🔵 UCL projections after the first night of MD3, with teams ordered on xPts. Top 8: ▲ In 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Manchester City ▼ Out 🇪🇸 Betis Top 24 ▲ In 🇳🇱 PSV Eindhoven ▼ Out 🇺🇦 Shakhtar 👉 Full team-level projections and scenarios available in our app on football-md.com

🇵🇹 Benfica have now been involved in all of the Top 5 attended matches in 🟠 Europa League this season.

🎯 HUGE bonus points are on the offer for teams finishing in Top 24 at the end of the league phase of 🔵 UCL 🟠 UEL 🟢 UECL. Table shows how many bonus points will be distributed. 💡 Bear in mind that 6.000 bonus pts have already been added to club and country coefficients of all 36 🔵 UCL teams. So 24th team in 🔵 UCL will get +0.250 additional pts, just like the 24th team in 🟠 UEL. 1st team in 🔵 UCL will get +6.000 bonus pts, just like the 1st team in 🟠 UEL. ➕ In addition, reaching Top 8 brings extra bonus points for reaching R16: +1.500 for teams in 🔵 UCL +1.000 for teams in 🟠 UEL +0.500 for teams in 🟢 UECL All points count both for club and country coefficients.

🏟️ The biggest crowds of the 2026/27 UEFA season so far: 77,500 🇩🇪 B. Dortmund v 🇪🇸 Villarreal 75,000 🇩🇪 Bayern v 🇳🇴 Bodø/Glimt 74,858 🇪🇸 Real Madrid v 🇮🇹 Inter Milan 73,859 🇮🇹 Inter Milan v 🇧🇪 Club Brugge 73,685 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Man United v 🇦🇿 Sabah 69,493 🇪🇸 Atlético M. v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Man United 68,393 🇮🇹 Milan v 🇵🇹 Benfica 67,114 🇪🇸 Real Betis v 🇵🇹 Porto 64,256 🇮🇹 Roma v 🇪🇸 Real Madrid 60,776 🇵🇹 Benfica v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Hearts 60,021 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Manchester City v 🇫🇷 PSG 59,870 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Liverpool v 🇪🇸 Atlético M. 59,563 🇵🇹 Benfica v 🇨🇭 St. Gallen 59,147 🇵🇹 Benfica v 🇩🇰 AGF 58,870 🇵🇹 Benfica v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Celtic 57,500 🇩🇪 VfB Stuttgart v 🇳🇴 Viking 57,051 🇫🇷 Marseille v 🇬🇷 Olympiacos 57,024 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Arsenal v 🇫🇷 Lille 55,882 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Celtic v 🇦🇹 LASK 55,443 🇫🇷 Lyon v 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe ... 👉 Attendances and stadium fill rates for every 🔵 UCL 🟠 UEL 🟢 UECL match available at football-md.com/attendance.

🔵 UEFA Champions League: single-outcome projected table Instead of averaging thousands of simulations, this table plays out every league-phase match only once. How each match is resolved: ✅ The favourite wins, with its most likely scoreline for goal difference 🤝 Draws are assumed for the closest matchups so that they reproduce the number of expected draws in 🔵 UCL league phase Here the order of teams IS NOT the same as if you simulate the competition tens of thousands of times and take average points (xPts). For that check our other posts. 👉 Full probabilities and scenarios for UCL UEL UECL available in our Simulator

🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe are at 63% to finish 🔵 Top 24 before MD2 starts. The impact of their away result at 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Aston Villa on their Top 24 chances: ✅ Win: +20% 🤝 Draw: +2% ❌ Loss: -10% This is before other results make their impact. And what impact can other results have? 📈 The visual shows the list of results that would benefit 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe's and how much they'd add to their Top 24 chances. They seem small but they can add up. And they'll grow further we go in the league phase. 📉 The most negative impact on 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe (other than their own defeat, of course) would be: 🇹🇷 Galatasaray win 🇫🇷 Lille win 🇳🇴 Viking win 🇦🇹 LASK win 🇮🇹 Roma win ... 👉 Detailed list of results that would increase or decrease each team's chances to reach Top 8/Top 24 of UCL UEL UECL available in our Simulator

How many deducted points would it take to relegate 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Man City? 🤔 We ran over 1 million simulations to cover each point deduction from -1 to -70 pts to see how it impacts City's probabilities to finish on title, UCL (Top 5), European (Top 8), and relegation positions. 🏆 As it stands now: 48% to win the league ➖10 points: title down to 20%, Top 5 still 86% ➖20 points: Top 5 down to 55% ➖30 points: Top 8 down to 41% ➖45 points: 50% relegated 🔴 ➖60 points: 94% relegated 🔴 ➖70 points: 99.7% relegated 🔴 Full analysis available on our latest blog: football-md.com/blog/man-cit…

🇧🇪 Club Brugge and 🇵🇹 Sporting CP are the two teams outside the Big-5 leagues that currently hold the spot that would take them to the 2029 Club World Cup! 🌍 Europe gets 12 places: ▪️🇫🇷 PSG + 2 more 🏆 UCL winners (2026/27, 2027/28) ▪️9 spots for best ranked teams by 🔵 UCL points in a 4-year cycle (max 2 per country) 🇪🇸 Atletico Madrid 🇩🇪 Leverkusen 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Man City 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Aston Villa ...are all OUT of those positions right now due to country limit, despite being ranked higher than 🇧🇪 Club Brugge! If 🇫🇷 PSG or a team that is currently among the 9 teams to enter via ranking wins the 🏆 UCL title in 2027 and/or 2028, the next team in ranking takes the spot (respecting the max 2 teams per country limit). Right now that is 🇮🇹 Atalanta, and after them - 🇳🇱 PSV Eindhoven! 👉 Follow all about the entry to 2029 Club World Cup in our Simulator

Villarreal 🇪🇸 are now 0-1-10 in last 11 matches in 🔵 UEFA Champions League: ❌ 2-3 v 🇩🇪 Borussia Dortmund ❌ 0-3 v 🇩🇪 Bayer Leverkusen ❌ 1-2 v 🇳🇱 Ajax ❌ 2-3 v 🇩🇰 FC København ❌ 0-4 v 🇩🇪 Borussia Dortmund ❌ 0-1 v 🇨🇾 Pafos FC ❌ 0-2 v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Manchester City 🤝 2-2 v 🇮🇹 Juventus ❌ 0-1 v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Tottenham Hotspur ❌ 2-3 v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Liverpool ❌ 0-2 v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Liverpool Their last win was a 1-0 v 🇩🇪 Bayern in 2021/22 🔵 UCL quarterfinal.

🎲 While you're waiting for the Friday's 🟠 UEL and 🟢 UECL draws, try out your favorite team's luck in our free Draw Simulator: football-md.com/draw-simulat… Share with us below what you got!

🧮 Probability matrix for the Friday's 🟠 UEL draw. Most likely pairings, from 50,000 simulated draws: 37% 🇵🇱 Lech Poznan v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Sunderland 37% 🇵🇱 Jagiellonia v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Sunderland 37% 🇵🇱 Jagiellonia v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Crystal Palace 36% 🇵🇱 Lech Poznan v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Crystal Palace 36% 🇵🇱 Jagiellonia v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Bournemouth 36% 🇵🇱 Lech Poznan v 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Bournemouth 33% 🇮🇹 Juventus v 🇫🇷 Olympique Lyon 32% 🇨🇿 Sparta Praha v 🇧🇪 Anderlecht ... Pot 3 holds all three 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 clubs AND both 🇵🇱 clubs. None of them can face their league rivals, so England v Poland are the likeliest matchups of the competition. ❗️Probabilities are not exact: each figure carries a sampling margin of about ±0.4 percentage points.

🧮 Probability matrix for the Friday's 🟢 UECL draw. Some of the most likely pairings, from 50,000 simulated draws: 25% 🇳🇱 Twente v 🇬🇮 Lincoln Red Imps 25% 🇩🇰 København v 🇭🇷 Hajduk Split 25% 🇩🇰 Nordsjælland v 🇦🇩 Inter d'Escaldes 25% 🇩🇰 Midtjylland v 🇭🇷 Hajduk Split 25% 🇨🇿 Jablonec v 🇩🇰 AGF Aarhus 25% 🇪🇸 Getafe v 🇧🇦 Borac Banja Luka 25% 🇱🇻 Riga FC v 🇩🇰 AGF Aarhus 25% 🇨🇭 Lugano v 🇪🇸 Getafe ... 🇩🇰 Denmark has FOUR clubs in the lineup and none of them can meet, and in Pot 3 🇬🇮 Lincoln can't face 🇪🇸 Getafe. Their pot rivals absorb the difference.

[🔵 UCL - average strength of schedule] ☠️ Hardest draw: 🇦🇿 Sabah 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Man City 🇫🇷 Lens ⛅️ Easiest draw: 🇩🇪 Stuttgart 🇮🇹 Inter 🇪🇸 Real Madrid 👉 Full analysis of UCL draw in our new blog post, available to our subscribers on our website

🎲 To make the final round of UEFA club qualifiers fun for everyone, we built a Draw Simulator tool for the 🔵 UCL 🟠 UEL 🟢 UECL league phase draws. 🔓 It's completely free and open for everyone. 1⃣ Pick your team 2⃣ Change the PO round winners (if you want) 3⃣ Run the draw The Simulator will instantly assess how difficult the draw was: ☠️ Dream draw (easier than 90% of draws) ☠️☠️ Kind (10-30%) ☠️☠️☠️ Balanced (30-70%) ☠️☠️☠️☠️ Tough (70-90%) ☠️☠️☠️☠️☠️ Nightmare (harder than 90%) You can also access the pre-draw probability matrix for each opponent in the draw. 📷 Share your draw outcomes with everyone! Draw Simulator available at: football-md.com/draw-simulat…

💥 One of the biggest weeks of the season for country coefficient! 6⃣ bonus points on the offer for each country whose club wins their 🔵 UCL PO tie and enters the league phase. 14 clubs from 13 countries with that possibility (🇳🇴 the only with 2 teams!) With 5 teams active, 🇳🇴 Norway with a colossal potential gain of +3.400 in one single week! 🇭🇷 Croatia and 🇮🇱 Israel with a potential for +2.250. Entry into 🟠 UEL or 🟢 UECL carries 0 bonus points for country coefficient.

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Celtic are looking to end a run of five straight failures in 🔵 UCL qualifiers: ❔ 2026: v 🇦🇹 LASK in 🔵 PO ❌ 2025: v 🇰🇿 Kairat in 🔵 PO ❌ 2021: v 🇩🇰 Midtjylland in 🔵 Q2 ❌ 2020: v 🇭🇺 Ferencvaros in 🔵 Q2 ❌ 2019: v 🇷🇴 CFR Cluj in 🔵 Q3 ❌ 2018: v 🇬🇷 AEK Athens in 🔵 Q3 ✅ 2017: beat 🇰🇿 Astana in 🔵 PO Their last three 🔵 UCL participations came after qualifying directly (2022, 2023, 2024).

🏆 14 clubs in 🔵 UCL PO, by UCL group/league stage appearances: 1️⃣6️⃣ 🇫🇷 Lyon 6️⃣ 🇹🇷 Fenerbahçe 1️⃣3️⃣ 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Celtic 0️⃣ 🇦🇹 LASK 9️⃣ 🇭🇷 Dinamo Zagreb 0️⃣ 🇳🇴 Viking 5️⃣ 🇬🇷 AEK Athens 1️⃣ 🇧🇬 Levski Sofia 1️⃣ 🇸🇰 Slovan Bratislava 0️⃣ 🇸🇮 Celje 1️⃣ 🇳🇴 Bodø/Glimt 0️⃣ 🇳🇱 NEC Nijmegen 0️⃣ 🇮🇱 Hapoel Be'er Sheva 0️⃣ 🇦🇿 Sabah 6 of the 14 have never been there. 🇮🇱 Hapoel Be'er Sheva v Sabah 🇦🇿 guarantees a debutant!

📊 Top 10 probability (as of 15 Aug): 99.95% 🇳🇱 Netherlands 99% 🇹🇷 Türkiye 37% 🇨🇿 Czechia 35% 🇬🇷 Greece 24% 🇵🇱 Poland 4% 🇩🇰 Denmark 0.4% 🇳🇴 Norway 👉 Full analysis of probabilities and scenarios in coefficient races available in our Simulator

💥 The biggest expansion in FMD history It was a busy summer at FMD as we've added 100+ new competitions to our coverage! Our 🕹️ Simulator now includes 185 competitions: leagues, cups, continental and national-team tournaments, all refreshed hourly each day. ✅ Every competition on the platform today: EUROPE (124) 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Premier League 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 Championship 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 League One 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 League Two 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 National League 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 EFL Cup 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 FA Cup 🇮🇹 Serie A 🇮🇹 Serie B 🇮🇹 Coppa Italia 🇪🇸 La Liga 🇪🇸 La Liga 2 🇪🇸 Copa del Rey 🇩🇪 Bundesliga 🇩🇪 Bundesliga 2 🇩🇪 3. Liga 🇩🇪 DFB-Pokal 🇫🇷 Ligue 1 🇫🇷 Ligue 2 🇫🇷 Coupe de France 🇵🇹 Primeira Liga 🇵🇹 Segunda Liga 🇵🇹 Liga 3 🇵🇹 Taça de Portugal 🇧🇪 Belgian Pro League 🇧🇪 Challenger Pro League 🇧🇪 Croky Cup 🇳🇱 Eredivisie 🇳🇱 Eerste Divisie 🇳🇱 Tweede Divisie 🇳🇱 KNVB Beker 🇹🇷 Super Lig 🇹🇷 1. Lig 🇹🇷 2. Lig 🇨🇿 Czech First League 🇨🇿 FNL 🇨🇿 MOL Cup 🇵🇱 Ekstraklasa 🇵🇱 I Liga 🇵🇱 II Liga 🇵🇱 Polish Cup 🇬🇷 Super League Greece 🇩🇰 Danish Superliga 🇩🇰 1. Division 🇩🇰 2. Division 🇳🇴 Eliteserien 🇳🇴 OBOS-ligaen 🇳🇴 2. Division Group 1 🇳🇴 2. Division Group 2 🇨🇾 Cypriot First Division 🇨🇭 Swiss Super League 🇨🇭 Challenge League 🇨🇭 1. Liga Promotion 🇨🇭 Swiss Cup 🇸🇪 Allsvenskan 🇸🇪 Superettan 🇭🇺 NB I 🇭🇺 NB II 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scottish Premiership 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scottish Championship 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scottish League One 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 Scottish Cup 🇦🇹 Austrian Bundesliga 🇦🇹 2. Liga 🇦🇹 ÖFB Cup 🇺🇦 Ukrainian Premier League 🇺🇦 Persha Liga 🇷🇴 Liga I 🇷🇴 Liga II 🇭🇷 HNL 🇭🇷 First NL 🇭🇷 Second NL 🇭🇷 Croatian Cup 🇷🇺 Russian Premier League 🇷🇺 First League 🇸🇮 1. SNL 🇸🇮 2. SNL 🇸🇮 3. SNL East 🇮🇱 Israeli Premier League 🇮🇱 Liga Leumit 🇦🇿 Azerbaijan Premier League 🇸🇰 Slovak First Football League 🇸🇰 2. liga 🇧🇬 Parva Liga 🇧🇬 Second League 🇷🇸 Serbian SuperLiga 🇷🇸 Prva Liga 🇮🇸 Besta deild karla 🇮🇸 Icelandic 1. Deild 🇮🇪 League of Ireland Premier Division 🇮🇪 League of Ireland First Division 🇦🇲 Armenian Premier League 🇦🇲 Armenian First League 🇧🇦 Premijer Liga BiH 🇧🇦 Prva Liga RS 🇽🇰 Football Superleague of Kosovo 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan Premier League 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan First Division 🇫🇮 Veikkausliiga 🇫🇮 Ykkösliiga 🇱🇻 Latvian Higher League 🇱🇻 Latvian First League 🇲🇩 Moldovan Super Liga 🇫🇴 Betrideildin 🇫🇴 Faroese 1. Deild 🇲🇰 MFL 🇲🇰 Macedonian Second League 🇲🇹 Maltese Premier League 🇦🇱 Kategoria Superiore 🇧🇾 Belarusian Premier League 🇧🇾 Belarusian First League 🇱🇹 A Lyga 🇱🇹 1 Lyga 🇬🇮 Gibraltar Football League 🇲🇪 Montenegrin First League 🇲🇪 Montenegrin Second League ☘️ NIFL Premiership 🇱🇺 Luxembourg National Division 🇦🇩 Primera Divisió 🇬🇪 Erovnuli Liga 🇬🇪 Erovnuli Liga 2 🇪🇪 Meistriliiga 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 Cymru Premier 🇸🇲 Campionato Sammarinese di Calcio AMERICAS (29) 🇦🇷 Liga Profesional Argentina 🇦🇷 Primera Nacional 🇧🇴 División Profesional 🇧🇷 Série A 🇧🇷 Série B 🇧🇷 Copa do Brasil 🇨🇦 Canadian Premier League 🇨🇱 Liga de Primera 🇨🇱 Liga de Ascenso 🇨🇱 Segunda División Chile 🇨🇴 Primera A 🇨🇴 Primera B 🇨🇷 Costa Rica Primera División 🇪🇨 LigaPro 🇪🇨 LigaPro Serie B 🇸🇻 El Salvador Primera División 🇬🇹 Liga Nacional 🇲🇽 Liga MX 🇲🇽 Liga de Expansión MX 🇵🇾 Primera División Paraguay 🇵🇾 División Intermedia 🇵🇪 Liga 1 🇺🇸 Major League Soccer 🇺🇸 USL Championship 🇺🇸 USL League One 🇺🇾 Primera División 🇺🇾 Segunda División 🇻🇪 Liga FUTVE 🇻🇪 Liga FUTVE 2 ASIA & OCEANIA (15) 🇦🇺 A-League Men 🇨🇳 Chinese Super League 🇯🇵 J1 League 🇯🇵 J2 League 🇯🇵 J3 League 🇸🇦 Saudi Pro League 🇸🇬 Singapore Premier League 🇰🇷 K League 1 🇰🇷 K League 2 🇰🇷 K3 League 🇹🇯 Tajikistan Higher League 🇹🇭 Thai League 1 🇹🇭 Thai League 2 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan Super League 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan Pro League A AFRICA (7) 🇩🇿 Algerian Ligue 1 🇪🇬 Egypt Second League 🇬🇭 Ghana Premier League 🇲🇼 Malawi Super League 🇿🇦 Premier Division 🇹🇿 Ligi kuu Bara 🇹🇳 Tunisian Ligue 1 INTERNATIONAL CLUB COMPETITIONS (6) 🏆 UEFA Champions League 🏆 UEFA Europa League 🏆 UEFA Conference League 🏆 CAF Champions League 🏆 Copa Libertadores 🏆 Copa Sudamericana NATIONAL TEAMS (4) 🌍 UEFA Nations League 🌍 AFCON 2027 Qualification 🌏 Asian Cup 2027 And we are not done: ACL Elite, CONCACAF Champions Cup, Leagues Cup, more domestic leagues and cups, the women's game are next in the queue 🌍