Kyith (@kyith) header
Kyith (@kyith) profile picture

Former IT Support Engineer. Currently Senior Solutions in Fee-Only Wealth Advisory in SG. #FIRE Blogger. Discuss #MUFC #factorinvesting

Singapore
Joined June 2008
Photo by Kyith (@kyith)Photo by Kyith (@kyith)Photo by Kyith (@kyith)Photo by Kyith (@kyith)Photo by Kyith (@kyith)Photo by Kyith (@kyith)Photo by Kyith (@kyith)Photo by Kyith (@kyith)Photo by Kyith (@kyith)Photo by Kyith (@kyith)
Normal Folks can get Wealthy. The Formula is the same no matter what Experts tell u. Here is the Wealthy Formula investmentmoats.com/wealth-b…
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The most crazy thing is seeing some fans who are Maguire bull rates him but slander the other team members
Another night to forget for Maguire. 6 direct mistakes in the last 4 games m leading to goals My TL is full of fans wanting him out of the club, that he only cares for England Some saying he should never play again for #United and that we should tear up his contract
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Carrick not trusting Andrey Santos early enough this season might have been one of the reasons Manutd are where they are now. You can clearly see the difference in quality between him and Baleba. When I said he’s more matured and assured on and off the ball than Baleba, people thought I was capping. Baleba is obviously more talented but isn’t better currently.. Once Mainoo is back, it should be a Mainoo Santos double pivot henceforth
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A list of the small cap financials found in $AVGS $AVUV. you wil notice in such a down day in the Insurance firms are holding up much better
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AB’s 13.8% Yield Is Your Own Money, Mailed Back Monthly, at 1.76% a Year Dividends and interest were just 0.4% of the fund last year, less than its expenses. AB’s own prospectus says the payout comes significantly out of capital and can be cut to zero. investmentmoats.com/income-p…
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Here is the 29 Oct attribution breakdown of the Avantis Global Small Cap Value ETF $AVGS $AVUV $IJR
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In a night where the large cap struggled, here's how the consumer discretionary of Avantis Global Small Cap Value did $AVGS $AVUV $IWM $IJR
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Russell 2000 $IWM all the way down to the 🟠YTD AVWAP. This is the #levelofinterest I have been referencing. ZERO evidence buyers are gaining control and below the decl 5sma. Will the institutions defend this level? We will know after the fact, for now we observe patiently.
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I’ll give you my allocation: 21/21/28/18/12 US large cap high prof US large cap value U.S. small cap value Int’l large cap value Int’l small cap value All Dimensional funds (IRAs) and ETFs (taxable)
Replying to @ServoWealth
What would be your perfect allocation ?
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2/2 Those who think rates will continue to climb should avoid small caps.  Those with a bond-bullish view should consider an index weight (about 13 pct of a US stock portfolio) or greater, based on their conviction behind that call...
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1/2 US small caps have been underperforming large caps in recent weeks, weighed down by both rising Treasury yields and suddenly elevated high yield corporate bond spreads. These mask what should be a great backdrop for small caps: a resilient US economy...
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Don't understand what people are unsatisfied about this Santos performance #mufc
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Some idiots cannot support the team and will always prefer other team's midfielders than their own
Replying to @CoutoPress
Dorgu, Mbeumo, Cunha & either Santos or Tielemans will likely be axed vs Ipswich. Rashford, Amad, Sesko & Mainoo all in…
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Basically explain that companies are thinking entities. When rates were raised 5 times they manage their debt position over time. And now they have 30% earnings growth as a tailwind with a better financial structure. $IWM $AVGS $AVUV $IJR
For those that are not yet watching TV at 5:15am here's my interview with the always insightful @MorganLBrennan on @CNBCMorningCall . I explain why Small and Mid Cap's are at a unique opportunity after 5 years of turmoil and underperformance to large caps. (hint: It has to with the interest rates) cnbc.com/video/2026/08/18/er…
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Seen some doom mongering post on $WMT poor result but you got to also accept $TGT also reported this week and they did this. More of a lower income and higher income instead of the middle income. The suburban families and younger adults.
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2% of $IWM reported in the Q2 2026 earnings and this is how it looks $RTY $AVUV $IJR $AVGS Mainly 36 companies including industrials and banks. 20% growth for financials 61% for industrials
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Stat looks great
I like Andrey Santos. His Chelsea displays went under the radar coz of Caicedo Enzo. Crisp progressor, balances safety & threat, smart mover, intense ball winner. Only issue is lack of span/height. IMO this is Mateus/Scott alternative. AS + a coverage DM (like Tchou) is ideal.
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$AVGS probably the best Global Small Cap Value implantation for the international investors who wants a tax efficient UCITS option. My write up on the Avantis Global Small Cap Value fund youtu.be/wW2xxh0GnHA?is=djxb… $IWM $AVUV $IJR
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$SPGI looks value here.
Back of the envelope $SPGI $SPGI trades for $120.82B market cap. Apply $MCO current 26.31x NTM multiple to $SPGI 𝐑𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐬 business ($3.14B LTM operating profit) → $82.61B Apply $MSCI 27.20x NTM multiple to $SPGI 𝐈𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐞𝐬 business ($1.33B LTM operating profit) → $36.17B 𝐑𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐬 + 𝐈𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐞𝐬 = $118.78B $SPGI entire market cap is $120.82B ___ You’re basically getting Energy (Platts), Market Intelligence, and the Mobility spin-off for free And here’s the value to those: 𝐄𝐧𝐞𝐫𝐠𝐲 (Platts): $975M LTM operating income (14.72% CAGR from 2021–LTM) — Conservative 15x multiple → $14.63B 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐠𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞: $1.21B LTM operating income assuming 8.5x multiple (IYKYK) since according to Mr Market it’s never going to grow → $9.68B 𝐌𝐨𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐲 (spin-off): low-end $7B All together = $31.31B ___ 𝐈𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐯𝐚𝐥𝐮𝐞: ~$150B, or ~25% higher than today’s market cap (~$510 share price) — $118.78B + $31.31B = $150B All while margins keep expanding and >80% of FCF is returned to shareholders At some point, Mr Market will take notice For now, let the accretive buybacks continue ___ Post inspired by @moats_multiples who shared an excellent piece titled “Inside TCI’s Conference: The Anti-AI portfolio” — link below 👇🏽 moatsandmultiples.substack.c…
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Kyith retweeted
Wise $WSE FY26 Earnings - Active Cust 18.9m +21% ↗️🟢 - Cross-Border Volume $243.5b +31% ↗️🟢 - Cross-Border Take Rate 52bps -6bps ↘️🔴 - Cross-Border Rev $1.3b +17% ↗️🟡 - Card Spend $43.6b +37% ↗️🟢 - Card Rev $392m +40% ↗️🟢 - Cust Holdings $39b +40% ↗️🟢 - Cust Holdings (Wise Acct) $30b +36% ↗️🟢 - Cust Holdings (Wise Assets) $9b +55% ↗️🟢 - Other Rev $245m +26% ↗️🟢 - 75% of transfers completed instantly (<20sec) - Txn Rev $1.9b +22% ↗️🟢 - Int Income $806m +6% ↗️🟡 - Int Expense -$197m - Net Rev $2.5b +19% ↗️🟢 - EBIT $591m -19% ↘️🔴 margin 23.6% -1109 bps ↘️🔴 - EBT $660m -8% ↘️🔴 margin 26.4% -780 bps ↘️🔴 - Net Inc $499m -9% ↘️🔴 margin 19.9% -629 bps ↘️🔴 Revenue by Geography - Europe, APAC, ROW strong, US, UK weaker - Total Txn Rev $1.9b +22% ↗️🟢 - Europe (ex-UK) $569m +22% ↗️🟢 - APAC $451m +34% ↗️🟢 - US $262m +14% ↗️🟡 - UK $329m +14% ↗️🟡 - ROW $283m +26% ↗️🟢 - Total Net Rev $2.5b +19% ↗️🟢 - Europe (ex-UK) $713m +20% ↗️🟢 - APAC $516m +35% ↗️🟢 - US $365m +15% ↗️🟢 - UK $586m +7% ↗️🟡 - ROW $322m +25% ↗️🟢 FY27 Mgmt Guide - Net Rev +17.5% - EBT 25% LT Mgmt Guide - Net Rev +15-20% CAGR - EBT 15-20% margin 1 | Three new license approvals in South Africa, UAE, and Thailand. Rolled out assets to Brazil. Four new partnerships on the Wise platform. We went live with direct connections into the Japanese and Brazilian domestic payment systems. We also added multiple new financial services alliances, for example, in South Africa, the UAE and Thailand. We were excited to announce Raiffeisen, UniCredit, MBSB in Malaysia and Capitec in South Africa joining Wise Platform in FY '26. 2 | Excited about the platform pipeline and expect new names to be announced. we're very excited about the platform pipeline. You're going to be hearing about new names that will be coming out. And as you rightly pointed out, it's a combination of new names that joined Wise Platform, but also the deeper embedding of expansion of existing names. So we love the customers that we have on Wise Platform, and we love the new ones that are coming on board. 3 | Direct connections into domestic payment systems are overall helping lower unit cost over time, allowing them to price each cross-border transaction competitively and profitably. Our direct connections into domestic payment systems, in addition to our large payments network, helped lower our unit costs over time. So that we can price each cross-border transaction profitably and yet charge customers just 52bps on average over the year. 4 | Large opportunities in SME and individual cross-border payments remain, 5% for individuals and <1% for SMEs. As you can see on the next slide, looking at our share of total cross-border payments, we moved around 5% of the world's money cross-borders for individuals last year and just less than 1% of the small and medium businesses volumes. So we have a huge opportunity ahead of us in this $43 trillion market. In just 15 years, we've grown from 0 to now moving $0.25 trillion a cross-border. 5 | No update from European prosecutors thus far, no detailed findings, business continues BAU. Would like UK regulators to allow Wise to return interest to UK customers, but so far no news. So we don't really have any new update from the prosecutor at all in the topic that was in news. And this is in line with the infrequent nature of the interaction with us. And to your question, we don't have any detailed findings. We continue the business as usual, and we're focused on serving our direct customers and platform partners. So if there's anything new, we will update you. We are very much hoping that the U.K. regime would also allow the returning of interest to customers that it currently doesn't. There haven't been any news on the regulatory space from that perspective as far as I'm aware. 6 | Significantly grew headcount, added over 2,000 new employees. Redeploying profits into long-term capabilities and growing our teams. During the year, we increased our direct investments into the business through growth in operating expenses of 39% YoY to $1.9 billion. We were able to achieve this as we successfully recruited and onboard over 2,000 new Wisers. 7 | Increased marketing spend by over 60%, focusing on >20% return. Moving on to our investments to acquire, onboard and service our growing customer base. In 2026, we increased our marketing spend by over 60% to $172 million. We are focused on new channels and increased brand marketing investments. And we have also increased the size of Wise Platform and Wise business sales teams. And we are pleased with the return that we are seeing from this effort as we continue to lean into marketing investments while targeting a minimum 20% return on this and also supported by a strong 70% customer acquisition through word of mouth. 8 | Increased servicing spend and tech and development spend. In the full year 2026, we increased our servicing spend by 38% to $397 million, mainly driven by our employees' hires. So we believe these strategic investments are vital, especially considering the vast opportunities ahead as we focus on acquiring new customers, while we also foster deeper long-term loyalty with our existing base. In 2026, we invest $434 million, up 38% YoY into tech and development to launch new products and also to maintain our existing products and rolling them out in new regions. We are not just growing our tech teams to achieve this. 9 | NASDAQ IPO saw higher listing expenses as well, one-off expense of $45m. In 2026, we increased our spend by 40% year-on-year to $382 million, driven by a preparation for the dual listing and introduction on NASDAQ, with a one-off expense of $45 million as well as growth in regulatory and hiring costs. 10 | While OPEX seems to have grown higher at +21% ve net revenue +19%, leading to lower profit margins, adjusting for one-off adjustments, OPEX grew +17%, lower instead. Transaction expenses as a percentage of net revenue increased to 21% as mainly as a result of a one-off U.S. GAAP adjustments in relation to FX on certain government bonds of around $70 million, which increased transaction expenses and this was offset in other comprehensive income. Excluding this impact, operating expenses increased by 17%, lower than transaction revenue growth. 11 | 6bps reduction in take rates largely due to FY25 price changes. Continue to focus on scaled economies shared. Within our investment framework, alongside our direct investments into the business, we seek to invest into a sustainable reduction of our price. These remain long term, driving down price for customers while building a sustainable profitable business. In 2026, while the average take rate reduced by 6bps from 58bps to 52bps, this mostly reflects price change implemented in the FY25. Looking forward, we expect to continue sharing these efficiencies with customers as we generate extra capacities for investments. 12 | See price adjustment as a reinvestment strategy, allowing them to build the lowest cost structure and while short-term impacts are limited, competitive pricing is why customers keep using them. I think for us, price adjustment is a part of our reinvestment strategy. I highlight very like our investment that we've done this year into the business. We reduced only, if I may say, by 2bps in FY26, the take rate. In general, we think that price is the #1 argument for customers to come to us and to use us. This is how we build the moat alongside our infrastructure and the quality of the service that we build, and that's why we put so much effort in that. It's fair to say that we are -- we don't put any floor, any limits. And we think that the price, if you want to talk about price elasticity is a long-term game. So we don't expect immediate return of a price reduction, but we know that at the end, on the long term, price matters for every single customers that are using us. 13 | Expatica acquisition, a leading platform for expats, which had >7mil visits in 2025, more as a marketing strategy than an operational M&A. Only done 1 M&A in India for license. Expatica. So maybe to set the scene, we don't have a legacy of M&A transactions. We've done only one in our history that I qualified as an M&A. It was in India to get a license. And this is not really on our focus in the next few years, but we will also look at opportunities to tell it clearly. This one specifically, you might have seen the announcement is not very material, but it's part of our marketing strategy as opposed to operational M&A transaction, if you wish. So yes, Expatica was small, but it's more in our marketing strategy. 14 | Application for US Non-Depository Trust Charter in the process, will take time, continue to operate with 48 money transmitter licenses. And you referred to our application with the OCC for a non-depository trust charter. And as you know, the OCC has a well-established process for reviewing applications, and we're continuing to follow that process. But in the meantime, and for a while, we've been operating in the U.S. with 48 money transmitter licenses in each of the states. So that -- and as you hear, the U.S. business is growing really well. Our being opportunistic adding more licenses around the world as we expand our products. 15 | Expecting 1H27 to see faster growth and higher profitability than 2H27. For 2027 specifically, we expect net revenue growth to be around the middle of our medium-term guidance of 15% to 20%. In terms of the shape of the year, due to the phasing of our investments into pricing, we expect this growth to be more pronounced in the first half of the year. Similarly, we expect that the scheduling of our reinvestments into the business will drive a comparable trend in our profitability. While we aim for full year margins around the high end of the 20% to 25% range, we expect this to be front half weighted, delivering results slightly above this target in H1. Our ➡️ Key Takeaways on Wise $WSE Wise continues to grow its business of B2C with personal and business strongly across customers, volumes, spend, balances. Lower prices and take-rates are strategic to win more new, drive higher retention, and usage. Higher near-term reinvestment re-normalizes profitability back to long-term levels that are highly strategic to strengthening its growing cross-border payments infrastructure moat of over 70 licenses and soon to be 8 direct instant payment connections that is increasingly becoming difficult to replicate and compete againsdt, with the strength in on/off ramps. B2B platforms is growing faster and Wise becomes the lowest cost provider powering the 2nd/3rd tier FIs and gradually extend that to the more dominant ones. Wise is almost the “Costco/Shopify” of Cross-Border Payments” building the cross-border payments infrastructure moat of a great enduring generational business.
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