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I could see an amnesty deal ending up as a poison pill for the Democrats.
If Trump does this on his way out, first he gets to share credit for the feel good measure of uplifting a huge chunk of the illegal immigrants into citizenship, which Dems will abhor.
But more importantly, a huge effect of these undocumented workers is that they accept way below the legal market labor rate because the precariousness of their status, and the fear of having to go back to their home countries. Take away that fear, and they can and will start demanding more money.
The long term effect is that this could end up degrading the availability of cheap labor that citizens love exploiting, handing Democrats a new source of inflation to own during their reign that will piss off voters. That could spur them to redoing Biden era illegal migrant surge, which is a big reason he lost in 2024.
So, if Trump is actually willing to do this, he might end up putting Dems in a "damned if you do, damned if you don't" situation. Then again, that depends on how many illegal immigrants are part of the deal. There might still be enough not included for amnesty to serve as the underclass that citizens can exploit, especially if humanoid robot labor start phasing in.
Whether he understands this trap or just doing his usual bloviating is a different question.
Trump endorses an amnesty deal with Democrats, saying immigration maximalists are on the “pretty far right” and suggesting that illegals who have been in the US for 10-15 years should have an opportunity to stay.
Follow: @AFpost
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This is part of the problem with blank slate ideology.
We end up inadvertantly teaching high IQ individuals a lot of "sacred knowledge" that shouldn't be shared directly with less intelligent people. But because we also teach them that everyone has the same intrinsic capacity, they then excitedly go out to try to educate their less intelligent family and friends because they incorrectly assume a lot of problems in the world are merely due to a lack of knowledge.
This is especially true of aberrant high IQ individuals who get discovered and uplifted from lower or average socio-economic families (I'm one of these) compared to those raised in ubiquitously smart families who instill a subtler understanding of true human nature.
Replying to @ZachWeiner
What I've come to believe is a large portion of the population thinks that simply considering abstract examples about human behavior is a sign of immorality. If you give them a trolley problem, they wonder why you think it's okay to kill people.
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I believe this what the kids call "aura-farming".
Ship 40 has been moved into the Gigabay...
(yes you read that right)
📸@NASASpaceflight | 📹nsf.live/starbase
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History is going to be kind to Trump and the Iran war in particular.
This war forced the issue of the Straight of Hormuz before it becomes a permanent nuclear question. The global economy was sleepwalking towards that future with no incentive to prepare. Soft closing Hormuz through a non nuclear war is creating an incentive light enough to force restructuring without being especially economically devastating.
Trump prodded the whole world to do the painful but necessary thing to start to slowly decouple and derisk from that geopolitical choke point and he lost the midterms for it.
That's the kind of high impact, decisive action that historians will look back on with admiration.
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I'm not terribly worried about transgenderism at a societal level.
I think it's a self correcting/stabilizing conflict in various potential paths.
Broadly, the extremes are either we get a Taliban/IRGC style religious fascist takeover that hammers traditional values back in and executes deviants, or we get rich enough to collectively decide that gender is aesthetic/superficial and your sex doesn't determine your roles in life (especially if we get artificial wombs and resource super abundance) but still carve out some biological sex specific social classifications where gamete size and related reproductive game theory divergence still matters. However, the core result for both is that society must reproduce itself or it will eventually be replaced by a subculture that reproduces itself better.
But I am worried about it at an family level for my children if they are raised in a regime that incepts into them the false idea that sex transition is possible while also limiting my rights to prevent the medical industrial complex from potentially sterilizing them or mutilating their bodies before they're old enough to get a tattoo.
I plan to do my best to raise my children with a deep understanding of the intrinsic limitations of their biology, and the limits of how we're currently able to transcend those harsh realities. And much more importantly and generally, to be able to distinguish between reality and ideology in any realm, and identify when aesthetic has become unmoored from the fundamentals that made it meaningful in the first place.
Maybe we actually will be capable of legitimately transitioning between sexes as medical magic advances, but until then we all need to stay anchored to the real world. Getting untethered to ground reality and floating away into cerebral, ideological space is always dangerous, whether religious or secular in instantiation.
However, societal and political elites DO need to worry about what they're unleashing on the lower classes that can't handle males in female bathrooms like the upper 10% politely can, because fucking that up is how we get the religious fascism path.
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This clarifies to me the right wing/gay male coalition that seems to be growing.
Of course people who idealize masculinity (for different reasons) are drawn together, and they'll both develop a distaste for the coalition that vilifies it.
It's sometimes very difficult to tell the functional difference between right-wing male hype accounts and gay men thirsting.
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The problem is we haven't yet culturally evolved our consciousness yet to handle birth control.
You have to fully grok your mortality and "God" to accept the sacrifice of parenthood by choice rather than through primal pleasure drive.
Toy sales among adult-only households have now outpaced households with children for toy sales, growing 16% through June, according to a market research group. nbcnews.com/business/consume…
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Cities are gene shedders.
They take in adult genes, consume their time with endless entertainment and winnow those genes out of the broader population.
This doesn't mean city dwellers have no children or that there aren't exceptions, but that on average they'll always have so few that their genetic contribution to the species will diminish rapidly.
Only those who escape to the suburbs and beyond will have enough children on average to maintain or expand their genetic impact on the future.
This is the primary form of natural selection happening today. The future belongs to those who escape the siren call of cities and voluntarily create a boredom vacuum in their lives that children fill.
A corollary is that if you want to genocide a population, the cleanest way to do it is to give them subsidized housing in the city, free birth control, and entertain them to extinction.
Recently, I had a conversation with an ostensibly well educated medical professional who was talking up how much they love the EV they got last year and how great it is to charge at home.
And then in the same conversation, they start raging against data centers and how their electric bill has doubled over the past year because of them.
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"serious money, a suit"
@JasonPLowery talks about this. Abstract power that doesn't want to get their hands dirty with physical reality. Titles and crowns that tell swords what to do and hope they continue listening.
The odds of me, serious money, a suit, rolling 100 dice is zero in my life time. No serious people are going to do this, most certainly not an institution, and to think i would then diversify across 4 different providers, 400 rolls of dice.....GTFO....This is not scaleable.
It is delusional to think people investing millions of dollars are going to roll dice 100 times or anything else so stupid.
Secondly; you are a moron at this point to connect or use software or hardware to protect hundreds of millions of dollars built by companies that have never been profitable, have no revenue growth, no path to profitablity, no excess profits to reinvest in security and R&D, and zero sustainable use case or relevance, and a total incapcity to take on millions of customers to scale and service them.
At this point Self Custody is a joke, it is not sustainable, and if the only real bitcoin is self custody bitcoin with a punk-small organization is dumb and announces bitcoin's failure as an experiment.
The concept of the fascist bitcoiners, who have never run or built sustainable businesses, who are anarchist, not creators, not builders of real businesses, who in their hearts want the entire system to collapse so they the anarchists with no experience to build industries, yets pretent to be experts promoting and advertising self custody I hold 1000 bitcoin on ledger or a casa is the dumbest think I have ever heard.
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I find it hard to empathize with the tall men who complain about this.
Society is full of ways tall men get unearned advantage, and this one thing that makes them slightly less comfortable than average people causes them to whine incessantly like little bitches.
At what point do airlines run out of passenger space to cut? 🤔
Flew a @cathaypacific A321neo aircraft on a 4-hour flight from HKG-KUL.
The passenger in front reclined the *entire* flight -- including meals.
That left just 18" between my headrest and the seatback in front 😬
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