

ALT Title slide: "Climate-Sensitive Power Reserves to Improve Grid Resilience" James Fallon, PhD Student, University of Reading, UK Prof. David Brayshaw Prof. John Methven Kjeld Jensen (BT Research) Louise Krug (BT Research) Schematic showing "surplus" power Logos of Uni of Reading, SCENARIO DTP, NERC/UKRI, BT Group

ALT Reserve requirements (and “surplus” capacity) are sensitive to temperature, vary seasonally A risk-aware decision framework was developed, using meteorological data to estimate reserve capacity requirements of critical infrastructure Conclusions: Case-study using UKCP18 climate projections showed: * Greater reserve capacity needed in future climate, to maintain levels of risk (disagreement on how much is needed) * “Surplus” capacity is reduced in future climates (strong agreement) Part I (reanalysis data only) Submitted to Meteorological Applications (pending): Surplus Capacity in Reserve Systems for Critical Infrastructure with Weather-Driven Demand. Fallon, Brayshaw, Methven & Krug Part II (climate-risk assessment) is under preparation.

ALT Title slide: "Climate-Sensitive Power Reserves to Improve Grid Resilience" James Fallon, PhD Student, University of Reading, UK Prof. David Brayshaw Prof. John Methven Kjeld Jensen (BT Research) Louise Krug (BT Research) Schematic showing "surplus" power Logos of Uni of Reading, SCENARIO DTP, NERC/UKRI, BT Group



















