π¨ THIS IS HOW AI BUBBLE WILL CRASH S&P 500
Read the post carefully before buying stocks
3 AI and space giants are going public in the same year with a combined valuation approaching $4 trillion:
1. The biggest IPO wave in decades
- SpaceX could become the largest IPO in history, raising up to $75 billion(
$SPCX will debut on Nasdaq on June 12)
- OpenAI has already filed a confidential S-1 and is targeting a valuation above $1 trillion
- Anthropic is also considering a public listing at a valuation of around $1 trillion
2. The S&P 500 is currently being carried mostly by the Mag 7 and AI-related stocks (Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, etc.), which make up roughly 33-35% of the index
These 3 IPO could create a massive liquidity drain as investors move $75-200+ billion into SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic shares
Funds and investors would likely sell existing positions in today's market leaders to free up capital, with Nvidia, Microsoft, and Google among the first likely to feel the pressure
On top of that, the S&P 500 has so far resisted fast-tracking these unprofitable giants into the index, meaning the capital rotation effect could put even more pressure on existing index components
3. History shows a concerning pattern
At the peak of every major market bubble, capital became concentrated in a small group of "can't lose" companies:
- The Roaring Twenties
- The Nifty Fifty era
- Japan's 1980s asset bubble
- The Dot-Com Bubble of 1999-2000
Today, capital concentration in the tech sector is once again near historical extremes
4. After an IPO, early investors get the opportunity to lock in profits
Historically, lock-up expirations have often increased selling pressure on newly public stocks
During the Dot-Com era, even some of the highest-quality companies suffered massive drawdowns:
- Amazon: -95%
- Microsoft: -65%
- Intel: -80%
- Oracle: -80%
- Yahoo: -97%
A great business doesn't protect investors from overvaluation
IPOs at these kinds of valuations, while many AI companies are still deeply unprofitable, are often a sign of market euphoria
I've said this before, and the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan
Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below
The next phase is gonna be very important
π¨ S&P 500 MORE DANGEROUS RIGHT NOW THAN IT LOOKS
The illusion of safety is what can make you poor
I keep seeing people say, "It probably won't crash, it always goes up"
That's exactly what concerns me
When you buy an individual stock, you got that you can lose money
But with the S&P 500, it's different, most people don't even consider the possibility of a crash anymore
Just look at the dot-com bubble - back then, everyone thought everything was fine and the index would keep climbing for years
But the final stage of every bubble begins when prices become absurd and fear disappears
And prices right now really are getting absurd. The index is printing new highs almost every day with barely any meaningful pullbacks
I'm not saying a crash is coming Monday, for example, but I am warning you that markets become the most vulnerable when the majority stops seeing any risk
Right now I'm watching investor confidence closely, and the level of euphoria is extreme. That's usually the final stage
Are you ready for what could happen next?
Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below
The next phase is gonna be very important
Not every stablecoin becomes widely adopted
And not every stablecoin has managed to achieve what solana:USD1ttGY1N17NEEHLmELoaybftRBUSErhqYiQzvEmuB has
It took less than a year to...
USD1 and exchanges keep surprising me
First, Binance launched BTC/USD1 perpetuals the first major stablecoin besides USDT and USDC to reach this level. Collateral is nearly 100%
Then SPCXUSD1 and a bunch of RWA perps on Aster: SpaceX, gold, oil, stocks all exclusively in USD1
Itβs not just about crypto, and that matters
35.1K daily active addresses, with growth of more than 281% over the month. Capital is flowing in, and people are actually using the stablecoin instead of just holding it
But for example, holding USD1 on Binance is still one of the best plays
$170M WLFI pool, with rewards paid every week through September 4
No staking, just hold it
On top of that, Gate is offering up to 12% APR with no lockup you can withdraw your money anytime
MEXC is subsidizing 50% of funding fees on USD1 futures, up to 1,000 USD1 per user per day, through September 13
All of this makes the stablecoin actually work: hold β earn β trade, instead of just sitting there doing nothing
Itβs also active in DeFi. Vaults are offering 8-10%
Stablecoins are supposed to work
The transparency is solid too real-time reserves are visible
On top of everything, on August 14, the OCC gave conditional approval to World Liberty Trust Company
A federal trust bank built around USD1: issuance, redemption, custody, and reserves would all fall under direct US oversight. There are still conditions to meet, but this is already a serious step
On Aster, the first phase of the campaign runs through the end of December: 125M $WLFI for activity + 6.25M USD1 for volume, with a 2x multiplier if you use USD1 exclusively
Before the ATH, I moved most of my portfolio into stablecoins, including USD1. The peg is holding
USD1 has everything needed for stablecoin growth: distribution + incentives + repeated usage
Right now, all of this is happening across three major exchanges
The big question is whether the active users will stick around once the campaigns end
I think they will
And if they do, this won't just be temporary liquidity anymore
USD1 and Binance keep surprising me
I missed this, but they just added the SPCXUSD1 trading pair
It's nice to see USD1 being used beyond crypto and making its way into TradFi related markets
Now I can keep shorting $SPCX more conveniently on Binance
Keep an eye on the news flow, and only take the trade if it fits your own strategy
Wait for your entry on the 5M timeframe, and always manage your risk
New TradFi equity is coming to Binance Futures: $SPCXUSD1
Trade SpaceX. Settled in USD1.
Available 24/7, up to 25x leverage.
Learn more: binance.com/en/support/annouβ¦
SOMETHING BIG IS COMING
Every Bitcoin bear market has ended the same way
On the chart, that has also lined up with the 3rd red candle on the 3-month timeframe
2018 β 3 red candles β bottom
2022 β 3 red candles β bottom
2025-2026 β 3 red candles
We're currently inside the 4th one
This is why I don't believe in a $35k bottom
But bullish news disappears
Most traders expect even lower prices
Every cycle has produced a shallower correction than the last
You're better off accumulating with DCA now and not stressing about the price
You won't regret it
I told you about this before
THIS BITCOIN FVG SHOULD BE FILLED
We've seen FVG like these and every one of them got filled
Throughout this entire bear cycle:
98-96.5k FVG (done)
81-79,3k FVG (done)
70-67.4k FVG (right now)
I said the next target is $57k
But the ideal scenario is for this FVG to get filled first
After that, the path to $57k is wide open
GOLD IS ABOUT TO BREAK SUPPORT
Nobody is ready for this, but it's gonna happen
4900 β 4000 β 4200 β 3450 (next)
The bull rally is over
A bigger correction is underway
This wasn't the last leg down
I told you about this before
π¨ GOLD IS NOT DONE FALLING
Nobody wants to hear this, but read this first
Right now, several factors are putting pressure on gold at the same time:
β High Fed interest rates. As long as the market isn't expecting rate cuts and bond yields stay elevated, gold becomes less attractive
β Easing geopolitical tensions are reducing demand for safe-haven assets
β After a strong rally, many investors are taking profits, adding more selling pressure
β Central banks have been one of the biggest buyers of gold. If that demand starts to slow down, the market loses a major source of support (Turkey is already selling gold)
β A strong U.S. economy and a stronger dollar are pushing capital back into stocks and other risk assets
β Historically, after major rallies, gold often corrects by 20-40%, and late summer into early fall has usually been a weak seasonal period
Do you realize what this means?
One catalyst alone wouldn't worry me
But when all of them start aligning at the same time, I pay attention
That's exactly what's happening now
I've said this before, and everything's still going according to my plan
The next phase is gonna be very important
Turn on notifications. If you're not following yet, you'll probably find this account after the move, not before it
GOLD IS ABOUT TO BREAK SUPPORT
Nobody is ready for this, but it's gonna happen
4900 β 4000 β 4200 β 3450 (next)
The bull rally is over
A bigger correction is underway
This wasn't the last leg down
I told you about this before
π¨ GOLD IS NOT DONE FALLING
Nobody wants to hear this, but read this first
Right now, several factors are putting pressure on gold at the same time:
β High Fed interest rates. As long as the market isn't expecting rate cuts and bond yields stay elevated, gold becomes less attractive
β Easing geopolitical tensions are reducing demand for safe-haven assets
β After a strong rally, many investors are taking profits, adding more selling pressure
β Central banks have been one of the biggest buyers of gold. If that demand starts to slow down, the market loses a major source of support (Turkey is already selling gold)
β A strong U.S. economy and a stronger dollar are pushing capital back into stocks and other risk assets
β Historically, after major rallies, gold often corrects by 20-40%, and late summer into early fall has usually been a weak seasonal period
Do you realize what this means?
One catalyst alone wouldn't worry me
But when all of them start aligning at the same time, I pay attention
That's exactly what's happening now
I've said this before, and everything's still going according to my plan
The next phase is gonna be very important
Turn on notifications. If you're not following yet, you'll probably find this account after the move, not before it
SPCX LOST ITS SUPPORT, 100 IS COMING
I told you to short below 123, and that's happened
Next target is $100
But there'll be more short opportunities along the way
Only if we get some small consolidation on the lower timeframes
Stay tuned and keep up with the market with me
I always warned it ahead of time
EXPECTATIONS FOR SPCX ARE SIMPLE
Short below $123
Long above $100
$150 - already shorted
$135 - already shorted
The long above $100 is just a short-term trade, gotta see how the chart approaches that level
SpaceX stock is going through a major repricing right now
It was way overhyped, retail got burned, IPO buyers got burned too
That's why shorting right now is the most logical play
I told you about this before
Only 3 Fridays left to earn
WLFI has been rewarding USD1 holders since January
Holding USD1 on Binance has probably been one of the best ways to earn over the last 6 months
And the entry requirement has always been pretty low
This time, for example, you only need 300 USD1 - no lockups, no staking
Hold USD1 in your Binance Spot, Funding, Margin, or Futures wallet and earn a share of 178M $WLFI
Paid out every Friday through August 7
1.2x multiplier for maintaining 300+ USD1 daily open interest on USD1 futures pairs
Probably better than blowing your money on memecoins
Open Interest now counts π
The @binance USD1 campaign introduces a new eligibility-based bonus multiplier for users maintaining open interest in USD1 futures pairs.
178M $WLFI in the promotional pool.
Full mechanics via @binance π¦
βοΈ
binance.com/en/support/annouβ¦
SOL IS GETTING READY TO HIT $90
A bullish structure has been forming since June 5
But it'll all depend on:
1. Bitcoin first and foremost
2. SOL is still trading inside a descending channel on the 1W timeframe
Short term, you can look for longs around $79
But only if we get accumulation with price squeezing into the level
From a bigger-picture perspective
I'd be looking to short around $90 if it gets there
I told you about this before
SOL IS COOKING SOMETHING
60 β 85 β 57 (next) β 72 β 51
Nobody is ready for this, but someone is quietly accumulating
Every July during the bear market has come with a rally
But that's about to end
It'll be time for the cycle bottom to form
Don't try to catch the bottom in Solana or Bitcoin
Set your DCA buy targets and be smarter than the crowd
I told you about this before
THIS BITCOIN FVG SHOULD BE FILLED
We've seen FVG like these and every one of them got filled
Throughout this entire bear cycle:
98-96.5k FVG (done)
81-79,3k FVG (done)
70-67.4k FVG (right now)
I said the next target is $57k
But the ideal scenario is for this FVG to get filled first
After that, the path to $57k is wide open
EXPECTATIONS FOR SPCX ARE SIMPLE
Short below $123
Long above $100
$150 - already shorted
$135 - already shorted
The long above $100 is just a short-term trade, gotta see how the chart approaches that level
SpaceX stock is going through a major repricing right now
It was way overhyped, retail got burned, IPO buyers got burned too
That's why shorting right now is the most logical play
I told you about this before
π¨ THIS IS HOW YOU BECOME EXIT LIQUIDITY FOR SPACEX
Better to buy $SPCX a year from now, not today
Even today's Mag 7 stocks went through brutal corrections during their first year after IPO:
- Meta: -60%+
- Tesla: -80%+
- Amazon: -90%+
- Nvidia: -85%+
- Apple: -69%+
The median maximum drawdown for major tech IPOs over the past few decades is around 60-70%
Nobody escaped the drop - that's the lesson here
The reasons are pretty simple, although apparently not everyone gets it:
IPOs almost always happen at peak hype - valuations are inflated
4-6 months after the IPO, the lock-up period ends β selling pressure hits the stock
The market starts valuing the company more realistically and a repricing begins
Even great companies often report losses or slowing growth during their first year as public companies, which disappoints investors
On top of that, macro factors like recessions, higher interest rates, and other shocks can make the selloff even worse
For SpaceX, the setup could look very similar:
Record-breaking IPO, massive hype, $2 trillion valuation
Based on historical data, the odds of a 50%+ drawdown in the first year are pretty high
I've looked at most of these companies, and the best buying opportunities almost always came 6-18 months after the IPO
The people who bought Meta, Tesla, or Amazon a year after they went public made fortunes
But the people who bought at the IPO price usually sat in the red for a long time
Pick the right moment and don't waste your money for nothing
I've said this before, and the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan
Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below
The next phase is gonna be very important
ETH IS GOING EXACTLY AS EXPECTED
Hope everyone read my post about it
1,500 (done) β 1,900 (done) β 1,500 (next) β 1,300
Another liquidity grab in a downtrend
If you're longing here, you're losing
If you're shorting at the right time, you're making money
I told you about this before
ETHEREUM IS FORMING A BULL TRAP
2,450 β 1,500 β 1,900 (next) β 1,500 β 1,300
Bottoms don't form that fast, but they're trying to make you believe they do
The trend is clearly bearish, and to break it
ETH has to reclaim and hold above 2450
That's not gonna happen in the current market conditions
Ethereum can't bottom before Bitcoin does
I told you about this before
BITCOIN HAS FORMED A DESCENDING CHANNEL
58K (done) β 65K (done) β 57K (next) β 54K
As I told you, it happened
Most of you are still trying to catch the bottom
You're not gonna pull it off no matter how hard you try
You're better off accumulating now while you've still got the chance
BITCOIN HAS FORMED A DESCENDING CHANNEL
58K (done) β 65K (done) β 57K (next) β 54K
As I told you, it happened
Most of you are still trying to catch the bottom
You're not gonna pull it off no matter how hard you try
You're better off accumulating now while you've still got the chance
EXPECTATIONS FOR SILVER ARE SIMPLE
Short from 61
Short below 54
Spot buy below 48
Heavy spot buy below 39
Hold for 2-3 years, then sell
Longs will get liquidated, shorts will be rewarded
Long-term buyers will be rewarded even more
That's exactly how wealth is built
I told you about this before
BITCOIN IS REPEATING THE 2022 DOWNTREND
82K β 58K β 65K β 57k (next)
After the July rally ends
The bottom will be in within the next 2 months
Bitcoin looks strong right now, but not strong enough
I told you about this before
This is the final stage before the cycle bottom
Bitcoin is forming a descending channel
This happened in 2022, and it's happening again right now
Within the next 2-3 months, this bear market will be over
See you this fall in the new $BTC bull cycle
I've said this before, and everything's still going according to my plan
The next phase is gonna be very important
Turn on notifications. If you're not following yet, you'll probably find this account after the move, not before it
SOL IS COOKING SOMETHING
60 β 85 β 57 (next) β 72 β 51
Nobody is ready for this, but someone is quietly accumulating
Every July during the bear market has come with a rally
But that's about to end
It'll be time for the cycle bottom to form
Don't try to catch the bottom in Solana or Bitcoin
Set your DCA buy targets and be smarter than the crowd
I told you about this before
π¨ This scenario has repeated itself for 3 cycles in a row
It shows up BEFORE EVERY major manipulation
That's why I'm still bearish on Bitcoin
You need to remember that there are 3 phases:
- Distribution
- Manipulation
- Accumulation
Right now we're in the MANIPULATION phase
Distribution is already over
But accumulation hasn't even started yet
And I don't understand why most people don't see it - it's the same thing every cycle, just look at the chart, study Wyckoff, and it'll all make sense
2018 β 2022 β 2026
I also don't get the people waiting for $30k, think about it yourself - is it possible? Absolutely
But what are the chances it actually happens? Pretty low
This is exactly how smart money shakes out the last weak hands and turns you into exit liquidity
So sure, you can buy here, but only through DCA, don't assume the bottom is in, you should have buy targets set for every major dip
I've said this before, and the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan
In 2-3 weeks we'll see who's actually right
Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below
The next phase is gonna be very important
ETHEREUM IS FORMING A BULL TRAP
2,450 β 1,500 β 1,900 (next) β 1,500 β 1,300
Bottoms don't form that fast, but they're trying to make you believe they do
The trend is clearly bearish, and to break it
ETH has to reclaim and hold above 2450
That's not gonna happen in the current market conditions
Ethereum can't bottom before Bitcoin does
I told you about this before
GOLD WILL BREAK 4,000 SUPPORT
4,800 β 3,940 β 4,200 β 3,850 (next) β 4,000
This is a liquidity grab in a downtrend
Nobody wants to believe it
But that's how the market works and the bull rally is over
This could continue all the way down to 3,450
I told you about this before
π¨ GOLD IS NOT DONE FALLING
Nobody wants to hear this, but read this first
Right now, several factors are putting pressure on gold at the same time:
β High Fed interest rates. As long as the market isn't expecting rate cuts and bond yields stay elevated, gold becomes less attractive
β Easing geopolitical tensions are reducing demand for safe-haven assets
β After a strong rally, many investors are taking profits, adding more selling pressure
β Central banks have been one of the biggest buyers of gold. If that demand starts to slow down, the market loses a major source of support (Turkey is already selling gold)
β A strong U.S. economy and a stronger dollar are pushing capital back into stocks and other risk assets
β Historically, after major rallies, gold often corrects by 20-40%, and late summer into early fall has usually been a weak seasonal period
Do you realize what this means?
One catalyst alone wouldn't worry me
But when all of them start aligning at the same time, I pay attention
That's exactly what's happening now
I've said this before, and everything's still going according to my plan
The next phase is gonna be very important
Turn on notifications. If you're not following yet, you'll probably find this account after the move, not before it
GOLD WILL BREAK 4,000 SUPPORT
4,800 β 3,940 β 4,200 β 3,850 (next) β 4,000
This is a liquidity grab in a downtrend
Nobody wants to believe it
But that's how the market works and the bull rally is over
This could continue all the way down to 3,450
I told you about this before
π¨ GOLD IS NOT DONE FALLING
Nobody wants to hear this, but read this first
Right now, several factors are putting pressure on gold at the same time:
β High Fed interest rates. As long as the market isn't expecting rate cuts and bond yields stay elevated, gold becomes less attractive
β Easing geopolitical tensions are reducing demand for safe-haven assets
β After a strong rally, many investors are taking profits, adding more selling pressure
β Central banks have been one of the biggest buyers of gold. If that demand starts to slow down, the market loses a major source of support (Turkey is already selling gold)
β A strong U.S. economy and a stronger dollar are pushing capital back into stocks and other risk assets
β Historically, after major rallies, gold often corrects by 20-40%, and late summer into early fall has usually been a weak seasonal period
Do you realize what this means?
One catalyst alone wouldn't worry me
But when all of them start aligning at the same time, I pay attention
That's exactly what's happening now
I've said this before, and everything's still going according to my plan
The next phase is gonna be very important
Turn on notifications. If you're not following yet, you'll probably find this account after the move, not before it
SILVER WILL LOSE THIS SUPPORT
61 β 88 β 54 (next) β 61 β 45
This isn't done falling for silver, the bull rally was way too strong
Nobody's ready for this but time to reprice
I told you about this before
π¨SILVER IS REPEATING THE 2011-2013 CRASH SCENARIO
I've seen this before, and I don't like how it ends
Since January 2026, silver has dropped around 48% from its all-time high of $121.6/oz, making January and February some of the worst months since 2011
The scenario is repeating almost perfectly:
Rally β ATH β Hawkish Fed β ETF outflows β Loss of momentum β Deep Correction
1. After the ATH, profit-taking accelerated
Just like in 2011, silver rallied for years on inflation fears, geopolitical tensions, and expectations of a structural supply deficit
But after the peak, the momentum started to fade
2. The Fed is once again the main source of pressure
Kevin Warsh's hawkish stance and expectations of tighter monetary policy are strengthening the dollar and pushing real yields higher - a bearish scenario for silver
With money rotating from commodities into equities as the U.S. economy stays resilient, silver tends to underperform gold
3. Safe-haven demand is fading
If tensions around Iran, the Middle East, or other geopolitical conflicts continue to ease, the safe-haven premium will keep shrinking
Money will start flowing back into risk assets again
4. ETF outflows and speculative positions are unwinding
During the 2026 correction, silver ETF saw noticeable outflows as investors reduced exposure and risk appetite faded
Historically a sign of changing market sentiment
5. Margin requirements and leverage
Back in 2011, CME margin hikes were one of the main catalysts behind the crash
Today's market once again looks dominated by speculation after a parabolic rally
6. Fundamentally, silver is stronger than in 2011 due to a structural supply deficit and rising industrial demand
However, the speculative and investment side of the market is behaving almost the same way it did in 2011
And unlike gold, silver doesn't benefit much from central bank buying, since central banks mainly accumulate gold, not silver
If the 2011-2013 analogy keeps playing out:
The current decline may not be the end of the correction
A move down to the $50-55 range is possible, and in a more bearish scenario, silver could even fall toward $40+ over the next 6-18 months before industrial demand and supply deficits take control again
I've said this before, and everything is still playing out exactly according to plan
Turn on notifications. If you're not following me yet, you might realize later that it was a mistake because I warned you
Bookmark this. The next phase is gonna be very important









