgendwo in der Familie.
Die Gesamtrechnung. Mindestens 1 bis 2 Milliarden realisierte Cash-Einnahmen über Memecoin-Fees, WLFI-Sale und Plattform-Beteiligungen. Dazu 4 bis 5 Milliarden in anomalen Pre-Event-Trades, die formal niemandem zugeordnet werden, aber auf Konten landen, die jedes Mal im richtigen Moment Bescheid wissen. Dazu zweistellige Milliarden an Papier-Vermögen über DJT und Krypto-Bestände. Alles öffentlich dokumentiert, alles mit Deal-Kette und Zeitstempel belegbar.
Wenn du in Frankfurt einen Tipp von deinem Cousin kriegst und 2.000 Euro auf BASF setzt, stehst du vor Gericht. Wenn aus dem Oval Office Milliarden vor Kriegsentscheidungen verschoben werden, wird daraus eine BBC-Reportage mit dem Wort auffällig.
Der STOCK Act verbietet exakt diese Geschäfte seit 2012. Null Verfahren. Null Verurteilungen. Das System funktioniert wie designed, nur nicht für dich.
Sechs Milliarden Dollar Cash und Paper-Gains innerhalb von 15 Monaten. Und niemand wird in den Knast gehen. Merkt euch diese Zahl, wenn euch das nächste Mal jemand erklärt, wie die Regulierung in diesem Land ungerechten Reichtum verhindert.
teapawt.net/Smart_Money/status/204…
⚠️ INSIDER-HANDEL IM WEISSEN HAUS - DAS MUSTER IST JETZT EINDEUTIG!
Ein Trader sitzt um 6:49 morgens am Bildschirm und sieht, wie 580 Millionen Dollar in die Öl-Futures fließen. Kein News-Ticker, kein Analysten-Call, keine Erklärung. Reine Stille - und dann ein Berg von Geld, der sich auf genau die Richtung legt, in die der Markt gleich kippen soll.
16 Minuten später kommt Trumps Tweet. Iran-Pause. Öl fällt senkrecht. Die Bets gehen auf.
Das ist kein Einzelfall. Die BBC hat fünf dieser Muster dokumentiert. Tariff-Pause. Maduro-Capture. Ceasefire-Ankündigung. Iran-Verhandlungen. Hormuz-Öffnung. Jedes Mal derselbe Film - massive Wetten, Minuten bevor die Information öffentlich ist, 100 Prozent Treffer.
@unusual_whales schreibt: "580 Millionen in 16 Minuten VOR der Ankündigung. Nicht normal." @MerlijnTrader zählt die Serie mit: "11 Trades. 11 Wins. 100 Prozent Win Rate. Das ist nicht mehr Zufall." Und Senator @ChrisMurphyCT packt die nächste Zahl auf den Tisch: 1,5 Milliarden Dollar in S&P-Futures, 5 Minuten vor Trumps Iran-Post. 46-mal größer als jeder andere Trade an diesem Morgen.
Der italienische Journalist @francescoproia fasst das Playbook zusammen. 23. März - 500 Millionen Öl-Bet, 15 Minuten bevor Trump den Iran-Angriff vertagt. 7. April - 950 Millionen, kurz vor dem Ceasefire. 17. April - 760 Millionen, 20 Minuten bevor Trump die Straße von Hormuz für offen erklärt.
"Man liest Insider Trading. Man schreibt Barron oder Donald Trump."
Diesen Satz liest niemand gerne, aber auf CT denken ihn alle. @hayasaka_aryan formuliert ihn trocken: "Barron macht 90 Millionen pro Woche, weil sein Vater die Wirtschaft manipuliert." Ob es Barron ist, ein Berater, ein Familienmitglied oder irgendein Mitarbeiter im West Wing, weiß niemand. Aber irgendjemand in einem sehr wichtigen Raum nimmt jedes Mal das Telefon ab.
Ich habe das hier schon oft gesagt. Als die Tariff-Pause im April 2025 den Markt gerettet hat, lagen die Bets auf Polymarket Tage vorher richtig. Als Maduro in Caracas gefasst wurde, hatte ein Konto namens "Burdensome-Mix" aus 32.500 Dollar bereits 436.000 gemacht. Sechzehn anonyme Polymarket-Accounts kassierten je über 100.000 Dollar nach den Februar-Angriffen auf Iran. Jeder einzelne hat korrekt auf den exakten Zeitpunkt gewettet.
Und jetzt der Teil, der die Finanz-Audience nicht interessiert, euch aber auffallen sollte. Donald Trump Jr. sitzt im Advisory Board von Polymarket. Gleichzeitig ist er strategischer Berater bei Kalshi. Die zwei Plattformen, auf denen die größten Wetten platziert werden. Die Familie verdient am Haus und am Tisch gleichzeitig.
Der STOCK Act von 2012 verbietet genau das. Ausdrücklich auch für Executive Branch Officials. Seit 14 Jahren. Null Verfahren. Null Verurteilungen.
Die CFTC schaut sich die Trades an. Sam Liccardo, Abgeordneter der Demokraten aus Kalifornien, stellt Fragen. Das Weiße Haus schweigt.
Was mich bei dieser Story am meisten anekelt, ist der Maßstab. Wenn du in Frankfurt einen Tipp von deinem Cousin bekommst und 2.000 Euro auf BASF setzt, stehst du vor Gericht. Wenn aus dem Oval Office Milliarden vor einer Kriegserklärung verschoben werden, wird daraus eine "auffällige Marktbewegung" und eine Fußnote in den Nachrichten.
Die Leute, die den Spielplatz kontrollieren, spielen mit gezinkten Karten. Das Prediction-Market-Geld fließt in Plattformen, die der Präsidentensohn mitverwaltet. Die Öl-Futures werden von Wallets gekippt, die zehn von zehn Treffer landen. Die Regulierer schauen freundlich weg.
Das Spiel ist manipuliert. Das wissen wir seit Jahren. Der Unterschied heute: Die BBC hat die Quittungen.
