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I’m in #startupmode again 🚀
For the last half year, together with @alex__mcl and a couple of old friends, we’ve been building an Opinion Markets platform — @r8rate.
It’s like a prediction market, but for opinions with no “truth” date and with unlimited upside (if you know you know 😎).
We’re in alpha on #Solana for a few weeks already, a lot of cool stuff coming soon 👀
Introducing R8 on @solana
Trade people, opinions and memes
Anything the internet argues about now has a price
Without at least some usefulness and different thinking you'll continue getting such result:
“IT’S JUST REPACKAGING THE SAME SH*T TO EXTRACT LIQUIDITY”
Meanwhile people are going to put money on $pump.scam instead of $pump.fun side.
r8rate.com/m/pump-fun-fun-or…
I think I know which OS will be ruling my new laptop. The only question is which hardware to choose 😅
Omarchy 4.5 is finally here! Traditional desktop mode, M1/M2/M3/Neo compatibility, 50 languages, 7-second installs, and a million other features, fixes, and improvements. omarchy.org/news/2026/11/oma…
Main feature of @r8rate is that here you can actively express disagreement, unlike other protocols where disagreement is passive (you just don't buy).
Jaro Satkevic retweeted
Every token has a BUY button
We built the other one
On R8 every token is born with two sides: COOL and SUCKS
1. Fan? Buy COOL. Hater? Buy SUCKS
2. When your side grows -> you win
3. Launch a market. Every trade pays you
Pick a side -> r8rate.com
So, all rumors that @AnthropicAI is going to postpone their IPO may be real...
Markets are quite good on predicting, they're also quite good on showing real opinions.
BREAKING: Anthropic is no longer expected to surpass SpaceX, $SPCX, as the largest IPO by market cap in 2026.
Markets now see just a 28% chance of Anthropic being the largest IPO of the year, down from a high of 62%.
This comes amid reports that Anthropic could receive a "high junk" credit rating, while OpenAI has cut its fundraising valuation target by $150 billion.
Anthropic is expected to IPO this month.
🤩
Introducing Chad 4, the newest frontier model.
It’s 69T Params, scored 120 on AA and surpasses all benchmarks everywhere.
We’ve rolled it out to our trusted mythical partners and a wider rollout shall follow suit.
Input: $0.069/m
Cache: Free
Output: we pay you $5/m
The world’s first cash-positive model. The open weights will also be available soon.
It’s all coming soon! Very soon!
Jaro Satkevic retweeted
cooking @r8rate where every token gets opposite side
just got amazing perk from @Helius with sponsored RPC
huge thx @mert
this's exactly the support which we need
I'll all-in long u on @r8rate!
@superteam @SuperteamGEO are always with builders and founders
When an event has a fixed date and a few people know the answer early, the market becomes a payout for whoever is closest to the source.
NEW: More bipartisan scrutiny of election betting markets. Sens. Curtis (R-UT) and Warren (D-MA) sent a letter to Kalshi and Polymarket raising concerns about insider trading that could “undermine the overall integrity of the American electoral process.” cnn.com/2026/10/29/politics/…
Markets with two bindings in one pool are a new class in the launchpad league.
Imagine issuing an asset with shorting baked in from day one.
Prediction markets are cool - and they also suck.
- Not everything has a clean resolution event
- And even when it does, watch the strings attached - resolution is where markets go weird
The resolution problem
Here's a real example worth knowing if you've ever doubted why resolution matters this much: Polymarket once had a market — Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? — sitting on roughly $12M of open interest. The dispute over what counted as a "suit" got kicked to UMA token holders, and the market's implied odds collapsed to around 3% amid accusations of oracle capture. Crypto Twitter nicknamed it Suitgate, and it became a case study in exactly what happens when resolution power sits with whoever holds the most capital rather than with the actual facts.
That's not an isolated meme it's the structural failure mode every token-vote or committee-based resolution system is vulnerable to. Big holders can effectively price a "truth" into existence if the dispute mechanism lets weight decide the outcome. It's not corruption exactly, it's just what happens when you build a system where capital and truth-finding share the same lever.
This is precisely the failure @xomarket newer AI-driven resolution model, MODRA, is built to remove settling markets through independent AI agents reaching consensus against a source locked in before anyone has a position open, rather than leaving the final call to whoever has the most tokens in a dispute vote.
s.kaito.ai/7ts7ArO
Yesterday X was full of posts about the upcoming Fable 5.5 and its performance. At the same time Polymarket was showing 98% probability that Google will have the best model while the probability of a Fable 5.5 release on October 29th was >20%.
For me that was strange, I even thought this was some kind of arbitrage opportunity or something...
Now we know what traders knew a few days ago 😂
I did say we'd be releasing our models periodically...introducing Gemini 4 Carbon, our next frontier model.
Following Argon's release just two weeks ago, Carbon shows the pace at which we’re pushing the frontier, it ranks #1 on the recently updated v5.0 of @ArtificialAnlys Intelligence Index at 59. It also leads across key cybersecurity evaluations scoring 88.2% on SEC-bench Pro for finding vulnerabilities, 54.8% on ExploitGym for exploitation, and 71.0% on CWE-bench for patching.
We’re seeing significant improvements in long-horizon tasks even compared to Argon, and we’ve strengthened frontier safeguards.
As we did with Argon, we’re going to roll it out gradually + responsibly. Some trusted cyber defenders will get access starting this week. We'll be expanding it to more partners through our Fairwind Program, ahead of wider availability soon, so hang tight!
P.S. Put your money where your mouth is 💰
So, is Elon Cool or Sux?
r8rate.com/m/elon-musk-67e17…
Jaro Satkevic retweeted
this's what happens when u have just one side markets
the problem is incorrect primitive which we took like the standard and don't even think smth should change
solution is: -1 0 1
will drop big explanation of our very own primitive tmr
I'm not understanding something, probably... 🤔
1 SOL is around $100
when SOL hits $10k, that little bag will be worth $10,000
However crypto bros are using some kind of different math 😅
