the more I learn… the more I realize how much I don’t know - Einstein. Partner of @aionanalytics

Joined January 2025
Time to set the record straight again. September 24. Crash probability on the S&P had nearly quadrupled in three weeks. I said the crowd was looking at the wrong number and we’d grade it over 20 trading days. October 2. Nasdaq at a new high. I said the smoke was thicker and the window closes October 22. See you then. It’s October 22. VIX up more than 30% in a day. Indices sold off. Semis unwound. The AI trade came apart again. All of it inside the window the models flagged while the index printed highs and the timeline told me they hate me. Where there’s smoke there’s fire. We found it. Most of what I see next goes to Aion research now. But I’ll give you three hints below. Somebody has to, and it clearly isn’t going to be the people calling for blue skies at the end of September. 🧵
Six sessions ago I timestamped our crash probability read on the S&P. Since then the Nasdaq has hit a new high, and the crash probability went up anyway. Breadth is worse. Credit volatility is moving while the VIX sleeps. 14 sessions left to find the fire.
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*One more, because I want this on the record early. I think high beta leads into year end. And on the hourly Aion Index it’s already showing the first signs. That’s its path in white, climbing through the board over the last day of bars. Look at what’s sliding at the same time. Inverse beta, the defensive groups, energy. Risk coming off the sidelines and the hedges losing rank. It’s early and it’s hourly, so it can reverse... But pay attention to it. With a Santa Rally this year would come gifts... and I know some of you need this badly. 🎅🎅🎅
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*Checks where we bottomed*
Replying to @DeepInference
So here’s where I land, and I want this call to be clear. The dip buyers bought the seam. The cushion under them expires tomorrow. The next real floor on SPY is 745 next week, QQQ doesn’t have one in frame, and the liquidity tide is still going out for a few more sessions. My guess is we bottom next week, not this week, with chop in between. Then the setup flips. Everything is beat down going into it. When strength comes back, probably late October, November is strong, December is stronger, and this is a year we get the Santa rally and the everything rally with it. I think easing floods into equities sooner than most people are positioned for. If you’re doing well this year, congrats. If you’re not, this hasn’t been an easy tape, and you’re not alone. Either way, inside Aion we have had the data and the community to see this coming. And our research just proved itself, again. Not financial advice. Mathematically driven models.
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The @SkylitAI circle jerk never ceases to amaze me Are any of these guys profitable?
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Subscribe to @AionAnalytics unless you hate winning
Everyone I know outside this community spent October scared. Inside it, we spent October reading. The warnings, where they fired, what they cost, and what they look like now that the inputs are quietly turning underneath the fear. I just published Article 5 for members: Drifting Away From Danger. It walks the exact panels the timeline is panicking over and shows what they say when you read them right. The people in here will open the terminal and see a different market than everyone else. This is Aion.
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Everyone I know outside this community spent October scared. Inside it, we spent October reading. The warnings, where they fired, what they cost, and what they look like now that the inputs are quietly turning underneath the fear. I just published Article 5 for members: Drifting Away From Danger. It walks the exact panels the timeline is panicking over and shows what they say when you read them right. The people in here will open the terminal and see a different market than everyone else. This is Aion.
$QQQ -7% $SPY -2.5% $VIX + 37% $DRAM -25% $SOXX -16% We are getting close, hope my research was able to help a few of you. The threads will be in the discord going forward due to the utter amount of criticism we received over the last few weeks. Code QUANT 4 30% off
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Replying to @AionAnalytics
@AionAnalytics is in a league of its own.
I work in finance... im one of those... I can tell you, it does not oversell it. It is well worth $500 a month, and the people behind it are some of the most committed i've seen.
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I work in finance... im one of those... I can tell you, it does not oversell it. It is well worth $500 a month, and the people behind it are some of the most committed i've seen.
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Deep Inference retweeted
$SOXL +22% in 3 days since Just a crumb of what was in that article... Code QUANT dies on Oct 31st, You don't want to miss out on the data
Bottom or not? Article 4 just went live inside AION and it is the most important read of the year you are not reading. What is in it: the day the window closes, the two scenarios I am deploying into and exactly how, the one vol tell deciding both. I put my opinion in writing, dated, so it can be graded either way. That is the difference between research and content. Members are reading it right now. The rest of the timeline finds out after it resolves. $SPY l $QQQ l $VIX
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Kenny smells blood, doesn't he?
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That's it. Right now, weeks before Anthropic IPOs, we are officially out of money. It's all gone, folks.
“I think we are nearly out of money now.”
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“I think we are nearly out of money now.”
Looks like they sent this guy in.
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More than a few similarities to the 3/31 low right now I would be lost without the data @AionAnalytics
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Watching FinX get everything wrong because of these furus
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Citadel next week: Neoclouds are where the opportunity is right now.
Did Ken just take VARA AI out back? Feels like Kenny’s not done clearing out all the virgin 20-year-olds who just discovered margin.
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Did Ken just take VARA AI out back? Feels like Kenny’s not done clearing out all the virgin 20-year-olds who just discovered margin.
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Deep Inference retweeted
I'm not going to lie October was probably an absolute bitch to trade. If you're in the green to close out the month, that's really something. If you were red, don't get down. You're absolutely in the majority. Full time return looms.
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Before and After. To be clear, I run circles around your furu.
Replying to @DeepInference
So what does that look like on the indices? Both $SPY and $QQQ are pressed against the top of their daily bands right now. The bars to the right of today are mine. That's my projection, and the shape isn't random. Based on how the data sits today, I'm expecting something similar to last October. A little more upside, a fast flush that feels like the floor is gone, and then a recovery that's almost as quick. Same month, similar setup going in. I don't need it to repeat bar for bar. I need the shape to rhyme.
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Imagine believing funding has dried up for neoclouds, while $NBIS just secured finding like 72 hours ago. That autistic bastard could tell you micro dosing bleach is a good supplement to your diet and MFs would be chugging that shit.
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