Good Politics/Bad Politics. Also, I root for the Giants. The Making of the Presidential Candidates 2024
Joined December 2009
- Tweets86.4K
- Following329
- Followers14.9K
- Likes7
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
The politics of the Trump convictions are complicated—as shown by how Republicans in close elections are (or aren’t) talking about it. My latest at the newsletter:
goodpoliticsbadpolitics.subs…
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
Hey just a little self-promo asking folks to visit the new newsletter I’m writing for, consider a free or paid subscription, and maybe even help spread the word with an RT? Thanks!
goodpoliticsbadpolitics.subs…
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
For the upcoming Presidential debate, I offer Tapper and Bash a suggestion for their questions to Trump:
goodpoliticsbadpolitics.subs…
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
So far, all the winners of GOP primaries for open solid-red House seats have been conservative, Trump-supporting white men. But they’re not all the same—I introduce you to the 12 newest (presumptive) members of Congress:
goodpoliticsbadpolitics.subs…
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
As GOP donors big and small rally ‘round their persecuted leader, Senate candidates can’t get their attention or dollars. My new one at the newsletter (please subscribe!):
goodpoliticsbadpolitics.subs…
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
Check it out! I’m doing a newsletter with two super-educated, ultra-successful experts on politics: Jonathan Bernstein and Julia Azari. I am presumably there for light relief, but I’ll try to be interesting. Please take a peek and consider subscribing.
open.substack.com/pub/goodpo…
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
And now, the end is near….
You’re unable to view this Post because this account owner limits who can view their Posts. Learn more
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
While this may seem annoying or humorous ... there are A LOT of folks in Congress whose jobs are about to get harder.
Digital folks are too often crisis managers... this only makes that worse.
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
Over the weekend, I noted how much I missed @monkeycageblog as the events in Russia were unfolding. So I wrote a summary for this week's @monkeycageblog newsletter 👇
Putin's game of thrones - mailchi.mp/ecc96b86fdba/puti… TMC's Josh Tucker @j_a_tucker asks: What just happened in Russia -- and what's going to happen next?
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
Great paper worth reading and citing
Don't make me tap the @emilyrongzhang article sign.
The effect on (average) voter turnout is not what makes a policy voter suppression. It's whether it increases the cost of voting for a subgroup without a valid election integrity/admin rationale
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.…
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
Some do this out of ignorance. For some others however, it is a business model. We do not know for certain that in the crunch all other Democratic senators would have backed filibuster reform, but simply blurring Biden and Manchin's preferences is misleading and demagogic.
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
There it is: Brazil’s electoral court rules Jair Bolsonaro cannot be a candidate in an election for next 8 years, saying he abused his office by casting doubts on the voting system during the 2022 elections, which he lost. What now? Short 🧵
#URGENTE
BOLSONARO INELEGÍVEL: TSE forma maioria para tornar Bolsonaro inelegível por 8 anos
Com isso, o ex-presidente não pode ser candidato em eleições nos próximos pleitos: bbc.com/portuguese/articles/…
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
In a new paper (with Justin Grimmer), "How Election Rules Affect Who Wins," we offer a solution to a puzzle: despite widespread concern that election laws will tip the partisan balance in elections, scholarly research shows they have small effects.
Link: eitanhersh.com/uploads/7/9/7…
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
Seems bad for the legitimacy of actual religions that bad-faith actors can increasingly just make up "religious" reasons for wanting to do bad things so they can get away with it (see also: people discovering their new "religious" objection to vaccines)
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
A week in which the Supreme Court continues its unbroken streak of finding valid standing for any case it has decided it wants to get involved in...
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
Read @SusanLiebell take on the latest #SCOTUS decisions @3Streamsblog "This Court has no moderate justices. It is a Court of threes." medium.com/3streams/this-cou…
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
Almost forgot @eastbayabhay and I have a paper showing that actual local *policy implementation* of affirmative action didn’t produce political backlash, but the *idea* of affirmative action led to national backlash regardless.
Here's my new working paper w/ @eastbayabhay
Conventional wisdom says affirmative action (AA) policies led to political backlash. But AA policies actually increased Democratic vote shares! Some of this is driven by white flight from AA counties
link dropbox.com/s/chli7kct3moy41…
1/n
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
as expected, the court has inverted the 14th. an amendment written explicitly to directly ameliorate the conditions of race hierarchy becomes in conservative hands an amendment that says it’s illegal to try to directly ameliorate the conditions of race hierarchy
The Supreme Court has ruled on affirmative action. Per Amy Howe of @SCOTUSblog, "The court holds that Harvard and UNC's admissions programs violate the equal protection clause of the 14th Amendment."
Jonathan Bernstein retweeted
Still digesting but safe to say that a very predictable majority of the Supreme Court has fully divested from the principle of stare decisis when it comes to the rights with which they disagree as a matter of policy. The #Harvard & #UNC decision distorts Fisher, Brown & the EPC.
